• The Yankees are -170 favorites vs the Blue Jays
• Blue Jays vs Yankees Over / Under today: 8 Runs
• Blue Jays / Yankees TV Channel: MLBN | YES | RSN1

The Toronto Blue Jays (+140) visit Yankee Stadium to take on the New York Yankees (-170) on May 21, 2026. First pitch is scheduled for 7:05 pm in Bronx, NY.

This season, the Blue Jays are 22-27 against the spread (ATS), while the Yankees are 25-24 ATS.

Blue Jays vs Yankees Starting Pitchers Today:

• Blue Jays starting pitcher: Braydon Fisher 2-1, 3.12 ERA
• Yankees starting pitcher: Carlos Rodon 0-1, 5.63 ERA

Blue Jays vs. Yankees Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

Blue Jays vs Yankees Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Yankees will win Thursday‘s MLB game with 56.3% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.

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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Blue Jays players for Thursday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Blue Jays Player Prop Bets Today:

• Ernie Clement has hit the Home Runs Over in 2 of his last 9 games (+17.00 Units / 189% ROI)
• Davis Schneider has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 13 of his last 15 games (+11.85 Units / 73% ROI)
• Daulton Varsho has hit the Total Bases Over in 18 of his last 25 games (+11.85 Units / 37% ROI)
• George Springer has hit the Runs Under in 19 of his last 25 games (+11.70 Units / 38% ROI)
• Daulton Varsho has hit the Hits Over in 20 of his last 25 away games (+11.60 Units / 28% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Yankees players for Thursday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Yankees Player Prop Best Bets Today:

• Ryan McMahon has hit the Walks Under in 24 of his last 25 games (+21.80 Units / 39% ROI)
• Ben Rice has hit the Home Runs Over in 7 of his last 10 games at home (+20.65 Units / 207% ROI)
• Cody Bellinger has hit the Hits Over in 22 of his last 25 games at home (+15.60 Units / 30% ROI)
• Carlos Rodon has hit the Strikeouts Under in 18 of his last 25 games (+10.95 Units / 37% ROI)
• Cody Bellinger has hit the Total Bases Over in 11 of his last 15 games at home (+10.50 Units / 70% ROI)

Blue Jays Best Bets Today:

• The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 32 of their last 50 games (+13.85 Units / 24% ROI)
• The Toronto Blue Jays have covered the Run Line in 16 of their last 24 games (+8.55 Units / 27% ROI)
• The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the Team Total Under in 17 of their last 25 away games (+8.40 Units / 28% ROI)
• The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the Game Total Under in 7 of their last 10 away games (+4.90 Units / 45% ROI)
• The Toronto Blue Jays have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 5 of their last 6 games (+3.90 Units / 57% ROI)

Yankees Best Bets Today:

• The New York Yankees have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 30 of their last 50 games at home (+11.20 Units / 12% ROI)
• The New York Yankees have hit the Moneyline in 32 of their last 45 games at home (+8.55 Units / 10% ROI)
• The New York Yankees have hit the Team Total Over in 10 of their last 12 games at home (+7.95 Units / 58% ROI)
• The New York Yankees have covered the Run Line in 9 of their last 13 games at home (+7.15 Units / 53% ROI)
• The New York Yankees have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 27 of their last 45 games (+5.95 Units / 11% ROI)

Blue Jays Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Blue Jays are 24-25 against the Run Line (-2.65 Units / -4.25% ROI).

• 22-27 when betting on the Moneyline for -12 Units / -18.43% ROI
• 23-24 when betting on the total runs Over for -3.4 Units / -6.28% ROI
• 24-23 when betting on the total runs Under for -0.95 Units / -1.77% ROI

Yankees Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Yankees are 25-24 against the Run Line (+5.3 Units / 9.95% ROI).

• 30-20 when betting on the Moneyline for -1.75 Units / -2.2% ROI
• 22-25 when betting on the total runs Over for -5.7 Units / -10.35% ROI
• 25-22 when betting on the total runs Under for +0.7 Units / 1.27% ROI

Yankees vs Blue Jays Home Run Prop Bets Today

Yankees vs Blue Jays Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Yankees vs Blue Jays Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Blue Jays Keys to the Game vs. the Yankees

The Blue Jays are just 15-4 (.789) when leading entering the 7th inning this season — tied for 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .863.

The Blue Jays are just 2-18 (.100) when allowing 5 or more runs this season — tied for 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .207.

The Blue Jays are just 3-10 (.231) vs the top 10 runs allowed teams this season Today, they face Yankees (fifth in runs allowed).

The Blue Jays are 84-9 (.903) when scoring 5 or more runs since the 2025 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .796.

Yankees Keys to the Game vs. the Blue Jays

The Yankees are 19-1 (.950) when they’ve hit 2 or more home runs this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .702.

The Yankees are 14-0 (1.000) when they’ve had 10 or more hits this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .754.

The Yankees are 2-14 (.125) when trailing entering the 9th inning this season — tied for 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .055.

The Yankees are 16-7 (.696) at home this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .532.

Blue Jays Hitting Stats & Trends

Blue Jays hitters have struck out in just 19% of their PA’s against RHP this season — best in MLB.

Blue Jays hitters have struck out in just 19% of their PA’s this season — tied for best in MLB.

Blue Jays hitters have drawn walks in 7% of their PA’s against RHP this season — 2nd lowest in MLB.

The Blue Jays have scored 58 runs with two outs this season — fewest in MLB.

Yankees Hitting Stats & Trends

Yankees hitters have drawn walks in 17% of their PA’s when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game this season — best in MLB.

Yankees hitters have 104 extra-base hits out of 207 total hits (50%) against starting pitchers this season — best in MLB.

Yankees hitters are slugging .491 at home this season — best in MLB.

Yankees hitters have 60 extra-base hits out of 133 total hits (45%) against LHP this season — best in MLB.

Blue Jays Pitching Stats & Trends

Blue Jays pitchers have allowed an average Exit Velocity of 87.7 MPH (1,165 batted balls) this season — tied for best in MLB.

The Blue Jays pitchers have allowed an average Exit Velocity of just 87.7 MPH this season (1,165 balls in play) — tied for best in MLB

Blue Jays pitchers have struck out 26% of left-handed batters they faced this season — 3rd best in MLB.

Blue Jays pitchers have allowed an exit velocity of 95 MPH or greater 427 times this season — 3rd fewest in MLB.

Yankees Pitching Stats & Trends

Opponents have a groundball rate of 49% against Yankees pitchers this season — highest in MLB.

Yankees pitchers have an ERA of 3.34 (442.1 IP) this season — 4th best in MLB.

Yankees pitchers have an ERA of 2.98 (235.1 IP) on the road this season — 2nd best in MLB.

The Yankees have allowed 3.19 runs per game (86/27) on the road this season — 2nd best in MLB.

More MLB Reading:

• Home Run Predictions Today
• Best NRFI Bets Today
• Strikeout Props Today
• MLB Starting Pitchers Today

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