• The Braves are -105 favorites vs the Marlins
• Braves vs Marlins Over / Under today: 8.5 Runs
• Braves / Marlins TV Channel: BRVN | MATV | GRAY

The Atlanta Braves (-105) visit loanDepot park to take on the Miami Marlins (-115) on May 18, 2026. First pitch is scheduled for 6:40 pm in Miami, FL.

This season, the Braves are 32-15 against the spread (ATS), while the Marlins are 20-27 ATS.

Braves vs Marlins Starting Pitchers Today:

• Braves starting pitcher: JR Ritchie 1-0, 3.33 ERA
• Marlins starting pitcher: Max Meyer 3-0, 3.19 ERA

Braves vs. Marlins Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

Braves vs Marlins Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Marlins will win Monday‘s MLB game with 53.6% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.

Bet now on Braves vs Marlins and all games with BetMGM

We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Braves players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Braves Player Prop Bets Today:

• Ha-Seong Kim has hit the Home Runs Over in 3 of his last 7 away games (+26.00 Units / 371% ROI)
• Mike Yastrzemski has hit the Singles Over in 14 of his last 20 games (+14.50 Units / 73% ROI)
• Dominic Smith has hit the Hits Over in 17 of his last 20 games (+11.85 Units / 34% ROI)
• Ha-Seong Kim has hit the Total Bases Over in 13 of his last 15 away games (+11.30 Units / 52% ROI)
• Drake Baldwin has hit the Runs Over in 17 of his last 25 away games (+10.55 Units / 39% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Marlins players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Marlins Player Prop Best Bets Today:

• Xavier Edwards has hit the Home Runs Over in 3 of his last 8 games at home (+30.00 Units / 375% ROI)
• Otto Lopez has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 17 of his last 20 games at home (+12.55 Units / 45% ROI)
• Kyle Stowers has hit the RBIs Under in 14 of his last 15 games at home (+12.40 Units / 39% ROI)
• Otto Lopez has hit the Hits Over in 14 of his last 20 games at home (+10.95 Units / 33% ROI)
• Christopher Morel has hit the Runs Under in 17 of his last 20 games (+10.40 Units / 26% ROI)

Braves Best Bets Today:

• The Atlanta Braves have covered the Run Line in 40 of their last 50 away games (+33.45 Units / 52% ROI)
• The Atlanta Braves have hit the Moneyline in 34 of their last 50 away games (+20.25 Units / 34% ROI)
• The Atlanta Braves have hit the Team Total Over in 22 of their last 30 away games (+12.80 Units / 36% ROI)
• The Atlanta Braves have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 31 of their last 50 away games (+10.45 Units / 17% ROI)
• The Atlanta Braves have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 12 of their last 19 games (+8.15 Units / 32% ROI)

Marlins Best Bets Today:

• The Miami Marlins have hit the Game Total Over in 28 of their last 45 games (+11.25 Units / 22% ROI)
• The Miami Marlins have hit the Team Total Under in 16 of their last 24 games (+6.90 Units / 24% ROI)
• The Miami Marlins have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 7 of their last 9 games (+4.50 Units / 38% ROI)
• The Miami Marlins have hit the Moneyline in 20 of their last 35 games at home (+2.85 Units / 6% ROI)
• The Miami Marlins have covered the Run Line in 11 of their last 22 games at home (+2.50 Units / 10% ROI)

Braves Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Braves are 31-16 against the Run Line (+20.15 Units / 37.59% ROI).

• 32-15 when betting on the Moneyline for +13.1 Units / 20.11% ROI
• 19-25 when betting on the total runs Over for -8.2 Units / -15.77% ROI
• 25-19 when betting on the total runs Under for +4.7 Units / 9.14% ROI

Marlins Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Marlins are 20-27 against the Run Line (-9.4 Units / -15.77% ROI).

• 21-26 when betting on the Moneyline for -4.1 Units / -7.13% ROI
• 28-17 when betting on the total runs Over for +9.1 Units / 17.45% ROI
• 17-28 when betting on the total runs Under for -13.55 Units / -26.44% ROI

Marlins vs Braves Home Run Prop Bets Today

Marlins vs Braves Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Marlins vs Braves Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Braves Keys to the Game vs. the Marlins

The Braves are 32-15 (.681) this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .500.

The Braves are 16-7 (.696) on the road this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .464.

The Braves are 19-12 (.613) after a win this season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .520.

The Braves are 24-2 (.923) when scoring 5 or more runs this season — tied for 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .793.

Marlins Keys to the Game vs. the Braves

The Marlins are just 14-3 (.824) when leading entering the 8th inning this season — tied for 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .895.

The Marlins were just 39-14 (.736) when leading entering the 7th inning in the 2024 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .856.

The Marlins were just 45-10 (.818) when leading entering the 8th inning in the 2024 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .899.

The Marlins were just 7-42 (.143) when allowing 2 or more home runs in the 2024 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .289.

Braves Hitting Stats & Trends

Braves hitters are slugging .322 with two-strikes this season — best in MLB.

Braves hitters have an OPS of .793 (1,131 PA’s) against RHP this season — best in MLB.

Braves hitters are slugging .457 against RHP this season — best in MLB.

Braves hitters are slugging .291 on pitches out of the zone this season — 2nd best in MLB.

Marlins Hitting Stats & Trends

Marlins hitters have put 42% of their swings in play on the first pitch of at-bats this season — highest in MLB.

Marlins hitters are slugging .541 on breaking pitches against LHP this season — best in MLB.

Marlins hitters are slugging just .432 on the first pitch of at-bats this season — 2nd lowest in MLB.

Marlins hitters have an OPS of .525 (895 PA’s) with two-strikes this season — 5th best in MLB.

Braves Pitching Stats & Trends

The Braves have allowed 0.91 runs per game (43/47) in late innings this season — 2nd best in MLB.

Braves pitchers have an ERA of 3.04 (201.0 IP) on the road this season — 2nd best in MLB.

Braves pitchers have an ERA of 2.94 (419.0 IP) this season — best in MLB.

The Braves have allowed 3.23 runs per game (152/47) this season — best in MLB.

Marlins Pitching Stats & Trends

Marlins pitchers have 81 three-pitch strikeouts this season — tied for 4th most in MLB.

Marlins pitchers have walked 12% of batters when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — 3rd highest in MLB.

The Marlins have allowed 5.43 runs per game (114/21) on the road this season — 4th highest in MLB.

Marlins pitchers have an ERA of 5.25 (176.2 IP) on the road this season — 4th highest in MLB.

More MLB Reading:

• Home Run Predictions Today
• Best NRFI Bets Today
• Strikeout Props Today
• MLB Starting Pitchers Today

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