• The Braves are -110 favorites vs the Padres
• Braves vs Padres Over / Under today: 8 Runs
• Braves / Padres TV Channel: BRVN | PDTV | GRAY

The Atlanta Braves (-110) visit Petco Park to take on the San Diego Padres (-110) on June 23, 2026. First pitch is scheduled for 9:40 pm in San Diego, CA.

This season, the Braves are 48-29 against the spread (ATS), while the Padres are 40-35 ATS.

Braves vs Padres Starting Pitchers Today:

• Braves starting pitcher: JR Ritchie 1-2, 4.55 ERA
• Padres starting pitcher: Bradgley Rodriguez 1-2, 2.08 ERA

Braves vs. Padres Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

Braves vs Padres Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Padres will win Tuesday‘s MLB game with 51.4% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.

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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Braves players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Braves Player Prop Bets Today:

• Austin Riley has hit the Runs Under in 18 of his last 20 games (+14.65 Units / 41% ROI)
• Mike Yastrzemski has hit the Singles Over in 13 of his last 20 away games (+11.95 Units / 60% ROI)
• Drake Baldwin has hit the Hits Under in his last 8 games (+10.25 Units / 78% ROI)
• Jorge Mateo has hit the Home Runs Over in 2 of his last 5 away games (+10.00 Units / 200% ROI)
• Mauricio Dubon has hit the Total Bases Under in his last 10 away games (+10.00 Units / 55% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Padres players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Padres Player Prop Best Bets Today:

• Manny Machado has hit the Singles Under in 18 of his last 20 games at home (+15.00 Units / 55% ROI)
• Fernando Tatis Jr. has hit the Runs Under in 20 of his last 25 games at home (+13.25 Units / 38% ROI)
• Jackson Merrill has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 19 of his last 25 games at home (+12.65 Units / 42% ROI)
• Xander Bogaerts has hit the Total Bases Under in 18 of his last 25 games (+11.40 Units / 32% ROI)
• Jackson Merrill has hit the Hits Under in 15 of his last 25 games at home (+10.50 Units / 36% ROI)

Braves Best Bets Today:

• The Atlanta Braves have covered the Run Line in 35 of their last 50 away games (+21.20 Units / 34% ROI)
• The Atlanta Braves have hit the Moneyline in 33 of their last 50 away games (+14.50 Units / 23% ROI)
• The Atlanta Braves have hit the Game Total Over in 28 of their last 45 away games (+11.55 Units / 23% ROI)
• The Atlanta Braves have hit the Team Total Over in 32 of their last 50 away games (+10.25 Units / 17% ROI)
• The Atlanta Braves have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 9 of their last 10 games (+8.40 Units / 71% ROI)

Padres Best Bets Today:

• The San Diego Padres have hit the Team Total Under in 20 of their last 25 games at home (+14.80 Units / 49% ROI)
• The San Diego Padres have hit the Game Total Under in 16 of their last 22 games at home (+9.50 Units / 40% ROI)
• The San Diego Padres have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 15 of their last 23 games at home (+6.35 Units / 22% ROI)
• The San Diego Padres have covered the Run Line in 27 of their last 50 games at home (+6.05 Units / 9% ROI)
• The San Diego Padres have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 23 of their last 50 games at home (+3.55 Units / 5% ROI)

Braves Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Braves are 42-34 against the Run Line (+13.3 Units / 15.33% ROI).

• 48-29 when betting on the Moneyline for +10.15 Units / 9.56% ROI
• 37-34 when betting on the total runs Over for +0.05 Units / 0.06% ROI
• 34-37 when betting on the total runs Under for -6.05 Units / -7.17% ROI

Padres Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Padres are 40-35 against the Run Line (-0.4 Units / -0.38% ROI).

• 40-37 when betting on the Moneyline for +0.1 Units / 0.11% ROI
• 33-42 when betting on the total runs Over for -13.1 Units / -15.39% ROI
• 42-33 when betting on the total runs Under for +6.05 Units / 7.16% ROI

Braves Keys to the Game vs. the Padres

The Braves are 6-0 (1.000) when tied entering the 7th inning this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .500.

The Braves are 19-9 (.679) after a loss this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .489.

The Braves are 3-27 (.100) when trailing entering the 9th inning this season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .056.

The Braves are 15-12 (.556) vs the top 10 runs allowed teams this season Today, they face Padres (seventh in runs allowed).

Padres Keys to the Game vs. the Braves

The Padres are 30-1 (.968) when leading entering the 8th inning this season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .895.

The Padres are 4-35 (.103) when trailing entering the 9th inning this season — tied for 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .056.

The Padres are 31-0 (1.000) when leading entering the 9th inning this season — tied for best in MLB; League Avg: .944.

The Padres are 4-2 (.667) when tied entering the 8th inning this season — tied for 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .500.

Braves Hitting Stats & Trends

Braves hitters have an OPS of .761 (1,531 PA’s) on the road this season — 3rd best in MLB.

The Braves are batting .179 with two-strikes this season — tied for 4th best in MLB.

Braves hitters have chased 33% of pitches out of the zone against LHP this season — 2nd highest in MLB.

Braves hitters are slugging .300 with two-strikes this season — 2nd best in MLB.

Padres Hitting Stats & Trends

Padres hitters have an OPS of just .637 (1,391 PA’s) at home this season — lowest in MLB.

The Padres are batting just .207 against starting pitchers this season — lowest in MLB.

Padres hitters have an OPS of just .617 (1,626 PA’s) against starting pitchers this season — lowest in MLB.

Padres hitters have an OPS of just .656 (2,813 PA’s) this season — lowest in MLB.

Braves Pitching Stats & Trends

Braves pitchers have an ERA of 3.17 (346.0 IP) at home this season — 2nd best in MLB.

Braves pitchers have a strikeout rate of 25% with runners in scoring position this season — 4th best in MLB.

The Braves have allowed 0.87 runs per game (67/77) in late innings this season — best in MLB.

Opponents are hitting just .224 against Braves pitchers this season — 3rd best in MLB.

Padres Pitching Stats & Trends

Opponents have a groundball rate of 46% against Padres pitchers this season — 2nd highest in MLB.

Padres pitchers have walked 11% of batters when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — 3rd highest in MLB.

Opponents have a groundball batting average of .267 against Padres pitchers this season — 4th highest in MLB.

Padres pitchers have allowed 74 home runs this season — 3rd fewest in MLB.

More MLB Reading:

• Home Run Predictions Today
• Best NRFI Bets Today
• Strikeout Props Today
• MLB Starting Pitchers Today

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