Braves vs Red Sox Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, May 27

Boston Red Sox's Jarren Duran plays against the Toronto Blue Jays during the first inning of a baseball game, Saturday, Aug. 5, 2023, in Boston.
(AP Photo/Michael Dwyer)
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  • The Braves are -115 favorites vs the Red Sox
  • Braves vs Red Sox Over / Under today: 8.5 Runs
  • Braves / Red Sox TV Channel: NESN | BRVN

The Atlanta Braves (-115) visit Fenway Park to take on the Boston Red Sox (-105) on May 27, 2026. First pitch is scheduled for 6:45 pm in Boston, MA.

This season, the Braves are 37-18 against the spread (ATS), while the Red Sox are 21-30 ATS.

Braves vs Red Sox Starting Pitchers Today:

  • Braves starting pitcher: Bryce Elder 4-2, 1.97 ERA
  • Red Sox starting pitcher: Connelly Early 4-2, 3.32 ERA

Braves vs. Red Sox Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Braves-1.5 +140O 8.5 -118-115
Red Sox +1.5 -170U 8.5 -102-105

Braves vs Red Sox Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Braves will win Wednesday‘s MLB game with 54.5% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.


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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Braves players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Braves Player Prop Bets Today:

  • Ha-Seong Kim has hit the Home Runs Over in 2 of his last 7 away games (+15.00 Units / 214% ROI)
  • Ha-Seong Kim has hit the Total Bases Under in 12 of his last 15 games (+11.25 Units / 63% ROI)
  • Matt Olson has hit the RBIs Over in 13 of his last 20 away games (+11.20 Units / 56% ROI)
  • Ha-Seong Kim has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 12 of his last 15 away games (+10.75 Units / 67% ROI)
  • Ronald Acuna Jr. has hit the Hits Under in 15 of his last 20 games (+10.05 Units / 26% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Red Sox players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Red Sox Player Prop Best Bets Today:

  • Jarren Duran has hit the Home Runs Over in 3 of his last 6 games (+14.90 Units / 248% ROI)
  • Marcelo Mayer has hit the Runs Under in 18 of his last 20 games at home (+14.00 Units / 33% ROI)
  • Marcelo Mayer has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 17 of his last 20 games at home (+12.90 Units / 46% ROI)
  • Willson Contreras has hit the Total Bases Over in his last 9 games (+10.85 Units / 102% ROI)
  • Marcelo Mayer has hit the Singles Under in 19 of his last 25 games at home (+9.85 Units / 24% ROI)
  • The Atlanta Braves have covered the Run Line in 40 of their last 50 away games (+33.65 Units / 55% ROI)
  • The Atlanta Braves have hit the Moneyline in 36 of their last 50 away games (+23.00 Units / 37% ROI)
  • The Atlanta Braves have hit the Team Total Over in 26 of their last 35 away games (+16.00 Units / 39% ROI)
  • The Atlanta Braves have hit the Game Total Over in 23 of their last 35 away games (+10.95 Units / 28% ROI)
  • The Atlanta Braves have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 31 of their last 50 away games (+10.45 Units / 17% ROI)
  • The Boston Red Sox have hit the Team Total Under in 30 of their last 45 games at home (+14.10 Units / 27% ROI)
  • The Boston Red Sox have hit the Game Total Under in 24 of their last 35 games at home (+13.95 Units / 37% ROI)
  • The Boston Red Sox have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 23 of their last 35 games at home (+9.10 Units / 21% ROI)
  • The Boston Red Sox have covered the Run Line in 10 of their last 18 games (+3.75 Units / 16% ROI)
  • The Boston Red Sox have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 6 of their last 14 games at home (+1.25 Units / 7% ROI)

Braves Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Braves are 34-21 against the Run Line (+18.6 Units / 30.17% ROI).

  • 37-18 when betting on the Moneyline for +13.8 Units / 17.92% ROI
  • 25-27 when betting on the total runs Over for -4.4 Units / -7.24% ROI
  • 27-25 when betting on the total runs Under for +0.1 Units / 0.17% ROI

Red Sox Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Red Sox are 21-30 against the Run Line (-8.65 Units / -13.48% ROI).

  • 22-31 when betting on the Moneyline for -16.55 Units / -25.02% ROI
  • 24-28 when betting on the total runs Over for -6.95 Units / -11.92% ROI
  • 28-24 when betting on the total runs Under for +1.4 Units / 2.4% ROI

Red Sox vs Braves Home Run Prop Bets Today

Yes
Matt Olson +400
Willson Contreras +425
Wilyer Abreu +425
Austin Riley +425
Ronald Acuna Jr. +450

Red Sox vs Braves Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Ronald Acuna Jr. 0.5 -275 0.5 +190
Mauricio Dubon 0.5 -275 0.5 +190
Wilyer Abreu 0.5 -250 0.5 +180
Ceddanne Rafaela 0.5 -250 0.5 +185
Masataka Yoshida 0.5 -250 0.5 +185

Red Sox vs Braves Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Carlos Narvaez 0.5 -275 0.5 +195
Eli White 0.5 -225 0.5 +165
Sandy Leon 0.5 -210 0.5 +155
Ceddanne Rafaela 0.5 -200 0.5 +150
Wilyer Abreu 0.5 -190 0.5 +140

Braves Keys to the Game vs. the Red Sox

The Braves are 6-0 (1.000) when tied entering the 7th inning this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .500.

The Braves are 20-8 (.714) on the road this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .476.

The Braves are 37-18 (.673) this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .500.

The Braves are 4-15 (.211) when trailing entering the 8th inning this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .102.

Red Sox Keys to the Game vs. the Braves

The Red Sox are just 8-18 (.308) at home this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .524.

The Red Sox are just 2-18 (.100) when allowing 10 or more hits this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .243.

The Red Sox are just 2-17 (.105) when allowing 5 or more runs this season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .208.

The Red Sox are 20-0 (1.000) when leading entering the 8th inning this season — tied for best in MLB; League Avg: .898.

Braves hitters are slugging .440 against RHP this season — best in MLB.

The Braves have scored 6.07 runs per game (170/28) on the road this season — tied for best in MLB.

Braves hitters are slugging .458 on the road this season — best in MLB.

Braves hitters have an OPS of .769 (1,335 PA’s) against RHP this season — 2nd best in MLB.

Red Sox hitters have an OPS of just .668 (1,518 PA’s) against RHP this season — 2nd lowest in MLB.

Red Sox hitters are slugging just .466 on the first pitch of at-bats this season — 3rd lowest in MLB.

The Red Sox are batting .273 against LHP this season — 2nd best in MLB.

The Red Sox are batting .253 on the road this season — 5th best in MLB.

Opponents are hitting just .208 against Braves pitchers this season — best in MLB.

Braves pitchers have a strikeout rate of 46% with two-strikes this season — 3rd best in MLB.

The Braves have allowed 0.89 runs per game (49/55) in late innings this season — best in MLB.

Braves pitchers have an ERA of 2.77 (247.0 IP) at home this season — best in MLB.

Red Sox pitchers have walked 5% of batters when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — best in MLB.

Opponents have a groundball batting average of just .221 against Red Sox pitchers this season — 5th best in MLB.

The Red Sox have allowed 0.91 runs per game (48/53) in late innings this season — 2nd best in MLB.

Red Sox pitchers have a strikeout rate of 28% in close and late situations this season — 3rd best in MLB.

More MLB Reading:


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.