• The Brewers are -160 favorites vs the Diamondbacks
• Brewers vs Diamondbacks Over / Under today: 8.5 Runs
• Brewers / Diamondbacks TV Channel: ATV

The Milwaukee Brewers (-160) visit Chase Field to take on the Arizona Diamondbacks (+135) on July 3, 2026. First pitch is scheduled for 9:45 pm in Phoenix, AZ.

This season, the Brewers are 53-32 against the spread (ATS), while the Diamondbacks are 46-38 ATS.

Brewers vs Diamondbacks Starting Pitchers Today:

• Brewers starting pitcher: Kyle Harrison 8-1, 2.60 ERA
• Diamondbacks starting pitcher: Jose Cabrera 0-1, 3.60 ERA

Brewers vs. Diamondbacks Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

Brewers vs Diamondbacks Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Brewers will win Friday‘s MLB game with 63.0% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.

Bet now on Brewers vs Diamondbacks and all games with BetMGM

We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Brewers players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Brewers Player Prop Bets Today:

• Brice Turang has hit the Walks Under in 20 of his last 25 games (+12.30 Units / 32% ROI)
• William Contreras has hit the Home Runs Over in 4 of his last 10 away games (+12.00 Units / 120% ROI)
• Jake Bauers has hit the Total Bases Over in 15 of his last 20 away games (+10.80 Units / 44% ROI)
• Kyle Harrison has hit the Hits Allowed Under in 12 of his last 15 games (+8.35 Units / 41% ROI)
• Cooper Pratt has hit the Singles Under in his last 8 games (+8.00 Units / 71% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Diamondbacks players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Diamondbacks Player Prop Best Bets Today:

• Ketel Marte has hit the Home Runs Over in 5 of his last 7 games (+18.30 Units / 261% ROI)
• Ildemaro Vargas has hit the Total Bases Under in 18 of his last 20 games at home (+15.40 Units / 47% ROI)
• Ildemaro Vargas has hit the Hits Under in 16 of his last 25 games (+14.60 Units / 50% ROI)
• Ketel Marte has hit the RBIs Over in 15 of his last 25 games at home (+13.25 Units / 53% ROI)
• Lourdes Gurriel Jr. has hit the Runs Under in 20 of his last 25 games (+12.90 Units / 28% ROI)

Brewers Best Bets Today:

• The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the Moneyline in 34 of their last 50 games (+12.05 Units / 16% ROI)
• The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 17 of their last 25 games (+7.75 Units / 25% ROI)
• The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the Game Total Under in 29 of their last 50 games (+7.05 Units / 13% ROI)
• The Milwaukee Brewers have covered the Run Line in 27 of their last 50 games (+6.85 Units / 12% ROI)
• The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the Team Total Under in 29 of their last 50 away games (+5.10 Units / 9% ROI)

Diamondbacks Best Bets Today:

• The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 36 of their last 50 games at home (+19.55 Units / 32% ROI)
• The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the Game Total Under in 31 of their last 50 games (+13.55 Units / 25% ROI)
• The Arizona Diamondbacks have covered the Run Line in 28 of their last 50 games at home (+5.85 Units / 10% ROI)
• The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the Moneyline in 29 of their last 50 games at home (+4.75 Units / 7% ROI)
• The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the Team Total Under in 18 of their last 30 games (+4.70 Units / 13% ROI)

Brewers Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Brewers are 48-37 against the Run Line (+17.55 Units / 17.63% ROI).

• 53-32 when betting on the Moneyline for +9.65 Units / 7.95% ROI
• 38-45 when betting on the total runs Over for -11.45 Units / -12.23% ROI
• 45-38 when betting on the total runs Under for +3.35 Units / 3.58% ROI

Diamondbacks Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Diamondbacks are 46-38 against the Run Line (+0.9 Units / 0.78% ROI).

• 43-43 when betting on the Moneyline for -2.4 Units / -2.36% ROI
• 36-45 when betting on the total runs Over for -13.35 Units / -14.07% ROI
• 45-36 when betting on the total runs Under for +5.75 Units / 6.09% ROI

Diamondbacks vs Brewers Home Run Prop Bets Today

Diamondbacks vs Brewers Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Diamondbacks vs Brewers Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Brewers Keys to the Game vs. the Diamondbacks

The Brewers are 8-23 (.258) when trailing entering the 8th inning this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .101.

The Brewers are 8-22 (.267) when trailing entering the 7th inning this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .139.

The Brewers are 24-14 (.632) on the road this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .473.

The Brewers are 53-32 (.624) this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .500.

Diamondbacks Keys to the Game vs. the Brewers

The Diamondbacks are 37-0 (1.000) when leading entering the 9th inning this season — tied for best in MLB; League Avg: .944.

The Diamondbacks are just 9-19 (.321) vs top 10 scoring offenses this season Today, they face the Brewers (third in runs scored).

The Diamondbacks are just 90-23 (.796) when leading entering the 7th inning since the 2025 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .870.

The Diamondbacks were just 67-7 (.905) when leading entering the 9th inning in the 2025 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .956.

Brewers Hitting Stats & Trends

The Brewers are batting .393 on the first pitch of at-bats this season — best in MLB.

Brewers hitters have come to the plate with runners in scoring position in 971 of their 3,304 plate appearances (29%) this season — highest in MLB.

Brewers hitters are slugging just .358 against LHP this season — 4th lowest in MLB.

Brewers hitters are slugging .652 on the first pitch of at-bats this season — best in MLB.

Diamondbacks Hitting Stats & Trends

Diamondbacks hitters have struck out in just 16% of their PA’s against LHP this season — best in MLB.

9% of Diamondbacks’ hitters plate appearances have lasted only one pitch (291/3,195 PA’s) this season — lowest in MLB.

Diamondbacks hitters are slugging just .278 on breaking pitches against RHP this season — lowest in MLB.

Diamondbacks hitters have struck out in just 19% of their PA’s this season — 2nd best in MLB.

Brewers Pitching Stats & Trends

The Brewers have won 54% of games in which their opponents scored first this season — highest in MLB.

The Brewers have won 59% of home games in which their opponents scored first this season — highest in MLB.

Brewers pitchers have a strikeout rate of 27% this season — best in MLB.

Brewers pitchers have a strikeout rate of 29% in the first 5 innings this season — best in MLB.

Diamondbacks Pitching Stats & Trends

Diamondbacks pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 18% this season — 2nd lowest in MLB.

Diamondbacks pitchers have struck out just 17% of left-handed batters they faced this season — lowest in MLB.

Diamondbacks pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 38% with two-strikes this season — 2nd lowest in MLB.

The Diamondbacks pitchers have allowed their opponents to score first in 62% of their games this season — highest in MLB.

More MLB Reading:

• Home Run Predictions Today
• Best NRFI Bets Today
• Strikeout Props Today
• MLB Starting Pitchers Today

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