Brewers vs Marlins Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Apr 17

Miami Marlins starting pitcher Sandy Alcantara aims a pitch during a baseball game against the New York Yankees, Saturday, Aug. 12, 2023, in Miami. (AP Photo/Marta Lavandier)
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  • The Brewers are -105 favorites vs the Marlins
  • Brewers vs Marlins Over / Under today: 8.5 Runs
  • Brewers / Marlins TV Channel: MATV | BRTV

The Milwaukee Brewers (-105) visit loanDepot park to take on the Miami Marlins (-115) on April 17, 2026. First pitch is scheduled for 7:10 pm in Miami, FL.

This season, the Brewers are 10-8 against the spread (ATS), while the Marlins are 7-12 ATS.

Brewers vs Marlins Starting Pitchers Today:

  • Brewers starting pitcher: Kyle Harrison 1-1, 3.22 ERA
  • Marlins starting pitcher: Janson Junk 0-2, 4.41 ERA

Brewers vs. Marlins Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Brewers-1.5 +155O 8.5 -115-105
Marlins +1.5 -190U 8.5 -105-115

Brewers vs Marlins Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Marlins will win Friday‘s MLB game with 51.0% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.


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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Brewers players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Brewers Player Prop Bets Today:

  • Jake Bauers has hit the Home Runs Over in 3 of his last 4 games (+13.60 Units / 340% ROI)
  • Gary Sanchez has hit the Walks Over in 8 of his last 9 games (+13.00 Units / 144% ROI)
  • Brice Turang has hit the Hits Under in 11 of his last 15 away games (+11.30 Units / 58% ROI)
  • Sal Frelick has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 18 of his last 25 games (+9.75 Units / 29% ROI)
  • Brice Turang has hit the Singles Under in his last 8 away games (+8.60 Units / 95% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Marlins players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Marlins Player Prop Best Bets Today:

  • Jakob Marsee has hit the Hits Under in 16 of his last 25 games (+15.15 Units / 57% ROI)
  • Connor Norby has hit the Home Runs Over in 2 of his last 7 games (+9.90 Units / 141% ROI)
  • Jakob Marsee has hit the Singles Under in 18 of his last 25 games (+9.20 Units / 31% ROI)
  • Jakob Marsee has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 18 of his last 25 games (+9.20 Units / 31% ROI)
  • Connor Norby has hit the Total Bases Over in his last 8 games (+8.90 Units / 77% ROI)
  • The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the Team Total Under in 15 of their last 19 away games (+10.10 Units / 43% ROI)
  • The Milwaukee Brewers have covered the Run Line in 29 of their last 50 away games (+8.60 Units / 13% ROI)
  • The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the Moneyline in 28 of their last 50 away games (+5.25 Units / 9% ROI)
  • The Milwaukee Brewers have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 26 of their last 45 away games (+4.85 Units / 9% ROI)
  • The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the Game Total Under in 10 of their last 15 away games (+4.55 Units / 28% ROI)
  • The Miami Marlins have hit the Game Total Over in 30 of their last 50 games (+11.40 Units / 21% ROI)
  • The Miami Marlins have hit the Moneyline in 21 of their last 35 games (+9.90 Units / 23% ROI)
  • The Miami Marlins have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 22 of their last 35 games (+8.15 Units / 19% ROI)
  • The Miami Marlins have hit the Team Total Over in 30 of their last 50 games (+8.05 Units / 14% ROI)
  • The Miami Marlins have covered the Run Line in 10 of their last 18 games at home (+4.60 Units / 23% ROI)

Brewers Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Brewers are 11-7 against the Run Line (+5.75 Units / 26.38% ROI).

  • 10-8 when betting on the Moneyline for -1.7 Units / -6.67% ROI
  • 10-8 when betting on the total runs Over for +0.95 Units / 4.71% ROI
  • 8-10 when betting on the total runs Under for -2.85 Units / -14.62% ROI

Marlins Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Marlins are 7-12 against the Run Line (-6.05 Units / -25.37% ROI).

  • 9-10 when betting on the Moneyline for -0.6 Units / -2.45% ROI
  • 12-5 when betting on the total runs Over for +6.5 Units / 30.95% ROI
  • 5-12 when betting on the total runs Under for -8.1 Units / -38.94% ROI

Marlins vs Brewers Home Run Prop Bets Today

Yes
Gary Sanchez +425
Jake Bauers +500
William Contreras +550
Connor Norby +725
Garrett Mitchell +725

Marlins vs Brewers Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Brice Turang 0.5 -250 0.5 +185
Otto Lopez 0.5 -250 0.5 +180
Xavier Edwards 0.5 -225 0.5 +165
Connor Norby 0.5 -200 0.5 +145
Brandon Lockridge 0.5 -190 0.5 +140

Marlins vs Brewers Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Jakob Marsee 0.5 -235 0.5 +175
Agustin Ramirez 0.5 -175 0.5 +130
Connor Norby 0.5 -160 0.5 +120
Deyvison De Los Santos 0.5 -150 0.5 +110
Janson Junk 3.5 -135 3.5 +100

Brewers Keys to the Game vs. the Marlins

The Brewers are just 5-4 (.556) when leading entering the 7th inning this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .866.

The Brewers are 2-4 (.333) when trailing entering the 8th inning this season — tied for 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .108.

The Brewers are 2-4 (.333) when trailing entering the 7th inning this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .134.

The Brewers were 97-65 (.599) in the 2025 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .500.

Marlins Keys to the Game vs. the Brewers

The Marlins were 65-1 (.985) when leading entering the 9th inning in the 2025 season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .956.

The Marlins are 11-75 (.128) when trailing entering the 8th inning since the 2025 season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .092.

The Marlins were 9-67 (.118) when trailing entering the 8th inning in the 2025 season — tied for 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .090.

The Marlins are just 1-8 (.111) when allowing 5 or more runs this season — tied for 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .240.

Brewers hitters have an OBP of .336 (2,062 PA’s) against LHP since the 2025 season — 2nd best in MLB.

Brewers hitters had 121 extra-base hits out of 435 total hits (just 28%) against LHP in the 2025 season — lowest in MLB.

Brewers hitters have an OBP of .339 (3,464 PA’s) on the road since the 2025 season — best in MLB.

Brewers hitters had an OBP of .339 (3,229 PA’s) on the road in the 2025 season — best in MLB.

Marlins hitters have put 40% of their swings in play on the first pitch of at-bats since the 2025 season — 2nd highest in MLB.

Marlins hitters slugged just .504 on the first pitch of at-bats in the 2025 season — 2nd lowest in MLB.

The Marlins are batting .203 with two-strikes this season — tied for best in MLB.

Marlins hitters have put 41% of their swings in play this season — highest in MLB.

Brewers pitchers had an ERA of 3.59 (1442.0 IP) in the 2025 season — 2nd best in MLB.

Brewers pitchers have picked-off 5 runners from first base this season — most in MLB.

Brewers pitchers have picked-off 6 runners this season — most in MLB.

Brewers pitchers have walked 7% of batters over the past seven days (6 games) — tied for 3rd best in MLB.

Marlins pitchers had a strikeout rate of just 40% with two-strikes in the 2025 season — 5th lowest in MLB.

Marlins pitchers have walked 12% of batters when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — 5th highest in MLB.

The Marlins allowed 6.04 runs per game (489/81) at home in the 2024 season — highest in MLB.

Marlins pitchers have an ERA of 5.07 (776.1 IP) on the road since the 2025 season — 3rd highest in MLB.

More MLB Reading:


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.