- The Padres are -135 favorites vs the Brewers
- Brewers vs Padres Over / Under today: 7.5 Runs
- Brewers / Padres TV Channel: FS1 | FOX1
The Milwaukee Brewers (+115) visit Petco Park to take on the San Diego Padres (-135) on October 6, 2026. First pitch is scheduled for 9:30 pm in San Diego, CA.
This season, the Brewers are 105-59 against the spread (ATS), while the Padres are 93-70 ATS.
Brewers vs Padres Starting Pitchers Today:
- Brewers starting pitcher: Dustin May 7-9, 4.74 ERA
- Padres starting pitcher: Nick Pivetta 3-2, 2.84 ERA
Brewers vs. Padres Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Brewers | +1.5 -200 | O 7.5 -115 | +115 |
| Padres | -1.5 +165 | U 7.5 -105 | -135 |
Brewers vs Padres Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Padres will win Tuesday‘s MLB game with 56.0% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Brewers players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Brewers Player Prop Bets Today:
- Joey Ortiz has hit the Total Bases Over in 20 of his last 25 games (+15.55 Units / 41% ROI)
- Joey Ortiz has hit the Hits Over in 21 of his last 25 games (+13.70 Units / 31% ROI)
- Sal Frelick has hit the Singles Under in 19 of his last 25 games (+13.00 Units / 47% ROI)
- Jake Bauers has hit the Walks Over in 15 of his last 20 away games (+12.85 Units / 57% ROI)
- William Contreras has hit the RBIs Over in 15 of his last 25 games (+12.40 Units / 50% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Padres players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Padres Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Dustin Harris has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 18 of his last 25 games (+11.90 Units / 42% ROI)
- Xander Bogaerts has hit the Home Runs Over in 2 of his last 4 games at home (+11.60 Units / 290% ROI)
- Xander Bogaerts has hit the Runs Over in his last 8 games at home (+11.40 Units / 142% ROI)
- Jackson Merrill has hit the Hits Over in 15 of his last 20 games (+9.90 Units / 29% ROI)
- Fernando Tatis Jr. has hit the RBIs Over in 11 of his last 20 games at home (+9.45 Units / 47% ROI)
Brewers Best Bets Today:
- The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the Moneyline in 29 of their last 40 games (+14.65 Units / 24% ROI)
- The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 28 of their last 50 games (+13.20 Units / 16% ROI)
- The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the Team Total Over in 24 of their last 40 games (+6.30 Units / 14% ROI)
- The Milwaukee Brewers have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 12 of their last 18 games (+5.80 Units / 27% ROI)
- The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 28 of their last 50 games (+5.65 Units / 10% ROI)
Padres Best Bets Today:
- The San Diego Padres have hit the Moneyline in 37 of their last 50 games at home (+22.25 Units / 34% ROI)
- The San Diego Padres have covered the Run Line in 32 of their last 50 games (+16.90 Units / 27% ROI)
- The San Diego Padres have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 20 of their last 24 games (+16.80 Units / 59% ROI)
- The San Diego Padres have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 26 of their last 35 games (+16.30 Units / 40% ROI)
- The San Diego Padres have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 18 of their last 24 games (+15.30 Units / 46% ROI)
Brewers Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Brewers are 84-80 against the Run Line (+14.6 Units / 7.83% ROI).
- 105-59 when betting on the Moneyline for +24.1 Units / 9.89% ROI
- 73-85 when betting on the total runs Over for -19.85 Units / -11.01% ROI
- 85-73 when betting on the total runs Under for +5.05 Units / 2.79% ROI
Padres Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Padres are 93-70 against the Run Line (+19.2 Units / 8.84% ROI).
- 93-73 when betting on the Moneyline for +14.85 Units / 7.26% ROI
- 78-82 when betting on the total runs Over for -12.25 Units / -6.68% ROI
- 82-78 when betting on the total runs Under for -3.15 Units / -1.73% ROI
Brewers Keys to the Game vs. the Padres
The Brewers are 13-45 (.224) when trailing entering the 7th inning this season — best in MLB.
The Brewers are 17-3 (.850) when tied entering the 7th inning this season — best in MLB.
The Brewers are 20-17 (.541) when their opponents score in the first inning this season — 2nd best in MLB.
The Brewers are 11-47 (.190) when trailing entering the 8th inning this season — best in MLB.
Padres Keys to the Game vs. the Brewers
The Padres are 73-2 (.973) when leading entering the 8th inning this season — tied for 2nd best in MLB.
The Padres are 51-30 (.630) at home this season — tied for 4th best in MLB.
The Padres are 39-28 (.582) vs top 10 scoring offenses this season Today, they face the Brewers (second in runs scored).
The Padres are 26-21 (.553) vs the top 10 runs allowed teams this season Today, they face Brewers (fourth fewest runs allowed).
Brewers Hitting Stats & Trends
The Brewers are batting .403 on the first pitch of at-bats this season — best in MLB.
Brewers hitters have an OBP of .346 (4,374 PA’s) against RHP this season — best in MLB.
Brewers hitters have an OBP of .341 (6,299 PA’s) this season — best in MLB.
Brewers hitters have come to the plate with runners in scoring position in 1,866 of their 6,299 plate appearances (30%) this season — highest in MLB.
Padres Hitting Stats & Trends
The Padres have won 94% of home games in which they have scored three or more runs in an inning this season — 2nd highest in MLB.
The Padres are batting .251 with two outs this season — 3rd best in MLB.
The Padres have a winning percentage of 63% at home this season — tied for 4th best in MLB.
The Padres have answered-back in 37% of innings after an opponent scores in late innings this season — highest in MLB.
Brewers Pitching Stats & Trends
The Brewers have won 61% of home games in which their opponents scored first this season — highest in MLB.
In games when their opponents have scored three or more runs in an inning, the Brewers have still managed to win 40% of the time this season — highest in MLB.
The longest HR allowed by the Brewers pitchers this season traveled 523.9 feet — — 2nd longest in MLB
The Brewers have won 49% of games in which their opponents scored first this season — highest in MLB.
Padres Pitching Stats & Trends
The Padres have won 46% of home games in which their opponents scored first this season — 2nd highest in MLB.
Padres pitchers have a strikeout rate of 29% in close and late situations this season — 2nd best in MLB.
The longest HR allowed by the Padres pitchers this season traveled 453.0 feet — — 5th shortest in MLB
Padres pitchers have won 35% of games in which they have allowed their opponent to score in three different innings this season — 2nd highest in MLB.
More MLB Reading:
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