- The Cubs are -130 favorites vs the Diamondbacks
- Diamondbacks vs Cubs Over / Under today: 7 Runs
- Diamondbacks / Cubs TV Channel: DBTV | MARQ
The Arizona Diamondbacks (+120) visit Wrigley Field to take on the Chicago Cubs (-145) on Sunday, April 20, 2025. First pitch is scheduled for 2:20pm EDT in Chicago, IL, IL.
This season, the Diamondbacks are 12-9 against the spread (ATS), while the Cubs are 13-10 ATS.
Diamondbacks vs Cubs Starting Pitchers Today:
- Diamondbacks starting pitcher: Merrill Kelly 3-1, 5.58 ERA
- Cubs starting pitcher: Jameson Taillon 1-1, 5.41 ERA
Diamondbacks vs. Cubs Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Diamondbacks | +1.5 -200 | O 7.5 -125 | +120 |
| Cubs | -1.5 +165 | U 7.5 +105 | -145 |
Diamondbacks vs Cubs Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Cubs will win Sunday‘s MLB game with 52.3% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Diamondbacks players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Diamondbacks Player Prop Bets Today:
- Josh Naylor has hit the Home Runs Over in 4 of his last 9 games (+19.30 Units / 214% ROI)
- Eugenio Suarez has hit the Singles Under in 18 of his last 20 games (+14.30 Units / 39% ROI)
- Eugenio Suarez has hit the RBIs Under in 14 of his last 15 games (+12.85 Units / 41% ROI)
- Corbin Carroll has hit the Hits Over in 14 of his last 15 games (+12.15 Units / 36% ROI)
- Eugenio Suarez has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 13 of his last 15 games (+10.70 Units / 58% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Cubs players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Cubs Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Michael Busch has hit the Home Runs Over in 4 of his last 7 games (+19.20 Units / 274% ROI)
- Pete Crow-Armstrong has hit the Runs Over in 13 of his last 20 games (+14.95 Units / 75% ROI)
- Ian Happ has hit the Singles Over in 16 of his last 25 games at home (+10.95 Units / 43% ROI)
- Pete Crow-Armstrong has hit the Total Bases Over in his last 7 games (+7.50 Units / 83% ROI)
- Michael Busch has hit the RBIs Over in his last 4 games at home (+7.15 Units / 179% ROI)
Diamondbacks Best Bets Today:
- The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the Game Total Over in 92 of their last 162 games (+24.05 Units / 13% ROI)
- The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the Moneyline in 48 of their last 84 away games (+13.65 Units / 14% ROI)
- The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 49 of their last 83 away games (+10.75 Units / 10% ROI)
- The Arizona Diamondbacks have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 49 of their last 84 away games (+10.50 Units / 10% ROI)
- The Arizona Diamondbacks have covered the Run Line in 49 of their last 84 away games (+8.00 Units / 7% ROI)
Cubs Best Bets Today:
- The Chicago Cubs have hit the Team Total Under in 51 of their last 84 games at home (+14.50 Units / 15% ROI)
- The Chicago Cubs have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 16 of their last 19 games (+12.95 Units / 57% ROI)
- The Chicago Cubs have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 15 of their last 21 games (+10.05 Units / 37% ROI)
- The Chicago Cubs have hit the Game Total Under in 46 of their last 84 games at home (+5.30 Units / 6% ROI)
Diamondbacks Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Diamondbacks are 11-10 against the Run Line (+1.85 Units / 7.41% ROI).
- 12-9 when betting on the Moneyline for +0.85 Units / 3.1% ROI
- 10-8 when betting on the total runs Over for +1.15 Units / 4.99% ROI
- 8-10 when betting on the total runs Under for -3.2 Units / -13.82% ROI
Cubs Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Cubs are 13-10 against the Run Line (+4.1 Units / 13.99% ROI).
- 14-9 when betting on the Moneyline for +5.15 Units / 18.56% ROI
- 15-7 when betting on the total runs Over for +7.55 Units / 30.38% ROI
- 7-15 when betting on the total runs Under for -9.7 Units / -37.67% ROI
Cubs vs Diamondbacks Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Corbin Carroll (ARI) | 0.5 +500 | 0.5 -700 |
| Kyle Tucker (CHC) | 0.5 +525 | 0.5 -750 |
| Michael Busch (CHC) | 0.5 +575 | 0.5 -900 |
| Seiya Suzuki (CHC) | 0.5 +625 | 0.5 -1000 |
| Tim Tawa (ARI) | 0.5 +650 | 0.5 -1100 |
Cubs vs Diamondbacks Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Corbin Carroll (ARI) | 0.5 -235 | 0.5 +180 |
| Josh Naylor (ARI) | 0.5 -200 | 0.5 +150 |
| Kyle Tucker (CHC) | 0.5 -200 | 0.5 +150 |
| Lourdes Gurriel Jr. (ARI) | 0.5 -190 | 0.5 +145 |
| Nico Hoerner (CHC) | 0.5 -190 | 0.5 +145 |
Cubs vs Diamondbacks RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Michael Busch (CHC) | 0.5 +160 | 0.5 -210 |
| Seiya Suzuki (CHC) | 0.5 +180 | 0.5 -250 |
| Josh Naylor (ARI) | 0.5 +195 | 0.5 -275 |
| Lourdes Gurriel Jr. (ARI) | 0.5 +200 | 0.5 -275 |
| Miguel Amaya (CHC) | 0.5 +200 | 0.5 -275 |
Cubs vs Diamondbacks Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Merrill Kelly (ARI) | 4.5 -130 | 4.5 +100 |
| Jameson Taillon (CHC) | 4.5 -130 | 4.5 +100 |
Diamondbacks Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Merrill Kelly has allowed an OBP of just .056 (18 PA’s) when going through the lineup the second time in a game over the last 14 days — best among NL Starters over the last two weeks; League Avg: .281 — 100th Percentile.
Merrill Kelly has allowed an OBP of just .167 (36 PA’s) when going through the lineup the second time in a game this season — best among among NL Starters; League Avg: .290 — 100th Percentile.
Opponents are hitting just .118 (4-for-34) against Merrill Kelly when going through the lineup the second time in a game this season — 2nd best among among NL Starters; League Avg: .226 — 97th Percentile.
Merrill Kelly has a strikeout rate of just 33% (16 SO in 49 PAs) with two-strikes this season — 9th lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 44% — ninth Percentile.
Cubs Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Jameson Taillon has allowed a slugging percentage of .744 (29 Total Bases / 39 ABs) against right-handed batters this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .367 — first Percentile.
Jameson Taillon has allowed a slugging percentage of .706 (24 Total Bases / 34 ABs) when going through the lineup the second time in a game this season — highest among among NL Starters; League Avg: .366 — second Percentile.
Jameson Taillon has allowed an OPS of 1.085 (41 PA’s) against right-handed batters this season — highest among among NL Starters; League Avg: .658 — second Percentile.
Jameson Taillon allowed an OBP of just .217 (129 PA’s) with runners in scoring position in the 2024 season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .309 — 100th Percentile.
Diamondbacks Keys to the Game vs. the Cubs
The Diamondbacks are 3-9 (.250) when trailing entering the 8th inning this season — tied for best in MLB; League Avg: .074.
The Diamondbacks were 67-15 (.807) when they allowed 4 or fewer runs in the 2024 season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .723.
The Diamondbacks are 51-41 (.554) on the road since last season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .468.
The Diamondbacks are 77-17 (.811) when allowing 4 or fewer runs since last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .721.
Cubs Keys to the Game vs. the Diamondbacks
The Cubs are 8-5 (.615) on the road this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .383.
The Cubs are 7-2 (.778) after a loss this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .513.
The Cubs are 65-30 (.684) when they’ve scored in the first inning since the 2023 season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .625.
The Cubs are just 0-6 (.000) when trailing entering the 7th inning this season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .110.
Diamondbacks Hitting Stats & Trends
The Diamondbacks are batting .279 against LHP since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .244.
The Diamondbacks batted .284 against LHP in the 2024 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .245.
The Diamondbacks have scored 52 runs in late innings this season — most in MLB.
Diamondbacks hitters have an OBP of .344 (2,202 PA’s) against LHP since last season — tied for best in MLB; League Avg: .313.
Cubs Hitting Stats & Trends
The Cubs have scored 45 runs in innings 7-9 this season — 2nd most in MLB.
Cubs hitters are slugging .524 against LHP this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .369.
The Cubs have scored 45 runs in late innings this season — 2nd most in MLB.
Cubs hitters are slugging .492 on the road this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .369.
Diamondbacks Pitching Stats & Trends
Batters facing the Diamondbacks pitchers have struck out in the zone 47% of the time since the 2023 season — tied for 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 49%. since the 2023 season — tied for 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 49%.
Opponents had a miss rate of just 24% against Diamondbacks pitchers in the 2024 season — tied for 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
The Diamondbacks pitchers have allowed their opponents to score first in just 35% of their games on the road since the 2023 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 44%.
Diamondbacks pitchers allowed an average Exit Velocity of 89.5 MPH (4,288 batted balls) in the 2024 season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 88.8.
Cubs Pitching Stats & Trends
Batters facing the Cubs pitchers have struck out in the zone 41% of the time this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 51%. this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 51%.
Cubs pitchers have walked 9% of batters when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since last season — tied for highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Batters facing the Cubs pitchers have struck out in the zone 48% of the time since the 2023 season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 49%. since the 2023 season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 49%.
Opponents have a miss rate of just 24% against Cubs pitchers this season — tied for 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
More MLB Reading:
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