Diamondbacks vs Marlins Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Jun 10

Miami Marlins' Kyle Stowers strikes out swinging during the second inning of a baseball game against the Philadelphia Phillies, Thursday, Sept. 5, 2024, in Miami.
(AP Photo/Lynne Sladky)
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  • The Diamondbacks are -115 favorites vs the Marlins
  • Diamondbacks vs Marlins Over / Under today: 8.5 Runs
  • Diamondbacks / Marlins TV Channel: DBTV | MATV

The Arizona Diamondbacks (-115) visit loanDepot park to take on the Miami Marlins (-105) on June 10, 2026. First pitch is scheduled for 6:40 pm in Miami, FL.

This season, the Diamondbacks are 34-32 against the spread (ATS), while the Marlins are 32-35 ATS.

Diamondbacks vs Marlins Starting Pitchers Today:

  • Diamondbacks starting pitcher: Ryne Nelson 2-4, 4.59 ERA
  • Marlins starting pitcher: Ryan Gusto 0-1, 10.81 ERA

Diamondbacks vs. Marlins Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Diamondbacks-1.5 +150O 8.5 -120-115
Marlins +1.5 -185U 8.5 +100-105

Diamondbacks vs Marlins Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Marlins will win Wednesday‘s MLB game with 51.8% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.


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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Diamondbacks players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Diamondbacks Player Prop Bets Today:

  • Corbin Carroll has hit the Home Runs Over in 4 of his last 7 games (+16.70 Units / 239% ROI)
  • Geraldo Perdomo has hit the Runs Over in 7 of his last 8 away games (+9.65 Units / 118% ROI)
  • Geraldo Perdomo has hit the Walks Under in 13 of his last 15 games (+9.30 Units / 37% ROI)
  • Corbin Carroll has hit the RBIs Under in 16 of his last 20 away games (+8.50 Units / 19% ROI)
  • Corbin Carroll has hit the Total Bases Over in 16 of his last 25 games (+7.90 Units / 29% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Marlins players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Marlins Player Prop Best Bets Today:

  • Joe Mack has hit the Singles Over in 10 of his last 20 games (+4.85 Units / 24% ROI)
  • Joe Mack has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 5 of his last 6 games (+4.05 Units / 53% ROI)
  • Joe Mack has hit the Home Runs Over in 1 of his last 6 games (+4.00 Units / 67% ROI)
  • Joe Mack has hit the Total Bases Over in 5 of his last 7 games (+2.65 Units / 30% ROI)
  • Joe Mack has hit the Hits Over in 5 of his last 7 games (+2.50 Units / 28% ROI)
  • The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 32 of their last 45 games (+18.15 Units / 34% ROI)
  • The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the Team Total Over in 32 of their last 50 away games (+11.90 Units / 20% ROI)
  • The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the Game Total Under in 21 of their last 35 games (+7.85 Units / 20% ROI)
  • The Arizona Diamondbacks have covered the Run Line in 14 of their last 24 games (+4.70 Units / 16% ROI)
  • The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the Moneyline in 13 of their last 22 games (+2.55 Units / 9% ROI)
  • The Miami Marlins have hit the Moneyline in 27 of their last 45 games at home (+7.20 Units / 13% ROI)
  • The Miami Marlins have hit the Game Total Over in 16 of their last 25 games (+7.00 Units / 25% ROI)
  • The Miami Marlins have covered the Run Line in 6 of their last 7 games at home (+5.70 Units / 58% ROI)
  • The Miami Marlins have hit the Team Total Over in 9 of their last 13 games at home (+4.50 Units / 28% ROI)
  • The Miami Marlins have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 25 of their last 45 games at home (+3.85 Units / 7% ROI)

Diamondbacks Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Diamondbacks are 39-26 against the Run Line (+7.75 Units / 8.53% ROI).

  • 34-32 when betting on the Moneyline for +1.2 Units / 1.55% ROI
  • 31-32 when betting on the total runs Over for -3.95 Units / -5.44% ROI
  • 32-31 when betting on the total runs Under for -1.9 Units / -2.62% ROI

Marlins Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Marlins are 32-35 against the Run Line (-7.95 Units / -8.93% ROI).

  • 32-35 when betting on the Moneyline for -1.6 Units / -2.03% ROI
  • 39-25 when betting on the total runs Over for +11.1 Units / 14.94% ROI
  • 25-39 when betting on the total runs Under for -17.75 Units / -24.28% ROI

Marlins vs Diamondbacks Home Run Prop Bets Today

Yes
Ketel Marte +380
Corbin Carroll +425
Kyle Stowers +425
Owen Caissie +650
Connor Norby +725

Marlins vs Diamondbacks Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Xavier Edwards 0.5 -250 0.5 +185
Corbin Carroll 0.5 -235 0.5 +170
Gabriel Moreno 0.5 -220 0.5 +160
Liam Hicks 0.5 -210 0.5 +155
Kyle Stowers 0.5 -210 0.5 +150

Marlins vs Diamondbacks Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Gabriel Moreno 0.5 -220 0.5 +160
Corbin Carroll 0.5 -210 0.5 +155
Pavin Smith 0.5 -200 0.5 +145
Connor Norby 0.5 -190 0.5 +140
Joe Mack 0.5 -185 0.5 +135

Diamondbacks Keys to the Game vs. the Marlins

The Diamondbacks are just 4-16 (.200) when allowing 2 or more home runs this season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .292.

The Diamondbacks are just 85-22 (.794) when leading entering the 7th inning since the 2025 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .870.

The Diamondbacks were just 67-7 (.905) when leading entering the 9th inning in the 2025 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .956.

The Diamondbacks are just 95-16 (.856) when leading entering the 8th inning since the 2025 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .904.

Marlins Keys to the Game vs. the Diamondbacks

The Marlins are 7-1 (.875) when tied entering the 8th inning this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .500.

The Marlins are just 3-13 (.188) when allowing 2 or more home runs this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .292.

The Marlins are 5-2 (.714) when tied entering the 7th inning this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .500.

The Marlins were just 39-14 (.736) when leading entering the 7th inning in the 2024 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .856.

Diamondbacks hitters have struck out in just 17% of their PA’s against LHP this season — best in MLB.

The Diamondbacks are batting .273 against LHP this season — best in MLB.

Diamondbacks hitters have put 42% of their swings in play against LHP this season — highest in MLB.

Diamondbacks hitters have a swing rate of just 25% on the first pitch of at-bats this season — lowest in MLB.

Marlins hitters have an OBP of .263 (1,281 PA’s) with two-strikes this season — tied for 2nd best in MLB.

Marlins hitters have a Hard-Hit Rate of just 34% on the first pitch of at-bats this season — lowest in MLB.

Marlins hitters have put 41% of their swings in play on the first pitch of at-bats this season — highest in MLB.

Marlins hitters are slugging just .468 on the first pitch of at-bats this season — 3rd lowest in MLB.

Diamondbacks pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 19% this season — 2nd lowest in MLB.

Diamondbacks pitchers have walked 7% of batters when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — 4th best in MLB.

Diamondbacks pitchers have struck out just 18% of left-handed batters they faced this season — lowest in MLB.

Diamondbacks pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 19% with runners in scoring position this season — 3rd lowest in MLB.

Marlins pitchers have walked 10% of batters when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — 4th highest in MLB.

Marlins pitchers have a first-pitch strike rate of 63% this season — tied for 4th highest in MLB.

Opponents are hitting just .229 against Marlins pitchers this season — tied for 5th best in MLB.

Marlins pitchers have an ERA of 5.14 (254.0 IP) on the road this season — 5th highest in MLB.

More MLB Reading:


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.