Giants vs Marlins Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Jun 21

Miami Marlins' Kyle Stowers strikes out swinging during the second inning of a baseball game against the Philadelphia Phillies, Thursday, Sept. 5, 2024, in Miami.
(AP Photo/Lynne Sladky)
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  • The Giants are -150 favorites vs the Marlins
  • Giants vs Marlins Over / Under today: 8.5 Runs
  • Giants / Marlins TV Channel: NSBA | MATV

The San Francisco Giants (-150) visit loanDepot park to take on the Miami Marlins (+125) on June 21, 2026. First pitch is scheduled for 1:40 pm in Miami, FL.

This season, the Giants are 31-45 against the spread (ATS), while the Marlins are 39-37 ATS.

Giants vs Marlins Starting Pitchers Today:

  • Giants starting pitcher: Logan Webb 4-4, 3.47 ERA
  • Marlins starting pitcher: Ryan Gusto 0-2, 7.08 ERA

Giants vs. Marlins Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Giants-1.5 +115O 8.5 -120-150
Marlins +1.5 -140U 8.5 +100+125

Giants vs Marlins Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Giants will win Sunday‘s MLB game with 58.3% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.


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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Giants players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Giants Player Prop Bets Today:

  • Bryce Eldridge has hit the Home Runs Over in 4 of his last 9 games (+18.90 Units / 210% ROI)
  • Bryce Eldridge has hit the Hits Over in 17 of his last 20 games (+11.85 Units / 33% ROI)
  • Jung Hoo Lee has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 19 of his last 25 games (+11.70 Units / 38% ROI)
  • Bryce Eldridge has hit the Total Bases Over in 17 of his last 25 games (+11.35 Units / 39% ROI)
  • Jung Hoo Lee has hit the Runs Over in 13 of his last 20 games (+10.74 Units / 54% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Marlins players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Marlins Player Prop Best Bets Today:

  • Owen Caissie has hit the Home Runs Over in 3 of his last 8 games (+14.50 Units / 181% ROI)
  • Esteury Ruiz has hit the Singles Under in 20 of his last 25 games (+11.20 Units / 26% ROI)
  • Heriberto Hernandez has hit the Hits Over in 13 of his last 15 games (+10.70 Units / 42% ROI)
  • Kyle Stowers has hit the Total Bases Under in 18 of his last 25 games at home (+9.85 Units / 27% ROI)
  • Xavier Edwards has hit the Runs Under in 13 of his last 15 games (+9.70 Units / 36% ROI)
  • The San Francisco Giants have hit the Team Total Under in 31 of their last 50 away games (+9.60 Units / 17% ROI)
  • The San Francisco Giants have hit the Game Total Over in 12 of their last 19 away games (+6.45 Units / 31% ROI)
  • The San Francisco Giants have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 21 of their last 35 games (+5.25 Units / 12% ROI)
  • The San Francisco Giants have hit the Moneyline in 6 of their last 9 away games (+4.85 Units / 53% ROI)
  • The San Francisco Giants have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 7 of their last 9 away games (+4.30 Units / 38% ROI)
  • The Miami Marlins have covered the Run Line in 13 of their last 17 games (+11.05 Units / 46% ROI)
  • The Miami Marlins have hit the Moneyline in 31 of their last 50 games at home (+9.95 Units / 16% ROI)
  • The Miami Marlins have hit the Game Total Under in 9 of their last 11 games at home (+6.80 Units / 57% ROI)
  • The Miami Marlins have hit the Team Total Over in 12 of their last 17 games at home (+6.65 Units / 32% ROI)
  • The Miami Marlins have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 8 of their last 11 games at home (+6.00 Units / 43% ROI)

Giants Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Giants are 33-42 against the Run Line (-22.05 Units / -20.51% ROI).

  • 31-45 when betting on the Moneyline for -11.8 Units / -14.23% ROI
  • 36-34 when betting on the total runs Over for -1.5 Units / -1.78% ROI
  • 34-36 when betting on the total runs Under for -5.4 Units / -6.49% ROI

Marlins Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Marlins are 39-37 against the Run Line (-2.45 Units / -2.38% ROI).

  • 39-38 when betting on the Moneyline for +2.85 Units / 3.16% ROI
  • 43-31 when betting on the total runs Over for +8.7 Units / 10.21% ROI
  • 31-43 when betting on the total runs Under for -16.05 Units / -19.05% ROI

Marlins vs Giants Home Run Prop Bets Today

Yes
Rafael Devers +340
Bryce Eldridge +425
Willy Adames +450
Matt Chapman +525
Kyle Stowers +600

Marlins vs Giants Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Xavier Edwards 0.5 -275 0.5 +195
Bryce Eldridge 0.5 -250 0.5 +180
Rafael Devers 0.5 -235 0.5 +170
Liam Hicks 0.5 -225 0.5 +165
Matt Chapman 0.5 -200 0.5 +150

Marlins vs Giants Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Daniel Susac 0.5 -250 0.5 +180
Matt Chapman 0.5 -250 0.5 +185
Rafael Devers 0.5 -235 0.5 +175
Bryce Eldridge 0.5 -220 0.5 +160
Casey Schmitt 0.5 -220 0.5 +165

Giants Keys to the Game vs. the Marlins

The Giants are just 1-37 (.026) when trailing entering the 8th inning this season — tied for 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .104.

The Giants are just 31-45 (.408) this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.

The Giants are just 1-33 (.029) when trailing entering the 7th inning this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .138.

The Giants are just 7-41 (.146) when scoring 4 or fewer runs this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .272.

Marlins Keys to the Game vs. the Giants

The Marlins are 7-2 (.778) when tied entering the 8th inning this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .500.

The Marlins are just 5-31 (.139) when allowing 5 or more runs this season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .207.

The Marlins are 6-3 (.667) when tied entering the 7th inning this season — tied for 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .500.

The Marlins are just 4-15 (.211) when allowing 2 or more home runs this season — tied for 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .297.

The Giants are batting .268 on the road this season — 2nd best in MLB.

Giants hitters are slugging .312 with two-strikes this season — best in MLB.

Giants hitters have drawn walks in 6% of their PA’s against RHP this season — lowest in MLB.

Giants hitters have drawn walks in 7% of their PA’s against LHP this season — 2nd lowest in MLB.

Marlins hitters have put 40% of their swings in play on the first pitch of at-bats this season — highest in MLB.

Marlins hitters are slugging .483 on breaking pitches against LHP this season — 2nd best in MLB.

Marlins hitters have a Hard-Hit Rate of just 33% on the first pitch of at-bats this season — lowest in MLB.

Marlins hitters have put 39% of their swings in play in non-two strike counts this season — 2nd highest in MLB.

Giants pitchers have thrown at least two strikes in their first three pitches to 58% of opposing batters this season — lowest in MLB.

Giants pitchers have walked 10% of batters this season — 4th highest in MLB.

Opponents have a miss rate of just 23% against Giants pitchers this season — 5th lowest in MLB.

Opponents have a groundball rate of 45% against Giants pitchers this season — 5th highest in MLB.

Marlins pitchers have an ERA of 3.39 (371.2 IP) at home this season — 4th best in MLB.

The Marlins have allowed 1.03 runs per game (79/77) in late innings this season — 3rd best in MLB.

Opponents have a groundball batting average of just .230 against Marlins pitchers this season — 5th best in MLB.

Opponents are hitting just .229 against Marlins pitchers this season — 5th best in MLB.

More MLB Reading:


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.