- The Marlins are -120 favorites vs the Mariners
- Mariners vs Marlins Over / Under today: 8 Runs
- Mariners / Marlins TV Channel: MRTV | MATV
The Seattle Mariners (+100) visit loanDepot park to take on the Miami Marlins (-120) on July 7, 2026. First pitch is scheduled for 6:40 pm in Miami, FL.
This season, the Mariners are against the spread (ATS), while the Marlins are ATS.
Mariners vs Marlins Starting Pitchers Today:
- Mariners starting pitcher: Bryan Woo 7-6, 4.17 ERA
- Marlins starting pitcher: Max Meyer 9-1, 2.53 ERA
Mariners vs. Marlins Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Mariners | +1.5 -210 | O 8 -115 | +100 |
| Marlins | -1.5 +170 | U 8 -105 | -120 |
Mariners vs Marlins Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Marlins will win Tuesday‘s MLB game with 53.3% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Mariners players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Mariners Player Prop Bets Today:
- J.P. Crawford has hit the Walks Under in 18 of his last 20 away games (+15.85 Units / 54% ROI)
- Colt Emerson has hit the Home Runs Over in 3 of his last 9 away games (+15.40 Units / 171% ROI)
- Luke Raley has hit the Runs Under in 17 of his last 20 games (+12.55 Units / 34% ROI)
- George Kirby has hit the Hits Allowed Over in 16 of his last 20 games (+12.25 Units / 51% ROI)
- Cal Raleigh has hit the Total Bases Under in 18 of his last 25 games (+10.60 Units / 32% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Marlins players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Marlins Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Owen Caissie has hit the Home Runs Over in 3 of his last 7 games at home (+16.40 Units / 234% ROI)
- Liam Hicks has hit the Singles Over in his last 15 games (+15.00 Units / 73% ROI)
- Liam Hicks has hit the Hits Over in 14 of his last 15 games (+14.40 Units / 51% ROI)
- Liam Hicks has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 16 of his last 20 games (+11.85 Units / 51% ROI)
- Otto Lopez has hit the Total Bases Over in 17 of his last 25 games at home (+11.75 Units / 47% ROI)
Mariners Best Bets Today:
- The Seattle Mariners have hit the Team Total Under in 32 of their last 50 away games (+10.20 Units / 17% ROI)
- The Seattle Mariners have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 13 of their last 19 games (+6.15 Units / 26% ROI)
- The Seattle Mariners have hit the Game Total Over in 12 of their last 20 away games (+4.75 Units / 22% ROI)
- The Seattle Mariners have hit the Moneyline in 5 of their last 6 games (+4.00 Units / 41% ROI)
- The Seattle Mariners have covered the Run Line in 15 of their last 30 away games (+3.70 Units / 11% ROI)
Marlins Best Bets Today:
- The Miami Marlins have covered the Run Line in 23 of their last 30 games (+19.15 Units / 48% ROI)
- The Miami Marlins have hit the Moneyline in 27 of their last 40 games (+14.40 Units / 32% ROI)
- The Miami Marlins have hit the Game Total Under in 12 of their last 15 games at home (+8.70 Units / 53% ROI)
- The Miami Marlins have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 17 of their last 25 games (+8.60 Units / 29% ROI)
- The Miami Marlins have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 16 of their last 25 games (+8.50 Units / 28% ROI)
Mariners Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Mariners are against the Run Line ( Units / ROI).
- away moneyline record when betting on the Moneyline for ML units Units / ML ROI ROI
- away total over record when betting on the total runs Over for over units Units / over ROI ROI
- away total under record when betting on the total runs Under for under units Units / under ROI ROI
Marlins Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Marlins are against the Run Line ( Units / ROI).
- home moneyline record when betting on the Moneyline for ML units Units / ML ROI ROI
- home total over record when betting on the total runs Over for over units Units / over ROI ROI
- home total under record when betting on the total runs Under for under units Units / under ROI ROI
Marlins vs Mariners Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Yes | |
|---|---|
| Cal Raleigh | +340 |
| Kyle Stowers | +360 |
| Dominic Canzone | +450 |
| Luke Raley | +475 |
| Owen Caissie | +500 |
Marlins vs Mariners Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Otto Lopez | 0.5 -275 | 0.5 +195 |
| Xavier Edwards | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +180 |
| Randy Arozarena | 0.5 -235 | 0.5 +175 |
| Josh Naylor | 0.5 -220 | 0.5 +165 |
| Liam Hicks | 0.5 -220 | 0.5 +165 |
Marlins vs Mariners Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Randy Arozarena | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +180 |
| J.P. Crawford | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +180 |
| Joe Mack | 0.5 -185 | 0.5 +135 |
| Jakob Marsee | 0.5 -165 | 0.5 +125 |
| Max Meyer | 5.5 -155 | 5.5 +115 |
Mariners Keys to the Game vs. the Marlins
The Mariners are 9-5 (.643) when tied entering the 7th inning this season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Mariners are just 1-34 (.029) when trailing entering the 8th inning this season — tied for 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .099.
The Mariners are just 1-39 (.025) when trailing entering the 9th inning this season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .054.
The Mariners are 27-15 (.643) when tied entering the 7th inning since the 2025 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .500.
Marlins Keys to the Game vs. the Mariners
The Marlins are 8-3 (.727) when tied entering the 8th inning this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Marlins are 19-4 (.826) when they’ve hit 2 or more home runs this season — tied for 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .704.
The Marlins are 26-4 (.867) when they’ve had 10 or more hits this season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .751.
The Marlins are 28-17 (.622) at home this season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .523.
Mariners Hitting Stats & Trends
Mariners hitters have an OPS of just .626 (962 PA’s) against LHP this season — lowest in MLB.
The Mariners are batting just .210 against LHP this season — lowest in MLB.
Mariners hitters are slugging just .331 against LHP this season — lowest in MLB.
Mariners hitters have 47 extra-base hits out of 177 total hits (just 27%) against LHP this season — lowest in MLB.
Marlins Hitting Stats & Trends
Marlins hitters have an OBP of .267 (1,742 PA’s) with two-strikes this season — best in MLB.
Marlins hitters are slugging .284 with two-strikes this season — 5th best in MLB.
Marlins hitters have an OBP of .334 (2,562 PA’s) against RHP this season — 5th best in MLB.
Marlins hitters have a groundball batting average of .284 this season — best in MLB.
Mariners Pitching Stats & Trends
Mariners pitchers have walked 7% of batters this season — best in MLB.
Mariners pitchers have a first-pitch strike rate of 66% this season — highest in MLB.
Mariners pitchers have thrown at least two strikes in their first three pitches to 69% of opposing batters this season — highest in MLB.
The Mariners pitchers have allowed their opponents to score first in just 38% of their games at home this season — lowest in MLB.
Marlins Pitching Stats & Trends
Marlins pitchers have an ERA of 3.33 (407.2 IP) at home this season — 4th best in MLB.
The Marlins have won just 10% of road games in which their opponents scored first this season — 3rd lowest in MLB.
Opponents are hitting just .230 against Marlins pitchers this season — 5th best in MLB.
Marlins pitchers have a strikeout rate of 25% in late innings this season — 5th best in MLB.
More MLB Reading:
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