Mariners vs Marlins Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Jul 7

Miami Marlins' Kyle Stowers strikes out swinging during the second inning of a baseball game against the Philadelphia Phillies, Thursday, Sept. 5, 2024, in Miami.
(AP Photo/Lynne Sladky)
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  • The Marlins are -120 favorites vs the Mariners
  • Mariners vs Marlins Over / Under today: 8 Runs
  • Mariners / Marlins TV Channel: MRTV | MATV

The Seattle Mariners (+100) visit loanDepot park to take on the Miami Marlins (-120) on July 7, 2026. First pitch is scheduled for 6:40 pm in Miami, FL.

This season, the Mariners are against the spread (ATS), while the Marlins are ATS.

Mariners vs Marlins Starting Pitchers Today:

  • Mariners starting pitcher: Bryan Woo 7-6, 4.17 ERA
  • Marlins starting pitcher: Max Meyer 9-1, 2.53 ERA

Mariners vs. Marlins Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Mariners+1.5 -210O 8 -115+100
Marlins -1.5 +170U 8 -105-120

Mariners vs Marlins Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Marlins will win Tuesday‘s MLB game with 53.3% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.


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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Mariners players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Mariners Player Prop Bets Today:

  • J.P. Crawford has hit the Walks Under in 18 of his last 20 away games (+15.85 Units / 54% ROI)
  • Colt Emerson has hit the Home Runs Over in 3 of his last 9 away games (+15.40 Units / 171% ROI)
  • Luke Raley has hit the Runs Under in 17 of his last 20 games (+12.55 Units / 34% ROI)
  • George Kirby has hit the Hits Allowed Over in 16 of his last 20 games (+12.25 Units / 51% ROI)
  • Cal Raleigh has hit the Total Bases Under in 18 of his last 25 games (+10.60 Units / 32% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Marlins players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Marlins Player Prop Best Bets Today:

  • Owen Caissie has hit the Home Runs Over in 3 of his last 7 games at home (+16.40 Units / 234% ROI)
  • Liam Hicks has hit the Singles Over in his last 15 games (+15.00 Units / 73% ROI)
  • Liam Hicks has hit the Hits Over in 14 of his last 15 games (+14.40 Units / 51% ROI)
  • Liam Hicks has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 16 of his last 20 games (+11.85 Units / 51% ROI)
  • Otto Lopez has hit the Total Bases Over in 17 of his last 25 games at home (+11.75 Units / 47% ROI)
  • The Seattle Mariners have hit the Team Total Under in 32 of their last 50 away games (+10.20 Units / 17% ROI)
  • The Seattle Mariners have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 13 of their last 19 games (+6.15 Units / 26% ROI)
  • The Seattle Mariners have hit the Game Total Over in 12 of their last 20 away games (+4.75 Units / 22% ROI)
  • The Seattle Mariners have hit the Moneyline in 5 of their last 6 games (+4.00 Units / 41% ROI)
  • The Seattle Mariners have covered the Run Line in 15 of their last 30 away games (+3.70 Units / 11% ROI)
  • The Miami Marlins have covered the Run Line in 23 of their last 30 games (+19.15 Units / 48% ROI)
  • The Miami Marlins have hit the Moneyline in 27 of their last 40 games (+14.40 Units / 32% ROI)
  • The Miami Marlins have hit the Game Total Under in 12 of their last 15 games at home (+8.70 Units / 53% ROI)
  • The Miami Marlins have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 17 of their last 25 games (+8.60 Units / 29% ROI)
  • The Miami Marlins have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 16 of their last 25 games (+8.50 Units / 28% ROI)

Mariners Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Mariners are against the Run Line ( Units / ROI).

  • away moneyline record when betting on the Moneyline for ML units Units / ML ROI ROI
  • away total over record when betting on the total runs Over for over units Units / over ROI ROI
  • away total under record when betting on the total runs Under for under units Units / under ROI ROI

Marlins Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Marlins are against the Run Line ( Units / ROI).

  • home moneyline record when betting on the Moneyline for ML units Units / ML ROI ROI
  • home total over record when betting on the total runs Over for over units Units / over ROI ROI
  • home total under record when betting on the total runs Under for under units Units / under ROI ROI

Marlins vs Mariners Home Run Prop Bets Today

Yes
Cal Raleigh +340
Kyle Stowers +360
Dominic Canzone +450
Luke Raley +475
Owen Caissie +500

Marlins vs Mariners Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Otto Lopez 0.5 -275 0.5 +195
Xavier Edwards 0.5 -250 0.5 +180
Randy Arozarena 0.5 -235 0.5 +175
Josh Naylor 0.5 -220 0.5 +165
Liam Hicks 0.5 -220 0.5 +165

Marlins vs Mariners Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Randy Arozarena 0.5 -250 0.5 +180
J.P. Crawford 0.5 -250 0.5 +180
Joe Mack 0.5 -185 0.5 +135
Jakob Marsee 0.5 -165 0.5 +125
Max Meyer 5.5 -155 5.5 +115

Mariners Keys to the Game vs. the Marlins

The Mariners are 9-5 (.643) when tied entering the 7th inning this season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .500.

The Mariners are just 1-34 (.029) when trailing entering the 8th inning this season — tied for 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .099.

The Mariners are just 1-39 (.025) when trailing entering the 9th inning this season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .054.

The Mariners are 27-15 (.643) when tied entering the 7th inning since the 2025 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .500.

Marlins Keys to the Game vs. the Mariners

The Marlins are 8-3 (.727) when tied entering the 8th inning this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .500.

The Marlins are 19-4 (.826) when they’ve hit 2 or more home runs this season — tied for 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .704.

The Marlins are 26-4 (.867) when they’ve had 10 or more hits this season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .751.

The Marlins are 28-17 (.622) at home this season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .523.

Mariners hitters have an OPS of just .626 (962 PA’s) against LHP this season — lowest in MLB.

The Mariners are batting just .210 against LHP this season — lowest in MLB.

Mariners hitters are slugging just .331 against LHP this season — lowest in MLB.

Mariners hitters have 47 extra-base hits out of 177 total hits (just 27%) against LHP this season — lowest in MLB.

Marlins hitters have an OBP of .267 (1,742 PA’s) with two-strikes this season — best in MLB.

Marlins hitters are slugging .284 with two-strikes this season — 5th best in MLB.

Marlins hitters have an OBP of .334 (2,562 PA’s) against RHP this season — 5th best in MLB.

Marlins hitters have a groundball batting average of .284 this season — best in MLB.

Mariners pitchers have walked 7% of batters this season — best in MLB.

Mariners pitchers have a first-pitch strike rate of 66% this season — highest in MLB.

Mariners pitchers have thrown at least two strikes in their first three pitches to 69% of opposing batters this season — highest in MLB.

The Mariners pitchers have allowed their opponents to score first in just 38% of their games at home this season — lowest in MLB.

Marlins pitchers have an ERA of 3.33 (407.2 IP) at home this season — 4th best in MLB.

The Marlins have won just 10% of road games in which their opponents scored first this season — 3rd lowest in MLB.

Opponents are hitting just .230 against Marlins pitchers this season — 5th best in MLB.

Marlins pitchers have a strikeout rate of 25% in late innings this season — 5th best in MLB.

More MLB Reading:


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.