• The Mariners are -125 favorites vs the Marlins
• Mariners vs Marlins Over / Under today: 8.5 Runs
• Mariners / Marlins TV Channel: MRTV | MATV

The Seattle Mariners (-125) visit loanDepot park to take on the Miami Marlins (+105) on July 8, 2026. First pitch is scheduled for 6:40 pm in Miami, FL.

This season, the Mariners are 47-45 against the spread (ATS), while the Marlins are 50-41 ATS.

Mariners vs Marlins Starting Pitchers Today:

• Mariners starting pitcher: George Kirby 7-7, 3.81 ERA
• Marlins starting pitcher: Tyler Phillips 1-3, 3.54 ERA

Mariners vs. Marlins Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

Mariners vs Marlins Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Mariners will win Wednesday‘s MLB game with 57.0% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.

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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Mariners players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Mariners Player Prop Bets Today:

• Colt Emerson has hit the Home Runs Over in 3 of his last 10 away games (+14.40 Units / 144% ROI)
• George Kirby has hit the Hits Allowed Over in 16 of his last 20 games (+12.25 Units / 51% ROI)
• Colt Emerson has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 12 of his last 15 games (+9.80 Units / 54% ROI)
• Cal Raleigh has hit the Total Bases Under in 17 of his last 25 games (+8.60 Units / 27% ROI)
• Cole Young has hit the Hits Over in 15 of his last 20 away games (+8.45 Units / 24% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Marlins players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Marlins Player Prop Best Bets Today:

• Joe Mack has hit the Home Runs Over in 3 of his last 8 games (+11.69 Units / 146% ROI)
• Javier Sanoja has hit the Total Bases Over in his last 9 games (+9.85 Units / 91% ROI)
• Joe Mack has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 13 of his last 20 games (+6.85 Units / 30% ROI)
• Javier Sanoja has hit the Hits Over in 7 of his last 9 games (+6.75 Units / 51% ROI)
• Joe Mack has hit the Runs Over in 6 of his last 9 games (+5.65 Units / 62% ROI)

Mariners Best Bets Today:

• The Seattle Mariners have hit the Team Total Under in 32 of their last 50 away games (+10.55 Units / 18% ROI)
• The Seattle Mariners have hit the Game Total Over in 13 of their last 21 away games (+5.75 Units / 25% ROI)
• The Seattle Mariners have covered the Run Line in 18 of their last 35 away games (+5.20 Units / 14% ROI)
• The Seattle Mariners have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 13 of their last 20 games (+5.15 Units / 21% ROI)
• The Seattle Mariners have hit the Moneyline in 5 of their last 7 games (+3.00 Units / 28% ROI)

Marlins Best Bets Today:

• The Miami Marlins have covered the Run Line in 22 of their last 30 games (+17.15 Units / 43% ROI)
• The Miami Marlins have hit the Moneyline in 27 of their last 40 games (+14.40 Units / 32% ROI)
• The Miami Marlins have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 14 of their last 18 games (+9.40 Units / 43% ROI)
• The Miami Marlins have hit the Team Total Over in 25 of their last 40 games (+9.15 Units / 19% ROI)
• The Miami Marlins have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 12 of their last 16 games at home (+8.95 Units / 44% ROI)

Mariners Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Mariners are 38-54 against the Run Line (-6.8 Units / -6.87% ROI).

• 47-45 when betting on the Moneyline for -11.3 Units / -8.98% ROI
• 44-45 when betting on the total runs Over for -5.2 Units / -5.13% ROI
• 45-44 when betting on the total runs Under for -3.15 Units / -3.11% ROI

Marlins Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Marlins are 50-41 against the Run Line (+5.65 Units / 4.64% ROI).

• 50-42 when betting on the Moneyline for +9.3 Units / 8.58% ROI
• 50-39 when betting on the total runs Over for +6.75 Units / 6.62% ROI
• 39-50 when betting on the total runs Under for -15.6 Units / -15.53% ROI

Marlins vs Mariners Home Run Prop Bets Today

Marlins vs Mariners Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Marlins vs Mariners Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Mariners Keys to the Game vs. the Marlins

The Mariners are 9-5 (.643) when tied entering the 7th inning this season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .500.

The Mariners are just 1-35 (.028) when trailing entering the 8th inning this season — tied for 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .098.

The Mariners are just 1-39 (.025) when trailing entering the 9th inning this season — tied for 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .054.

The Mariners are 27-15 (.643) when tied entering the 7th inning since the 2025 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .500.

Marlins Keys to the Game vs. the Mariners

The Marlins are 8-3 (.727) when tied entering the 8th inning this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .500.

The Marlins are 41-9 (.820) when allowing 4 or fewer runs this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .726.

The Marlins are 20-4 (.833) when they’ve hit 2 or more home runs this season — tied for 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .704.

The Marlins are 27-4 (.871) when they’ve had 10 or more hits this season — tied for 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .750.

Mariners Hitting Stats & Trends

Mariners hitters are slugging just .330 against LHP this season — lowest in MLB.

Mariners hitters have an OPS of just .625 (970 PA’s) against LHP this season — lowest in MLB.

The Mariners are batting just .210 against LHP this season — lowest in MLB.

Mariners hitters have 48 extra-base hits out of 178 total hits (just 27%) against LHP this season — lowest in MLB.

Marlins Hitting Stats & Trends

Marlins hitters have an OBP of .266 (1,764 PA’s) with two-strikes this season — best in MLB.

Marlins hitters have an OPS of .551 (1,764 PA’s) with two-strikes this season — 2nd best in MLB.

The Marlins are batting .257 on the road this season — 3rd best in MLB.

The Marlins have a winning percentage of 63% at home this season — 4th best in MLB.

Mariners Pitching Stats & Trends

Mariners pitchers have a first-pitch strike rate of 66% this season — highest in MLB.

The Mariners pitchers have allowed division opponents to score first in just 27% of their games this season — lowest in MLB.

Mariners pitchers have walked 7% of batters this season — best in MLB.

The Mariners pitchers have allowed their opponents to score first in just 40% of their games this season — lowest in MLB.

Marlins Pitching Stats & Trends

Marlins pitchers have an ERA of 3.36 (417.2 IP) at home this season — 4th best in MLB.

Opponents are hitting just .230 against Marlins pitchers this season — 4th best in MLB.

The Marlins have won just 10% of road games in which their opponents scored first this season — 3rd lowest in MLB.

Marlins pitchers have allowed 90 home runs this season — tied for 3rd fewest in MLB.

More MLB Reading:

• Home Run Predictions Today
• Best NRFI Bets Today
• Strikeout Props Today
• MLB Starting Pitchers Today

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