• The Braves are -145 favorites vs the Marlins
• Marlins vs Braves Over / Under today: 8.5 Runs
• Marlins / Braves TV Channel: BRVN | MATV

The Miami Marlins (+120) visit Truist Park to take on the Atlanta Braves (-145) on April 13, 2026. First pitch is scheduled for 7:15 pm in Atlanta, GA.

This season, the Marlins are 8-8 against the spread (ATS), while the Braves are 10-6 ATS.

Marlins vs Braves Starting Pitchers Today:

• Marlins starting pitcher: Eury Perez 1-1, 5.07 ERA
• Braves starting pitcher: Grant Holmes 1-1, 2.55 ERA

Marlins vs. Braves Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

Marlins vs Braves Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Braves will win Monday‘s MLB game with 58.5% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.

Bet now on Marlins vs Braves and all games with BetMGM

We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Marlins players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Marlins Player Prop Bets Today:

• Liam Hicks has hit the Home Runs Over in 3 of his last 10 games (+21.00 Units / 210% ROI)
• Jakob Marsee has hit the Hits Under in 14 of his last 20 games (+15.05 Units / 70% ROI)
• Graham Pauley has hit the Singles Under in 21 of his last 25 games (+13.45 Units / 27% ROI)
• Jakob Marsee has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 15 of his last 20 games (+8.30 Units / 35% ROI)
• Agustin Ramirez has hit the Runs Under in 9 of his last 10 away games (+7.05 Units / 37% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Braves players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Braves Player Prop Best Bets Today:

• Drake Baldwin has hit the RBIs Over in 17 of his last 25 games (+20.05 Units / 80% ROI)
• Dominic Smith has hit the Home Runs Over in 3 of his last 9 games at home (+20.00 Units / 222% ROI)
• Dominic Smith has hit the Runs Over in 11 of his last 15 games at home (+13.55 Units / 90% ROI)
• Drake Baldwin has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 19 of his last 25 games (+10.90 Units / 33% ROI)
• Dominic Smith has hit the Hits Over in 13 of his last 15 games at home (+9.50 Units / 37% ROI)

Marlins Best Bets Today:

• The Miami Marlins have hit the Moneyline in 26 of their last 50 away games (+11.95 Units / 23% ROI)
• The Miami Marlins have hit the Team Total Over in 32 of their last 50 away games (+11.70 Units / 20% ROI)
• The Miami Marlins have hit the Game Total Over in 30 of their last 50 games (+10.30 Units / 19% ROI)
• The Miami Marlins have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 27 of their last 45 games (+8.65 Units / 16% ROI)
• The Miami Marlins have covered the Run Line in 18 of their last 35 games (+0.15 Units / 0% ROI)

Braves Best Bets Today:

• The Atlanta Braves have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 34 of their last 50 games at home (+14.75 Units / 24% ROI)
• The Atlanta Braves have covered the Run Line in 31 of their last 50 games (+14.20 Units / 24% ROI)
• The Atlanta Braves have hit the Game Total Under in 15 of their last 21 games at home (+8.50 Units / 37% ROI)
• The Atlanta Braves have hit the Moneyline in 21 of their last 30 games (+7.85 Units / 17% ROI)
• The Atlanta Braves have hit the Team Total Under in 15 of their last 23 games at home (+6.35 Units / 24% ROI)

Marlins Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Marlins are 5-11 against the Run Line (-6.5 Units / -34.03% ROI).

• 8-8 when betting on the Moneyline for +0.15 Units / 0.7% ROI
• 10-5 when betting on the total runs Over for +4.5 Units / 25.57% ROI
• 5-10 when betting on the total runs Under for -6 Units / -34.09% ROI

Braves Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Braves are 10-6 against the Run Line (+7.2 Units / 43.11% ROI).

• 10-6 when betting on the Moneyline for +1.8 Units / 7.91% ROI
• 7-9 when betting on the total runs Over for -2.8 Units / -15.73% ROI
• 9-7 when betting on the total runs Under for +1.6 Units / 9.2% ROI

Marlins Keys to the Game vs. the Braves

The Marlins are 1-7 (.125) when trailing entering the 9th inning this season — tied for 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .024.

The Marlins are 2-7 (.222) when trailing entering the 8th inning this season — tied for 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .097.

The Marlins were 9-67 (.118) when trailing entering the 8th inning in the 2025 season — tied for 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .090.

The Marlins are 6-82 (.068) when trailing entering the 9th inning since the 2025 season — tied for 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .041.

Braves Keys to the Game vs. the Marlins

The Braves are 1-6 (.143) when trailing entering the 9th inning this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .024.

The Braves were just 7-40 (.149) when allowing 2 or more home runs in the 2025 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .301.

The Braves are just 7-41 (.146) when allowing 2 or more home runs since the 2025 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .298.

The Braves are 10-6 (.625) this season — tied for 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .500.

Marlins Hitting Stats & Trends

Marlins hitters are slugging just .297 on the first pitch of at-bats this season — lowest in MLB.

Marlins hitters are slugging just .349 against LHP since the 2025 season — 2nd lowest in MLB.

The Marlins are 1-7 (.125) when trailing entering the 9th inning this season — tied for 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .024.

Marlins hitters are slugging just .351 against LHP since the 2024 season — lowest in MLB.

Braves Hitting Stats & Trends

Braves hitters are slugging .372 with two-strikes this season — best in MLB.

Braves hitters have an OPS of .665 (324 PA’s) with two-strikes this season — best in MLB.

Braves hitters slugged .501 in the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .414.

Braves hitters are slugging .424 against LHP this season — tied for 4th best in MLB.

Marlins Pitching Stats & Trends

Marlins pitchers have a strikeout rate of 30% with runners in scoring position this season — best in MLB.

Opponents have a miss rate of 29% against Marlins pitchers this season — 3rd best in MLB.

Marlins pitchers have walked 17% of batters when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this month (11 games) — highest in MLB.

Marlins pitchers have an ERA of 5.44 (458.0 IP) against division opponents since the 2025 season — 2nd highest in MLB.

Braves Pitching Stats & Trends

Opponents have a groundball batting average of just .138 against Braves pitchers this season — best in MLB.

Braves pitchers have an ERA of 2.41 (142.0 IP) this season — best in MLB.

Braves pitchers have induced opposing hitters to ground into 18 double plays in 86 opportunities (21%) this season — 2nd best in MLB.

Opponents had a miss rate of 27% against Braves pitchers in the 2025 season — 4th best in MLB.

More MLB Reading:

• Home Run Predictions Today
• Best NRFI Bets Today
• Strikeout Props Today
• MLB Starting Pitchers Today

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