• The Braves are -155 favorites vs the Marlins
• Marlins vs Braves Over / Under today: 8.5 Runs
• Marlins / Braves TV Channel: BRVN | MATV | GRAY

The Miami Marlins (+130) visit Truist Park to take on the Atlanta Braves (-155) on April 14, 2026. First pitch is scheduled for 7:15 pm in Atlanta, GA.

This season, the Marlins are 9-8 against the spread (ATS), while the Braves are 10-7 ATS.

Marlins vs Braves Starting Pitchers Today:

• Marlins starting pitcher: Max Meyer 1-0, 3.69 ERA
• Braves starting pitcher: Reynaldo Lopez 1-0, 1.15 ERA

Marlins vs. Braves Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

Marlins vs Braves Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Braves will win Tuesday‘s MLB game with 59.8% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.

Bet now on Marlins vs Braves and all games with BetMGM

We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Marlins players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Marlins Player Prop Bets Today:

• Jakob Marsee has hit the Hits Under in 15 of his last 25 games (+12.40 Units / 47% ROI)
• Connor Norby has hit the Home Runs Over in 2 of his last 5 games (+11.90 Units / 238% ROI)
• Graham Pauley has hit the Singles Under in 20 of his last 25 games (+10.65 Units / 22% ROI)
• Xavier Edwards has hit the Total Bases Over in 11 of his last 15 games (+8.75 Units / 49% ROI)
• Otto Lopez has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 12 of his last 15 games (+8.70 Units / 48% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Braves players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Braves Player Prop Best Bets Today:

• Dominic Smith has hit the Home Runs Over in 3 of his last 10 games at home (+19.00 Units / 190% ROI)
• Drake Baldwin has hit the RBIs Over in 16 of his last 25 games (+17.45 Units / 70% ROI)
• Drake Baldwin has hit the Runs Over in 18 of his last 25 games (+12.95 Units / 51% ROI)
• Drake Baldwin has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 19 of his last 25 games (+10.90 Units / 33% ROI)
• Matt Olson has hit the Hits Over in 17 of his last 20 games (+10.35 Units / 26% ROI)

Marlins Best Bets Today:

• The Miami Marlins have hit the Moneyline in 22 of their last 35 games (+11.65 Units / 27% ROI)
• The Miami Marlins have hit the Team Total Over in 32 of their last 50 away games (+11.65 Units / 20% ROI)
• The Miami Marlins have hit the Game Total Over in 30 of their last 50 games (+10.30 Units / 19% ROI)
• The Miami Marlins have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 27 of their last 45 games (+8.65 Units / 16% ROI)
• The Miami Marlins have covered the Run Line in 19 of their last 35 games (+2.15 Units / 5% ROI)

Braves Best Bets Today:

• The Atlanta Braves have covered the Run Line in 31 of their last 50 games (+14.75 Units / 25% ROI)
• The Atlanta Braves have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 33 of their last 50 games at home (+12.05 Units / 20% ROI)
• The Atlanta Braves have hit the Game Total Under in 15 of their last 22 games at home (+7.40 Units / 30% ROI)
• The Atlanta Braves have hit the Team Total Under in 16 of their last 24 games at home (+7.35 Units / 27% ROI)
• The Atlanta Braves have hit the Moneyline in 20 of their last 30 games (+5.20 Units / 11% ROI)

Marlins Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Marlins are 6-11 against the Run Line (-5.5 Units / -26.51% ROI).

• 9-8 when betting on the Moneyline for +1.4 Units / 6.24% ROI
• 11-5 when betting on the total runs Over for +5.5 Units / 29.41% ROI
• 5-11 when betting on the total runs Under for -7.1 Units / -37.97% ROI

Braves Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Braves are 10-7 against the Run Line (+6.2 Units / 35.03% ROI).

• 10-7 when betting on the Moneyline for +0.3 Units / 1.24% ROI
• 8-9 when betting on the total runs Over for -1.8 Units / -9.52% ROI
• 9-8 when betting on the total runs Under for +0.5 Units / 2.7% ROI

Marlins Keys to the Game vs. the Braves

The Marlins are 1-7 (.125) when trailing entering the 9th inning this season — tied for 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .027.

The Marlins are 2-7 (.222) when trailing entering the 8th inning this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .093.

The Marlins were 9-67 (.118) when trailing entering the 8th inning in the 2025 season — tied for 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .090.

The Marlins are 6-82 (.068) when trailing entering the 9th inning since the 2025 season — tied for 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .042.

Braves Keys to the Game vs. the Marlins

The Braves are 1-7 (.125) when trailing entering the 9th inning this season — tied for 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .027.

The Braves were just 7-40 (.149) when allowing 2 or more home runs in the 2025 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .301.

The Braves are just 7-42 (.143) when allowing 2 or more home runs since the 2025 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .298.

The Braves are just 14-73 (.161) when allowing 2 or more home runs since the 2024 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .294.

Marlins Hitting Stats & Trends

Marlins hitters have put 42% of their swings in play this season — highest in MLB.

Marlins hitters have put 42% of their swings in play in non-two strike counts this season — 2nd highest in MLB.

Marlins hitters are slugging just .384 on the first pitch of at-bats this season — 2nd lowest in MLB.

Marlins hitters had 128 extra-base hits out of 479 total hits (just 27%) with two-strikes in the 2025 season — lowest in MLB.

Braves Hitting Stats & Trends

Braves hitters have an OPS of .638 (345 PA’s) with two-strikes this season — best in MLB.

Braves hitters are slugging .354 with two-strikes this season — best in MLB.

Braves hitters slugged .521 against LHP in the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .419.

Braves hitters slugged .501 in the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .414.

Marlins Pitching Stats & Trends

Marlins pitchers have walked 16% of batters when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this month (12 games) — highest in MLB.

Marlins pitchers have walked 13% of batters when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — 4th highest in MLB.

Marlins pitchers have a strikeout rate of 47% with two-strikes this season — tied for 4th best in MLB.

Marlins pitchers had a strikeout rate of just 40% with two-strikes in the 2025 season — 5th lowest in MLB.

Braves Pitching Stats & Trends

Braves pitchers have induced opposing hitters to ground into 19 double plays in 103 opportunities (18%) this season — 2nd best in MLB.

Braves pitchers have an ERA of 2.86 (151.0 IP) this season — best in MLB.

Braves pitchers have walked 5% of batters when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — 3rd best in MLB.

Opponents have a miss rate of 28% against Braves pitchers since the 2024 season — 2nd best in MLB.

More MLB Reading:

• Home Run Predictions Today
• Best NRFI Bets Today
• Strikeout Props Today
• MLB Starting Pitchers Today

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