Marlins vs Cardinals Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Jun 26

St. Louis Cardinals' Jordan Walker warms up before a baseball game against the Milwaukee Brewers Thursday, Sept. 28, 2023, in Milwaukee. (AP Photo/Aaron Gash)
(AP Photo/Aaron Gash)
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  • The Marlins are -105 favorites vs the Cardinals
  • Marlins vs Cardinals Over / Under today: 8 Runs
  • Marlins / Cardinals TV Channel: CATV | MATV | KMOV

The Miami Marlins (-105) visit Busch Stadium to take on the St. Louis Cardinals (-115) on June 26, 2026. First pitch is scheduled for 8:15 pm in St. Louis, MO.

This season, the Marlins are against the spread (ATS), while the Cardinals are ATS.

Marlins vs Cardinals Starting Pitchers Today:

  • Marlins starting pitcher: Max Meyer 8-0, 2.79 ERA
  • Cardinals starting pitcher: Michael McGreevy 3-6, 3.39 ERA

Marlins vs. Cardinals Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Marlins-1.5 +165O 8 -110-105
Cardinals +1.5 -200U 8 -110-115

Marlins vs Cardinals Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Cardinals will win Friday‘s MLB game with 51.6% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.


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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Marlins players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Marlins Player Prop Bets Today:

  • Joe Mack has hit the Home Runs Over in 3 of his last 6 away games (+20.80 Units / 347% ROI)
  • Max Meyer has hit the Walks Allowed Over in his last 9 games (+9.45 Units / 74% ROI)
  • Max Meyer has hit the Strikeouts Over in 12 of his last 15 games (+8.55 Units / 47% ROI)
  • Max Meyer has hit the Earned Runs Under in 11 of his last 15 games (+6.20 Units / 30% ROI)
  • Joe Mack has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 10 of his last 15 games (+5.75 Units / 33% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Cardinals players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Cardinals Player Prop Best Bets Today:

  • Alec Burleson has hit the RBIs Over in 16 of his last 25 games at home (+16.55 Units / 66% ROI)
  • Alec Burleson has hit the Singles Over in 16 of his last 20 games at home (+10.85 Units / 41% ROI)
  • Jordan Walker has hit the Runs Under in 16 of his last 20 games at home (+10.45 Units / 36% ROI)
  • Ivan Herrera has hit the Total Bases Under in 16 of his last 20 games (+10.30 Units / 33% ROI)
  • Ivan Herrera has hit the Walks Over in 10 of his last 15 games (+9.90 Units / 66% ROI)
  • The Miami Marlins have hit the Game Total Over in 30 of their last 45 away games (+17.10 Units / 35% ROI)
  • The Miami Marlins have covered the Run Line in 16 of their last 21 games (+13.45 Units / 47% ROI)
  • The Miami Marlins have hit the Moneyline in 16 of their last 21 games (+11.60 Units / 49% ROI)
  • The Miami Marlins have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 11 of their last 15 games (+6.85 Units / 39% ROI)
  • The Miami Marlins have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 10 of their last 15 games (+6.15 Units / 34% ROI)
  • The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 16 of their last 22 games (+10.30 Units / 40% ROI)
  • The St. Louis Cardinals have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 31 of their last 50 games (+9.90 Units / 17% ROI)
  • The St. Louis Cardinals have covered the Run Line in 30 of their last 50 games (+7.85 Units / 11% ROI)
  • The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 25 of their last 50 games (+7.80 Units / 14% ROI)
  • The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the Game Total Under in 25 of their last 45 games (+6.30 Units / 13% ROI)

Marlins Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Marlins are against the Run Line ( Units / ROI).

  • away moneyline record when betting on the Moneyline for ML units Units / ML ROI ROI
  • away total over record when betting on the total runs Over for over units Units / over ROI ROI
  • away total under record when betting on the total runs Under for under units Units / under ROI ROI

Cardinals Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Cardinals are against the Run Line ( Units / ROI).

  • home moneyline record when betting on the Moneyline for ML units Units / ML ROI ROI
  • home total over record when betting on the total runs Over for over units Units / over ROI ROI
  • home total under record when betting on the total runs Under for under units Units / under ROI ROI

Cardinals vs Marlins Home Run Prop Bets Today

Yes
Kyle Stowers +450
Jordan Walker +475
Alec Burleson +525
JJ Wetherholt +550
Owen Caissie +600

Cardinals vs Marlins Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Alec Burleson 0.5 -275 0.5 +195
Jordan Walker 0.5 -225 0.5 +165
JJ Wetherholt 0.5 -225 0.5 +165
Ivan Herrera 0.5 -225 0.5 +165
Kyle Stowers 0.5 -225 0.5 +165

Cardinals vs Marlins Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Owen Caissie 0.5 -250 0.5 +180
Griffin Conine 0.5 -235 0.5 +175
Lars Nootbaar 0.5 -185 0.5 +135
Heriberto Hernandez 0.5 -185 0.5 +135
Nathan Church 0.5 -175 0.5 +130

Marlins Keys to the Game vs. the Cardinals

The Marlins are 37-8 (.822) when allowing 4 or fewer runs this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .722.

The Marlins are 7-3 (.700) when tied entering the 8th inning this season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .500.

The Marlins are just 5-31 (.139) when allowing 5 or more runs this season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .212.

The Marlins were just 39-14 (.736) when leading entering the 7th inning in the 2024 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .856.

Cardinals Keys to the Game vs. the Marlins

The Cardinals are just 10-96 (.094) when trailing entering the 7th inning since the 2025 season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .130.

The Cardinals were just 7-11 (.389) when tied entering the 8th inning in the 2025 season — tied for 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.

The Cardinals were 18-9 (.667) when tied entering the 7th inning in the 2024 season — tied for 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .498.

The Cardinals are 32-21 (.604) when tied entering the 7th inning since the 2024 season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .499.

Marlins hitters have a Hard-Hit Rate of just 33% on the first pitch of at-bats this season — lowest in MLB.

Marlins hitters have put 39% of their swings in play on the first pitch of at-bats this season — highest in MLB.

Marlins hitters have an OBP of .261 (1,540 PA’s) with two-strikes this season — 3rd best in MLB.

Marlins hitters are slugging .476 on breaking pitches against LHP this season — best in MLB.

Cardinals hitters have struck out in just 17% of their PA’s against LHP this season — 2nd best in MLB.

Cardinals hitters have 112 extra-base hits out of 375 total hits (just 30%) against starting pitchers this season — lowest in MLB.

The Cardinals are batting .181 with two-strikes this season — 3rd best in MLB.

Cardinals hitters have struck out in just 15% of their PA’s in lefty-lefty matchups this season — best in MLB.

Marlins pitchers have an ERA of 3.33 (407.2 IP) at home this season — 3rd best in MLB.

Marlins pitchers have an ERA of 5.02 (305.0 IP) on the road this season — 5th highest in MLB.

Marlins pitchers have allowed 75 stolen bases this season — 5th most in MLB.

Marlins pitchers have had second base stolen on them 68 times this season — 5th most in MLB.

Opponents have a miss rate of just 22% against Cardinals pitchers this season — 2nd lowest in MLB.

Opponents have a groundball rate of 46% against Cardinals pitchers this season — tied for highest in MLB.

Cardinals pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 38% with two-strikes this season — 3rd lowest in MLB.

The Cardinals pitchers have allowed an average Exit Velocity of 90.1 MPH this season (2,059 balls in play) — highest in MLB

More MLB Reading:


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.