• The Cardinals are -130 favorites vs the Marlins
• Marlins vs Cardinals Over / Under today: 9.5 Runs
• Marlins / Cardinals TV Channel: CATV | MATV

The Miami Marlins (+105) visit Busch Stadium to take on the St. Louis Cardinals (-130) on June 28, 2026. First pitch is scheduled for 2:15 pm in St. Louis, MO.

This season, the Marlins are 44-39 against the spread (ATS), while the Cardinals are 46-32 ATS.

Marlins vs Cardinals Starting Pitchers Today:

• Marlins starting pitcher: Tyler Phillips 1-2, 3.11 ERA
• Cardinals starting pitcher: Kyle Leahy 5-4, 4.27 ERA

Marlins vs. Cardinals Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

Marlins vs Cardinals Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Cardinals will win Sunday‘s MLB game with 54.5% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.

Bet now on Marlins vs Cardinals and all games with BetMGM

We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Marlins players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Marlins Player Prop Bets Today:

• Joe Mack has hit the Home Runs Over in 3 of his last 8 away games (+18.80 Units / 235% ROI)
• Xavier Edwards has hit the Runs Under in 20 of his last 25 games (+12.20 Units / 28% ROI)
• Xavier Edwards has hit the Walks Over in 14 of his last 25 away games (+11.60 Units / 46% ROI)
• Kyle Stowers has hit the RBIs Over in 13 of his last 25 games (+9.95 Units / 40% ROI)
• Otto Lopez has hit the Hits Over in 13 of his last 20 games (+9.95 Units / 34% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Cardinals players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Cardinals Player Prop Best Bets Today:

• Alec Burleson has hit the RBIs Over in 16 of his last 25 games (+15.85 Units / 63% ROI)
• Ivan Herrera has hit the Total Bases Under in 20 of his last 25 games (+12.85 Units / 32% ROI)
• Bryan Torres has hit the Home Runs Over in 1 of his last 4 games (+11.00 Units / 275% ROI)
• JJ Wetherholt has hit the Runs Under in 19 of his last 25 games at home (+10.85 Units / 33% ROI)
• Ivan Herrera has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in his last 10 games at home (+10.80 Units / 100% ROI)

Marlins Best Bets Today:

• The Miami Marlins have covered the Run Line in 18 of their last 23 games (+16.00 Units / 51% ROI)
• The Miami Marlins have hit the Moneyline in 18 of their last 23 games (+13.80 Units / 53% ROI)
• The Miami Marlins have hit the Game Total Over in 31 of their last 50 away games (+13.65 Units / 25% ROI)
• The Miami Marlins have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 11 of their last 17 games (+7.35 Units / 36% ROI)
• The Miami Marlins have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 12 of their last 17 games (+6.85 Units / 35% ROI)

Cardinals Best Bets Today:

• The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the Team Total Under in 26 of their last 40 games at home (+9.70 Units / 20% ROI)
• The St. Louis Cardinals have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 30 of their last 50 games (+7.80 Units / 13% ROI)
• The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 16 of their last 24 games (+7.60 Units / 27% ROI)
• The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the Game Total Under in 26 of their last 45 games (+7.30 Units / 15% ROI)
• The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 23 of their last 50 games (+3.70 Units / 6% ROI)

Marlins Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Marlins are 44-38 against the Run Line (+2.5 Units / 2.26% ROI).

• 44-39 when betting on the Moneyline for +6.9 Units / 7.11% ROI
• 44-36 when betting on the total runs Over for +4.25 Units / 4.63% ROI
• 36-44 when betting on the total runs Under for -12.15 Units / -13.37% ROI

Cardinals Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Cardinals are 46-32 against the Run Line (+5.2 Units / 4.58% ROI).

• 42-38 when betting on the Moneyline for +7.3 Units / 8.48% ROI
• 35-41 when betting on the total runs Over for -9.85 Units / -11.24% ROI
• 41-35 when betting on the total runs Under for +2.25 Units / 2.54% ROI

Cardinals vs Marlins Home Run Prop Bets Today

Cardinals vs Marlins Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Cardinals vs Marlins Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Marlins Keys to the Game vs. the Cardinals

The Marlins are 39-8 (.830) when allowing 4 or fewer runs this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .722.

The Marlins are 8-3 (.727) when tied entering the 8th inning this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .500.

The Marlins are just 5-31 (.139) when allowing 5 or more runs this season — tied for 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .211.

The Marlins are 101-33 (.754) when allowing 4 or fewer runs since the 2025 season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .717.

Cardinals Keys to the Game vs. the Marlins

The Cardinals are just 10-97 (.093) when trailing entering the 7th inning since the 2025 season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .130.

The Cardinals are just 11-18 (.379) when tied entering the 8th inning since the 2025 season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.

The Cardinals were 69-1 (.986) when leading entering the 9th inning in the 2024 season — tied for 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .949.

The Cardinals were 18-9 (.667) when tied entering the 7th inning in the 2024 season — tied for 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .498.

Marlins Hitting Stats & Trends

Marlins hitters have a Hard-Hit Rate of just 33% on the first pitch of at-bats this season — lowest in MLB.

Marlins hitters have put 40% of their swings in play on the first pitch of at-bats this season — highest in MLB.

Marlins hitters have an OPS of .531 (1,579 PA’s) with two-strikes this season — 5th best in MLB.

Marlins hitters have an OBP of .262 (1,579 PA’s) with two-strikes this season — 2nd best in MLB.

Cardinals Hitting Stats & Trends

Cardinals hitters have struck out in just 17% of their PA’s against LHP this season — 2nd best in MLB.

Cardinals hitters have 112 extra-base hits out of 380 total hits (just 29%) against starting pitchers this season — lowest in MLB.

Cardinals hitters are slugging .257 on pitches out of the zone this season — 4th best in MLB.

Cardinals hitters have 55 extra-base hits out of 190 total hits (just 29%) against LHP this season — 3rd lowest in MLB.

Marlins Pitching Stats & Trends

The Marlins have allowed 1.02 runs per game (85/83) in late innings this season — 3rd best in MLB.

Opponents are hitting just .228 against Marlins pitchers this season — 5th best in MLB.

Marlins pitchers have allowed 79 home runs this season — tied for 3rd fewest in MLB.

Marlins pitchers have had second base stolen on them 68 times this season — 5th most in MLB.

Cardinals Pitching Stats & Trends

Opponents have a miss rate of just 22% against Cardinals pitchers this season — 2nd lowest in MLB.

Opponents have a groundball rate of 46% against Cardinals pitchers this season — tied for highest in MLB.

Cardinals pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 38% with two-strikes this season — 3rd lowest in MLB.

Cardinals pitchers have allowed an average Exit Velocity of 90.1 MPH (2,116 batted balls) this season — highest in MLB.

More MLB Reading:

• Home Run Predictions Today
• Best NRFI Bets Today
• Strikeout Props Today
• MLB Starting Pitchers Today

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