• The Diamondbacks are -140 favorites vs the Marlins
• Marlins vs Diamondbacks Over / Under today: 8 Runs
• Marlins / Diamondbacks TV Channel: DBTV | MATV

The Miami Marlins (+115) visit Chase Field to take on the Arizona Diamondbacks (-140) on September 14, 2026. First pitch is scheduled for 9:40 pm in Phoenix, AZ.

This season, the Marlins are 74-76 against the spread (ATS), while the Diamondbacks are 78-67 ATS.

Marlins vs Diamondbacks Starting Pitchers Today:

• Marlins starting pitcher: Sandy Alcantara 13-10, 3.81 ERA
• Diamondbacks starting pitcher: Corbin Burnes 0-0, 0.00 ERA

Marlins vs. Diamondbacks Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

Marlins vs Diamondbacks Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Diamondbacks will win Monday‘s MLB game with 56.2% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.

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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Marlins players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Marlins Player Prop Bets Today:

• Graham Pauley has hit the Home Runs Over in 3 of his last 7 games (+19.00 Units / 271% ROI)
• Javier Sanoja has hit the Total Bases Over in 19 of his last 25 away games (+17.25 Units / 57% ROI)
• Otto Lopez has hit the Hits Under in 16 of his last 20 away games (+13.20 Units / 35% ROI)
• Jakob Marsee has hit the Singles Under in 19 of his last 25 away games (+9.85 Units / 26% ROI)
• Javier Sanoja has hit the Runs Over in 6 of his last 8 games (+8.90 Units / 111% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Diamondbacks players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Diamondbacks Player Prop Best Bets Today:

• Nolan Arenado has hit the Home Runs Over in 4 of his last 7 games (+21.80 Units / 311% ROI)
• Gabriel Moreno has hit the Total Bases Over in 18 of his last 25 games (+15.90 Units / 64% ROI)
• Lars Nootbaar has hit the Runs Under in 20 of his last 25 games (+13.55 Units / 37% ROI)
• Lars Nootbaar has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 16 of his last 20 games at home (+11.50 Units / 45% ROI)
• Gabriel Moreno has hit the RBIs Over in 12 of his last 20 games at home (+10.95 Units / 55% ROI)

Marlins Best Bets Today:

• The Miami Marlins have hit the Game Total Over in 12 of their last 16 games (+7.70 Units / 44% ROI)
• The Miami Marlins have hit the Team Total Over in 12 of their last 18 games (+5.55 Units / 27% ROI)
• The Miami Marlins have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 9 of their last 13 games (+4.50 Units / 29% ROI)
• The Miami Marlins have covered the Run Line in 3 of their last 5 away games (+1.20 Units / 19% ROI)
• The Miami Marlins have hit the Moneyline in 3 of their last 5 away games (+1.00 Units / 19% ROI)

Diamondbacks Best Bets Today:

• The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 18 of their last 21 games (+15.20 Units / 57% ROI)
• The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the Game Total Under in 14 of their last 20 games (+7.50 Units / 34% ROI)
• The Arizona Diamondbacks have covered the Run Line in 14 of their last 23 games at home (+5.05 Units / 17% ROI)
• The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the Moneyline in 28 of their last 50 games (+4.85 Units / 8% ROI)
• The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the Team Total Under in 12 of their last 19 games (+3.50 Units / 15% ROI)

Marlins Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Marlins are 75-73 against the Run Line (-8.2 Units / -4.15% ROI).

• 74-76 when betting on the Moneyline for -1.65 Units / -0.95% ROI
• 76-70 when betting on the total runs Over for -1.25 Units / -0.75% ROI
• 70-76 when betting on the total runs Under for -13.2 Units / -8.03% ROI

Diamondbacks Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Diamondbacks are 78-67 against the Run Line (+0.1 Units / 0.05% ROI).

• 79-71 when betting on the Moneyline for +7.7 Units / 4.39% ROI
• 63-81 when betting on the total runs Over for -26.15 Units / -15.79% ROI
• 81-63 when betting on the total runs Under for +12.25 Units / 7.45% ROI

Marlins Keys to the Game vs. the Diamondbacks

The Marlins are just 31-45 (.408) after a loss this season — 4th lowest in MLB.

The Marlins were just 39-14 (.736) when leading entering the 7th inning in the 2024 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .856.

The Marlins were just 45-10 (.818) when leading entering the 8th inning in the 2024 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .899.

The Marlins were just 7-42 (.143) when allowing 2 or more home runs in the 2024 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .289.

Diamondbacks Keys to the Game vs. the Marlins

The Diamondbacks are 15-9 (.625) when tied entering the 7th inning this season — 4th best in MLB.

The Diamondbacks are 67-0 (1.000) when leading entering the 9th inning this season — tied for best in MLB.

The Diamondbacks were just 67-13 (.838) when leading entering the 8th inning in the 2025 season — tied for 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .909.

The Diamondbacks were just 67-7 (.905) when leading entering the 9th inning in the 2025 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .956.

Marlins Hitting Stats & Trends

Marlins hitters have a groundball batting average of .284 this season — best in MLB.

Marlins hitters have an OBP of .335 (2,894 PA’s) at home this season — 5th best in MLB.

Marlins hitters have put 39% of their swings in play on the first pitch of at-bats this season — 3rd highest in MLB.

Marlins hitters are slugging just .535 on the first pitch of at-bats this season — 5th lowest in MLB.

Diamondbacks Hitting Stats & Trends

The Diamondbacks are batting .275 against LHP this season — best in MLB.

Diamondbacks hitters have struck out in just 18% of their PA’s against LHP this season — tied for best in MLB.

Diamondbacks hitters have a swing rate of just 25% on the first pitch of at-bats this season — lowest in MLB.

9% of Diamondbacks’ hitters plate appearances have lasted only one pitch (531/5,671 PA’s) this season — lowest in MLB.

Marlins Pitching Stats & Trends

The Marlins have won just 10% of road games in which their opponents scored first this season — 2nd lowest in MLB.

The Marlins pitchers have allowed an average Exit Velocity of 89.2 MPH this season (3,293 balls in play) — tied for 5th highest in MLB

Marlins pitchers have allowed an average Exit Velocity of 89.2 MPH (3,293 batted balls) this season — tied for 5th highest in MLB.

Marlins pitchers have picked-off 2 runners from first base this season — fewest in MLB.

Diamondbacks Pitching Stats & Trends

Diamondbacks pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 18% this season — 2nd lowest in MLB.

Diamondbacks pitchers have struck out just 17% of left-handed batters they faced this season — 2nd lowest in MLB.

Diamondbacks pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 38% with two-strikes this season — 3rd lowest in MLB.

Opponents have a miss rate of just 22% against Diamondbacks pitchers this season — 2nd lowest in MLB.

More MLB Reading:

• Home Run Predictions Today
• Best NRFI Bets Today
• Strikeout Props Today
• MLB Starting Pitchers Today

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