• The Diamondbacks are -155 favorites vs the Marlins
• Marlins vs Diamondbacks Over / Under today: 8.5 Runs
• Marlins / Diamondbacks TV Channel: DBTV | MATV

The Miami Marlins (+125) visit Chase Field to take on the Arizona Diamondbacks (-155) on September 15, 2026. First pitch is scheduled for 9:40 pm in Phoenix, AZ.

This season, the Marlins are 74-77 against the spread (ATS), while the Diamondbacks are 78-68 ATS.

Marlins vs Diamondbacks Starting Pitchers Today:

• Marlins starting pitcher: Janson Junk 6-9, 4.56 ERA
• Diamondbacks starting pitcher: Mike Soroka 8-5, 3.55 ERA

Marlins vs. Diamondbacks Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

Marlins vs Diamondbacks Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Diamondbacks will win Tuesday‘s MLB game with 56.1% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.

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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Marlins players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Marlins Player Prop Bets Today:

• Javier Sanoja has hit the Home Runs Over in 3 of his last 9 away games (+23.00 Units / 256% ROI)
• Javier Sanoja has hit the Total Bases Over in 19 of his last 25 away games (+17.55 Units / 58% ROI)
• Otto Lopez has hit the Hits Under in 20 of his last 25 away games (+14.60 Units / 29% ROI)
• Javier Sanoja has hit the Runs Over in 7 of his last 9 games (+10.55 Units / 117% ROI)
• Heriberto Hernandez has hit the Walks Over in 12 of his last 20 away games (+9.00 Units / 45% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Diamondbacks players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Diamondbacks Player Prop Best Bets Today:

• Jordan Lawlar has hit the Home Runs Over in 4 of his last 9 games at home (+31.00 Units / 344% ROI)
• Lars Nootbaar has hit the Runs Under in 20 of his last 25 games (+13.50 Units / 37% ROI)
• Gabriel Moreno has hit the Total Bases Over in 17 of his last 25 games (+13.40 Units / 54% ROI)
• Gabriel Moreno has hit the RBIs Over in 14 of his last 25 games (+12.45 Units / 50% ROI)
• Corbin Carroll has hit the Walks Under in 20 of his last 25 games at home (+10.95 Units / 24% ROI)

Marlins Best Bets Today:

• The Miami Marlins have hit the Game Total Over in 13 of their last 17 games (+8.70 Units / 46% ROI)
• The Miami Marlins have hit the Team Total Over in 13 of their last 19 games (+6.55 Units / 30% ROI)
• The Miami Marlins have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 10 of their last 14 games (+5.50 Units / 32% ROI)
• The Miami Marlins have covered the Run Line in 4 of their last 6 away games (+2.20 Units / 27% ROI)
• The Miami Marlins have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 3 of their last 5 away games (+0.95 Units / 18% ROI)

Diamondbacks Best Bets Today:

• The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 18 of their last 22 games (+13.65 Units / 48% ROI)
• The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the Game Total Under in 14 of their last 21 games (+6.40 Units / 28% ROI)
• The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the Moneyline in 28 of their last 50 games (+4.85 Units / 8% ROI)
• The Arizona Diamondbacks have covered the Run Line in 14 of their last 24 games at home (+4.05 Units / 14% ROI)
• The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the Team Total Over in 5 of their last 7 games (+3.15 Units / 43% ROI)

Marlins Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Marlins are 76-73 against the Run Line (-7.2 Units / -3.61% ROI).

• 74-77 when betting on the Moneyline for -2.65 Units / -1.51% ROI
• 77-70 when betting on the total runs Over for -0.25 Units / -0.15% ROI
• 70-77 when betting on the total runs Under for -14.3 Units / -8.64% ROI

Diamondbacks Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Diamondbacks are 78-68 against the Run Line (-0.9 Units / -0.45% ROI).

• 80-71 when betting on the Moneyline for +8.7 Units / 4.92% ROI
• 64-81 when betting on the total runs Over for -25.15 Units / -15.08% ROI
• 81-64 when betting on the total runs Under for +11.15 Units / 6.73% ROI

Marlins Keys to the Game vs. the Diamondbacks

The Marlins were just 45-10 (.818) when leading entering the 8th inning in the 2024 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .899.

The Marlins were just 39-14 (.736) when leading entering the 7th inning in the 2024 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .856.

The Marlins were just 62-100 (.383) in the 2024 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.

The Marlins were just 11-52 (.175) when allowing 10 or more hits in the 2024 season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .250.

Diamondbacks Keys to the Game vs. the Marlins

The Diamondbacks are 67-0 (1.000) when leading entering the 9th inning this season — tied for best in MLB.

The Diamondbacks are 12-54 (.182) when trailing entering the 7th inning this season — 5th best in MLB.

The Diamondbacks are 15-9 (.625) when tied entering the 7th inning this season — 4th best in MLB.

The Diamondbacks were just 67-7 (.905) when leading entering the 9th inning in the 2025 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .956.

Marlins Hitting Stats & Trends

Marlins hitters have a groundball batting average of .284 this season — best in MLB.

Marlins hitters have a groundball batting average of .308 with runners on base this season — best in MLB.

Marlins hitters have a Hard-Hit Rate of just 36% on the first pitch of at-bats this season — 2nd lowest in MLB.

Marlins hitters have an OBP of .335 (2,894 PA’s) at home this season — 5th best in MLB.

Diamondbacks Hitting Stats & Trends

The Diamondbacks are batting .275 against LHP this season — best in MLB.

Diamondbacks hitters have struck out in just 18% of their PA’s against LHP this season — tied for best in MLB.

Diamondbacks hitters have put 40% of their swings in play against LHP this season — 2nd highest in MLB.

Diamondbacks hitters have an OBP of .341 (1,601 PA’s) against LHP this season — 2nd best in MLB.

Marlins Pitching Stats & Trends

The Marlins have won just 10% of road games in which their opponents scored first this season — 2nd lowest in MLB.

Marlins pitchers have allowed an average Exit Velocity of 89.2 MPH (3,293 batted balls) this season — tied for 5th highest in MLB.

The Marlins pitchers have allowed an average Exit Velocity of 89.2 MPH this season (3,293 balls in play) — tied for 5th highest in MLB

Marlins pitchers have allowed 126 stolen bases this season — 4th most in MLB.

Diamondbacks Pitching Stats & Trends

Opponents have a miss rate of just 22% against Diamondbacks pitchers this season — 2nd lowest in MLB.

Diamondbacks pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 38% with two-strikes this season — 3rd lowest in MLB.

Diamondbacks pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 18% with runners in scoring position this season — tied for 2nd lowest in MLB.

Diamondbacks pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 18% this season — 2nd lowest in MLB.

More MLB Reading:

• Home Run Predictions Today
• Best NRFI Bets Today
• Strikeout Props Today
• MLB Starting Pitchers Today

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