• The Phillies are -250 favorites vs the Marlins
• Marlins vs Phillies Over / Under today: 8 Runs
• Marlins / Phillies TV Channel: MATV | NSPA

The Miami Marlins (+200) visit Citizens Bank Park to take on the Philadelphia Phillies (-250) on August 17, 2026. First pitch is scheduled for 6:40 pm in Philadelphia, PA.

This season, the Marlins are against the spread (ATS), while the Phillies are ATS.

Marlins vs Phillies Starting Pitchers Today:

• Marlins starting pitcher: Janson Junk 6-7, 4.44 ERA
• Phillies starting pitcher: Cristopher Sanchez 15-4, 2.54 ERA

Marlins vs. Phillies Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

Marlins vs Phillies Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Phillies will win Monday‘s MLB game with 72.3% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.

Bet now on Marlins vs Phillies and all games with BetMGM

We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Marlins players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Marlins Player Prop Bets Today:

• Javier Sanoja has hit the Total Bases Over in 17 of his last 20 away games (+16.45 Units / 66% ROI)
• Joe Mack has hit the Home Runs Over in 4 of his last 10 away games (+16.10 Units / 161% ROI)
• Xavier Edwards has hit the Runs Under in 19 of his last 25 games (+9.25 Units / 21% ROI)
• Joe Mack has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 17 of his last 25 away games (+8.50 Units / 27% ROI)
• Otto Lopez has hit the Hits Under in 18 of his last 25 games (+8.50 Units / 17% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Phillies players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Phillies Player Prop Best Bets Today:

• Bryson Stott has hit the Hits Over in 21 of his last 25 games at home (+14.10 Units / 30% ROI)
• Bryce Harper has hit the Walks Over in 13 of his last 15 games (+12.85 Units / 85% ROI)
• Brandon Marsh has hit the Total Bases Under in 20 of his last 25 games (+12.45 Units / 30% ROI)
• Bryce Harper has hit the Singles Under in 16 of his last 20 games at home (+11.05 Units / 42% ROI)
• Kyle Schwarber has hit the Runs Under in 14 of his last 20 games at home (+10.00 Units / 49% ROI)

Marlins Best Bets Today:

• The Miami Marlins have hit the Game Total Under in 31 of their last 50 games (+10.05 Units / 18% ROI)
• The Miami Marlins have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 27 of their last 50 games (+9.45 Units / 15% ROI)
• The Miami Marlins have hit the Team Total Under in 19 of their last 30 games (+6.90 Units / 20% ROI)
• The Miami Marlins have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 30 of their last 50 games (+6.60 Units / 11% ROI)
• The Miami Marlins have covered the Run Line in 6 of their last 8 games (+6.45 Units / 65% ROI)

Phillies Best Bets Today:

• The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the Game Total Over in 12 of their last 20 games (+6.45 Units / 29% ROI)
• The Philadelphia Phillies have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 18 of their last 30 games at home (+4.35 Units / 12% ROI)
• The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 18 of their last 30 games at home (+3.80 Units / 11% ROI)
• The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the Team Total Over in 12 of their last 20 games (+3.60 Units / 16% ROI)
• The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 18 of their last 35 games at home (+2.65 Units / 4% ROI)

Marlins Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Marlins are against the Run Line ( Units / ROI).

• away moneyline record when betting on the Moneyline for ML units Units / ML ROI ROI
• away total over record when betting on the total runs Over for over units Units / over ROI ROI
• away total under record when betting on the total runs Under for under units Units / under ROI ROI

Phillies Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Phillies are against the Run Line ( Units / ROI).

• home moneyline record when betting on the Moneyline for ML units Units / ML ROI ROI
• home total over record when betting on the total runs Over for over units Units / over ROI ROI
• home total under record when betting on the total runs Under for under units Units / under ROI ROI

Phillies vs Marlins Home Run Prop Bets Today

Phillies vs Marlins Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Phillies vs Marlins Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Marlins Keys to the Game vs. the Phillies

The Marlins were just 39-14 (.736) when leading entering the 7th inning in the 2024 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .856.

The Marlins were just 45-10 (.818) when leading entering the 8th inning in the 2024 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .899.

The Marlins were just 60-86 (.411) when allowing 5 or more extra base hits in the 2024 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .538.

The Marlins were just 7-42 (.143) when allowing 2 or more home runs in the 2024 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .289.

Phillies Keys to the Game vs. the Marlins

The Phillies were 15-45 (.250) when trailing entering the 7th inning in the 2025 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .124.

The Phillies were 83-15 (.847) when they allowed 4 or fewer runs in the 2024 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .723.

The Phillies were 81-21 (.794) when they allowed 4 or fewer runs in the 2025 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .714.

The Phillies were 12-47 (.203) when trailing entering the 7th inning in the 2024 season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .143.

Marlins Hitting Stats & Trends

Marlins hitters have a groundball batting average of .284 this season — best in MLB.

Marlins hitters have put 39% of their swings in play in non-two strike counts this season — tied for 2nd highest in MLB.

The Marlins are batting .248 on the road this season — 4th best in MLB.

The Marlins have a winning percentage of 60% at home this season — 5th best in MLB.

Phillies Hitting Stats & Trends

Phillies hitters are slugging .730 with the pitcher behind in the count this season — best in MLB.

Phillies hitters have an OPS of 1.237 (873 PA’s) with the pitcher behind in the count this season — best in MLB.

The Phillies are batting just .231 against LHP this season — 5th lowest in MLB.

Phillies hitters have an OBP of just .229 (2,517 PA’s) with two-strikes this season — 2nd lowest in MLB.

Marlins Pitching Stats & Trends

The Marlins have won just 8% of road games in which their opponents scored first this season — 2nd lowest in MLB.

Marlins pitchers have an ERA of 3.41 (570.2 IP) at home this season — 4th best in MLB.

The Marlins have won 46% of home games in which their opponents scored first this season — 3rd highest in MLB.

The Marlins have allowed 3.70 runs per game (233/63) at home this season — 3rd best in MLB.

Phillies Pitching Stats & Trends

Opponents have a miss rate of 28% against Phillies pitchers this season — best in MLB.

The Phillies pitchers have allowed their opponents to score first in just 40% of their games at home this season — tied for lowest in MLB.

Phillies pitchers have a strikeout rate of 26% this season — 2nd best in MLB.

The Phillies pitchers have allowed an average Exit Velocity of just 87.7 MPH this season (3,003 balls in play) — best in MLB

More MLB Reading:

• Home Run Predictions Today
• Best NRFI Bets Today
• Strikeout Props Today
• MLB Starting Pitchers Today

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