• The Pirates are -140 favorites vs the Marlins
• Marlins vs Pirates Over / Under today: 8.5 Runs
• Marlins / Pirates TV Channel: MATV | SNPT

The Miami Marlins (+115) visit PNC Park to take on the Pittsburgh Pirates (-140) on June 12, 2026. First pitch is scheduled for 6:40 pm in Pittsburgh, PA.

This season, the Marlins are against the spread (ATS), while the Pirates are ATS.

Marlins vs Pirates Starting Pitchers Today:

• Marlins starting pitcher: Sandy Alcantara 5-4, 4.44 ERA
• Pirates starting pitcher: Braxton Ashcraft 5-3, 3.25 ERA

Marlins vs. Pirates Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

Marlins vs Pirates Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Pirates will win Friday‘s MLB game with 54.5% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.

Bet now on Marlins vs Pirates and all games with BetMGM

We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Marlins players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Marlins Player Prop Bets Today:

• Javier Sanoja has hit the Singles Under in 19 of his last 25 games (+11.95 Units / 39% ROI)
• Javier Sanoja has hit the Home Runs Over in 1 of his last 4 games (+9.00 Units / 225% ROI)
• Javier Sanoja has hit the Hits Under in 14 of his last 25 games (+8.35 Units / 33% ROI)
• Javier Sanoja has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 18 of his last 25 games (+8.30 Units / 24% ROI)
• Javier Sanoja has hit the Total Bases Under in 15 of his last 25 games (+4.35 Units / 12% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Pirates players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Pirates Player Prop Best Bets Today:

• Nick Gonzales has hit the Runs Over in 11 of his last 15 games (+11.60 Units / 77% ROI)
• Nick Gonzales has hit the Home Runs Over in 2 of his last 10 games (+10.50 Units / 105% ROI)
• Jared Triolo has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 17 of his last 25 games (+6.20 Units / 18% ROI)
• Braxton Ashcraft has hit the Walks Allowed Under in 6 of his last 7 games (+5.45 Units / 56% ROI)
• Braxton Ashcraft has hit the Pitching Outs Over in 8 of his last 10 games (+5.30 Units / 40% ROI)

Marlins Best Bets Today:

• The Miami Marlins have hit the Game Total Over in 28 of their last 40 away games (+18.20 Units / 41% ROI)
• The Miami Marlins have covered the Run Line in 8 of their last 9 games (+8.15 Units / 65% ROI)
• The Miami Marlins have hit the Moneyline in 8 of their last 9 games (+7.30 Units / 72% ROI)
• The Miami Marlins have hit the Team Total Under in 14 of their last 22 away games (+5.10 Units / 20% ROI)
• The Miami Marlins have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 9 of their last 13 away games (+4.20 Units / 27% ROI)

Pirates Best Bets Today:

• The Pittsburgh Pirates have hit the Game Total Over in 27 of their last 40 games at home (+12.60 Units / 28% ROI)
• The Pittsburgh Pirates have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 30 of their last 50 games at home (+8.70 Units / 15% ROI)
• The Pittsburgh Pirates have hit the Team Total Over in 5 of their last 6 games at home (+3.80 Units / 52% ROI)
• The Pittsburgh Pirates have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 17 of their last 30 games (+2.75 Units / 8% ROI)
• The Pittsburgh Pirates have hit the Moneyline in 4 of their last 6 games at home (+2.55 Units / 33% ROI)

Marlins Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Marlins are against the Run Line ( Units / ROI).

• away moneyline record when betting on the Moneyline for ML units Units / ML ROI ROI
• away total over record when betting on the total runs Over for over units Units / over ROI ROI
• away total under record when betting on the total runs Under for under units Units / under ROI ROI

Pirates Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Pirates are against the Run Line ( Units / ROI).

• home moneyline record when betting on the Moneyline for ML units Units / ML ROI ROI
• home total over record when betting on the total runs Over for over units Units / over ROI ROI
• home total under record when betting on the total runs Under for under units Units / under ROI ROI

Marlins Keys to the Game vs. the Pirates

The Marlins are 7-1 (.875) when tied entering the 8th inning this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .500.

The Marlins are just 3-13 (.188) when allowing 2 or more home runs this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .297.

The Marlins are 29-6 (.829) when allowing 4 or fewer runs this season — tied for 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .726.

The Marlins are 5-2 (.714) when tied entering the 7th inning this season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .500.

Pirates Keys to the Game vs. the Marlins

The Pirates are 29-4 (.879) when allowing 4 or fewer runs this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .726.

The Pirates are 20-13 (.606) after a loss this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .479.

The Pirates are just 2-17 (.105) when allowing 10 or more hits this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .250.

The Pirates are just 12-80 (.130) when allowing 5 or more runs since the 2025 season — tied for 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .204.

Marlins Hitting Stats & Trends

Marlins hitters have a Hard-Hit Rate of just 33% on the first pitch of at-bats this season — lowest in MLB.

Marlins hitters have an OBP of .262 (1,307 PA’s) with two-strikes this season — 3rd best in MLB.

Marlins hitters are slugging just .476 on the first pitch of at-bats this season — 5th lowest in MLB.

The Marlins are 7-1 (.875) when tied entering the 8th inning this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .500.

Pirates Hitting Stats & Trends

The Pirates are batting .326 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game this season — best in MLB.

Pirates hitters have struck out in 27% of their PA’s against LHP this season — 2nd highest in MLB.

Pirates hitters have an OBP of .358 (1,407 PA’s) at home this season — best in MLB.

Pirates hitters have an OBP of .375 (302 PA’s) when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game this season — best in MLB.

Marlins Pitching Stats & Trends

Marlins pitchers have walked 10% of batters when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — tied for 3rd highest in MLB.

Marlins pitchers have 116 three-pitch strikeouts this season — tied for 3rd most in MLB.

Opponents have a groundball batting average of just .227 against Marlins pitchers this season — 3rd best in MLB.

Marlins pitchers have a first-pitch strike rate of 63% this season — 4th highest in MLB.

Pirates Pitching Stats & Trends

Pirates pitchers have walked 10% of batters when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — tied for 5th highest in MLB.

The Pirates have allowed 5.28 runs per game (190/36) at home this season — 5th highest in MLB.

Pirates pitchers have allowed 63 home runs this season — 3rd fewest in MLB.

Pirates pitchers have a strikeout rate of 24% in the first 5 innings this season — tied for 5th best in MLB.

More MLB Reading:

• Home Run Predictions Today
• Best NRFI Bets Today
• Strikeout Props Today
• MLB Starting Pitchers Today

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