• The Marlins are -130 favorites vs the Rockies
• Marlins vs Rockies Over / Under today: 12 Runs
• Marlins / Rockies TV Channel: ROTV | MATV

The Miami Marlins (-130) visit Coors Field to take on the Colorado Rockies (+105) on July 2, 2026. First pitch is scheduled for 3:10 pm in Denver, CO.

This season, the Marlins are 46-41 against the spread (ATS), while the Rockies are 46-41 ATS.

Marlins vs Rockies Starting Pitchers Today:

• Marlins starting pitcher: Ryan Gusto 0-2, 4.99 ERA
• Rockies starting pitcher: Michael Lorenzen 3-9, 6.78 ERA

Marlins vs. Rockies Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

Marlins vs Rockies Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Marlins will win Thursday‘s MLB game with 52.9% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.

Bet now on Marlins vs Rockies and all games with BetMGM

We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Marlins players for Thursday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Marlins Player Prop Bets Today:

• Joe Mack has hit the Home Runs Over in 4 of his last 10 away games (+22.40 Units / 224% ROI)
• Xavier Edwards has hit the Walks Over in 14 of his last 25 away games (+11.65 Units / 47% ROI)
• Liam Hicks has hit the Hits Over in his last 10 away games (+10.80 Units / 57% ROI)
• Xavier Edwards has hit the Runs Under in 19 of his last 25 games (+10.60 Units / 25% ROI)
• Liam Hicks has hit the Singles Over in his last 10 games (+10.00 Units / 74% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Rockies players for Thursday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Rockies Player Prop Best Bets Today:

• Kyle Karros has hit the Home Runs Over in 3 of his last 10 games (+18.00 Units / 180% ROI)
• Ezequiel Tovar has hit the Singles Under in 20 of his last 25 games (+14.05 Units / 42% ROI)
• Hunter Goodman has hit the Hits Under in 19 of his last 25 games at home (+13.65 Units / 29% ROI)
• T.J. Rumfield has hit the Total Bases Over in 14 of his last 20 games (+10.40 Units / 50% ROI)
• Mickey Moniak has hit the Runs Under in 15 of his last 20 games (+8.75 Units / 31% ROI)

Marlins Best Bets Today:

• The Miami Marlins have covered the Run Line in 18 of their last 23 games (+16.00 Units / 52% ROI)
• The Miami Marlins have hit the Game Total Over in 31 of their last 50 away games (+13.55 Units / 25% ROI)
• The Miami Marlins have hit the Moneyline in 23 of their last 35 games (+11.55 Units / 29% ROI)
• The Miami Marlins have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 13 of their last 21 games (+6.75 Units / 26% ROI)
• The Miami Marlins have hit the Team Total Over in 15 of their last 23 games (+6.45 Units / 24% ROI)

Rockies Best Bets Today:

• The Colorado Rockies have covered the Run Line in 11 of their last 16 games (+5.35 Units / 27% ROI)
• The Colorado Rockies have hit the Moneyline in 7 of their last 12 games at home (+4.80 Units / 40% ROI)
• The Colorado Rockies have hit the Team Total Over in 21 of their last 35 games (+4.20 Units / 10% ROI)
• The Colorado Rockies have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 12 of their last 20 games (+3.00 Units / 13% ROI)
• The Colorado Rockies have hit the Game Total Over in 5 of their last 7 games (+2.80 Units / 35% ROI)

Marlins Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Marlins are 47-39 against the Run Line (+4.5 Units / 3.89% ROI).

• 46-41 when betting on the Moneyline for +6.45 Units / 6.3% ROI
• 46-38 when betting on the total runs Over for +3.95 Units / 4.1% ROI
• 38-46 when betting on the total runs Under for -12.25 Units / -12.88% ROI

Rockies Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Rockies are 46-41 against the Run Line (-2.75 Units / -2.56% ROI).

• 34-53 when betting on the Moneyline for -0.95 Units / -1.09% ROI
• 41-44 when betting on the total runs Over for -7.85 Units / -8.13% ROI
• 44-41 when betting on the total runs Under for -0.7 Units / -0.74% ROI

Rockies vs Marlins Home Run Prop Bets Today

Rockies vs Marlins Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Rockies vs Marlins Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Marlins Keys to the Game vs. the Rockies

The Marlins are 40-9 (.816) when allowing 4 or fewer runs this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .725.

The Marlins are 8-3 (.727) when tied entering the 8th inning this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .500.

The Marlins are 91-9 (.910) when leading entering the 7th inning since the 2025 season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .871.

The Marlins were just 39-14 (.736) when leading entering the 7th inning in the 2024 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .856.

Rockies Keys to the Game vs. the Marlins

The Rockies are just 5-29 (.147) when allowing 2 or more home runs this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .296.

The Rockies are just 11-22 (.333) after a win this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .516.

The Rockies are just 26-5 (.839) when leading entering the 8th inning this season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .899.

The Rockies are just 28-5 (.848) when leading entering the 9th inning this season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .945.

Marlins Hitting Stats & Trends

Marlins hitters have a groundball batting average of .281 this season — best in MLB.

Marlins hitters have an OPS of .533 (1,657 PA’s) with two-strikes this season — 5th best in MLB.

Marlins hitters have an OBP of .260 (1,657 PA’s) with two-strikes this season — tied for 4th best in MLB.

Marlins hitters have put 40% of their swings in play on the first pitch of at-bats this season — highest in MLB.

Rockies Hitting Stats & Trends

Rockies hitter’ K:BB ratio is 4.5 against LHP this season — highest in MLB.

Rockies hitters have a swing rate of 41% on the first pitch of at-bats this season — highest in MLB.

Rockies hitters have chased 37% of pitches out of the zone against LHP this season — highest in MLB.

Rockies hitters have drawn walks in 6% of their PA’s against LHP this season — lowest in MLB.

Marlins Pitching Stats & Trends

Marlins pitchers have an ERA of 3.33 (407.2 IP) at home this season — 4th best in MLB.

The Marlins have allowed 1.03 runs per game (90/87) in late innings this season — 2nd best in MLB.

Marlins pitchers have allowed 85 home runs this season — tied for 4th fewest in MLB.

The Marlins have won just 10% of road games in which their opponents scored first this season — 2nd lowest in MLB.

Rockies Pitching Stats & Trends

Rockies pitchers have an ERA of 6.03 (388.0 IP) at home this season — 2nd highest in MLB.

Rockies pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 18% this season — lowest in MLB.

Opponents are hitting .288 against Rockies pitchers this season — highest in MLB.

Rockies pitchers have an ERA of 5.59 (764.2 IP) this season — highest in MLB.

More MLB Reading:

• Home Run Predictions Today
• Best NRFI Bets Today
• Strikeout Props Today
• MLB Starting Pitchers Today

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