• The Marlins are -105 favorites vs the Twins
• Marlins vs Twins Over / Under today: 9 Runs
• Marlins / Twins TV Channel: TWTV | MATV | KMSP

The Miami Marlins (-105) visit Target Field to take on the Minnesota Twins (-115) on May 12, 2026. First pitch is scheduled for 7:40 pm in Minneapolis, MN.

This season, the Marlins are 19-22 against the spread (ATS), while the Twins are 20-21 ATS.

Marlins vs Twins Starting Pitchers Today:

• Marlins starting pitcher: Eury Perez 2-4, 5.05 ERA
• Twins starting pitcher: Bailey Ober 3-2, 4.19 ERA

Marlins vs. Twins Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

Marlins vs Twins Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Twins will win Tuesday‘s MLB game with 53.4% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.

Bet now on Marlins vs Twins and all games with BetMGM

We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Marlins players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Marlins Player Prop Bets Today:

• Liam Hicks has hit the Home Runs Over in 4 of his last 5 away games (+38.50 Units / 770% ROI)
• Otto Lopez has hit the Hits Over in 17 of his last 25 games (+13.60 Units / 36% ROI)
• Otto Lopez has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 19 of his last 25 games (+11.20 Units / 33% ROI)
• Xavier Edwards has hit the Walks Over in 7 of his last 9 away games (+9.95 Units / 111% ROI)
• Liam Hicks has hit the Total Bases Over in 16 of his last 25 games (+9.75 Units / 31% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Twins players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Twins Player Prop Best Bets Today:

• Byron Buxton has hit the Home Runs Over in 6 of his last 10 games (+17.00 Units / 170% ROI)
• Josh Bell has hit the Total Bases Under in 18 of his last 25 games (+11.75 Units / 32% ROI)
• Ryan Jeffers has hit the Hits Over in 13 of his last 15 games (+10.20 Units / 38% ROI)
• Josh Bell has hit the Walks Under in his last 9 games (+9.00 Units / 46% ROI)
• Josh Bell has hit the Runs Under in 16 of his last 20 games (+9.00 Units / 25% ROI)

Marlins Best Bets Today:

• The Miami Marlins have hit the Game Total Over in 17 of their last 25 away games (+10.55 Units / 38% ROI)
• The Miami Marlins have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 7 of their last 9 away games (+9.50 Units / 101% ROI)
• The Miami Marlins have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 31 of their last 50 away games (+8.89 Units / 15% ROI)
• The Miami Marlins have hit the Moneyline in 24 of their last 50 away games (+8.30 Units / 16% ROI)
• The Miami Marlins have hit the Team Total Over in 30 of their last 50 away games (+7.50 Units / 13% ROI)

Twins Best Bets Today:

• The Minnesota Twins have hit the Game Total Over in 20 of their last 30 games (+11.20 Units / 34% ROI)
• The Minnesota Twins have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 14 of their last 17 games at home (+10.85 Units / 54% ROI)
• The Minnesota Twins have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 14 of their last 17 games at home (+10.50 Units / 50% ROI)
• The Minnesota Twins have hit the Team Total Over in 26 of their last 40 games (+9.85 Units / 21% ROI)
• The Minnesota Twins have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 12 of their last 17 games at home (+6.55 Units / 32% ROI)

Marlins Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Marlins are 18-23 against the Run Line (-6.05 Units / -11.82% ROI).

• 19-22 when betting on the Moneyline for -2.05 Units / -4.02% ROI
• 23-16 when betting on the total runs Over for +5.25 Units / 11.55% ROI
• 16-23 when betting on the total runs Under for -9.1 Units / -20.34% ROI

Twins Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Twins are 20-21 against the Run Line (-9.45 Units / -15.8% ROI).

• 18-23 when betting on the Moneyline for -3.4 Units / -7.85% ROI
• 24-14 when betting on the total runs Over for +8.5 Units / 18.87% ROI
• 14-24 when betting on the total runs Under for -12.55 Units / -27.8% ROI

Twins vs Marlins Home Run Prop Bets Today

Twins vs Marlins Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Twins vs Marlins Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Marlins Keys to the Game vs. the Twins

The Marlins are just 2-18 (.100) when allowing 5 or more runs this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .211.

The Marlins are just 13-3 (.812) when leading entering the 8th inning this season — tied for 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .894.

The Marlins are 9-1 (.900) when they’ve had 10 or more hits this season — tied for 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .755.

The Marlins are just 5-10 (.333) on the road this season — tied for 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .463.

Twins Keys to the Game vs. the Marlins

The Twins are just 0-19 (.000) when trailing entering the 9th inning this season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .051.

The Twins are just 1-9 (.100) when allowing 2 or more home runs this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .300.

The Twins are just 2-17 (.105) when allowing 5 or more runs this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .211.

The Twins are just 0-17 (.000) when trailing entering the 8th inning this season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .106.

Marlins Hitting Stats & Trends

Marlins hitters are slugging just .391 on the first pitch of at-bats this season — 2nd lowest in MLB.

Marlins hitters have 10 extra-base hits out of 50 total hits (just 20%) on the first pitch of at-bats this season — lowest in MLB.

Marlins hitters have put 41% of their swings in play on the first pitch of at-bats this season — highest in MLB.

The Marlins are batting just .279 on the first pitch of at-bats this season — 3rd lowest in MLB.

Twins Hitting Stats & Trends

The Twins are batting just .195 with two outs this season — 3rd lowest in MLB.

Twins hitters have struck out in 36% of their PA’s in lefty-lefty matchups this season — highest in MLB.

Twins hitters have put just 30% of their swings in play on the first pitch of at-bats this season — 2nd lowest in MLB.

Twins hitters have chased 26% of pitches out of the zone against LHP this season — 3rd lowest in MLB.

Marlins Pitching Stats & Trends

Marlins pitchers have allowed 45 stolen bases this season — most in MLB.

Marlins pitchers have 72 three-pitch strikeouts this season — 4th most in MLB.

Marlins pitchers have had second base stolen on them 39 times this season — tied for most in MLB.

Marlins pitchers have allowed 33 home runs this season — 3rd fewest in MLB.

Twins Pitching Stats & Trends

Opponents have a miss rate of just 22% against Twins pitchers this season — 3rd lowest in MLB.

Twins pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 39% with two-strikes this season — tied for 3rd lowest in MLB.

Opponents have a groundball rate of just 40% against Twins pitchers this season — 3rd lowest in MLB.

Twins pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 17% in late innings this season — lowest in MLB.

More MLB Reading:

• Home Run Predictions Today
• Best NRFI Bets Today
• Strikeout Props Today
• MLB Starting Pitchers Today

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