• The Mets are -115 favorites vs the Blue Jays
• Mets vs Blue Jays Over / Under today: 8.5 Runs
• Mets / Blue Jays TV Channel: SNY | RSN

The New York Mets (-115) visit Rogers Centre to take on the Toronto Blue Jays (-105) on July 1, 2026. First pitch is scheduled for 3:07 pm in Toronto, ON.

This season, the Mets are 36-50 against the spread (ATS), while the Blue Jays are 41-44 ATS.

Mets vs Blue Jays Starting Pitchers Today:

• Mets starting pitcher: Freddy Peralta 5-6, 4.57 ERA
• Blue Jays starting pitcher: Braydon Fisher 3-3, 3.51 ERA

Mets vs. Blue Jays Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

Mets vs Blue Jays Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Blue Jays will win Wednesday‘s MLB game with 51.9% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.

Bet now on Mets vs Blue Jays and all games with BetMGM

We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Mets players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Mets Player Prop Bets Today:

• Carson Benge has hit the Home Runs Over in 3 of his last 9 away games (+16.60 Units / 184% ROI)
• Francisco Lindor has hit the Walks Under in 18 of his last 20 games (+14.50 Units / 36% ROI)
• Francisco Lindor has hit the Hits Under in 15 of his last 25 away games (+14.40 Units / 52% ROI)
• Bo Bichette has hit the Runs Under in 19 of his last 25 away games (+11.35 Units / 31% ROI)
• Francisco Lindor has hit the Singles Under in 18 of his last 25 away games (+8.80 Units / 28% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Blue Jays players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Blue Jays Player Prop Best Bets Today:

• Nathan Lukes has hit the Home Runs Over in 2 of his last 7 games (+11.50 Units / 164% ROI)
• Andres Gimenez has hit the Total Bases Over in 16 of his last 20 games (+10.20 Units / 35% ROI)
• Andres Gimenez has hit the Hits Over in 16 of his last 20 games (+10.20 Units / 34% ROI)
• Alejandro Kirk has hit the Runs Under in 16 of his last 20 games (+9.10 Units / 25% ROI)
• Ernie Clement has hit the Singles Over in 18 of his last 25 games (+7.85 Units / 22% ROI)

Mets Best Bets Today:

• The New York Mets have hit the Team Total Under in 32 of their last 45 away games (+18.05 Units / 35% ROI)
• The New York Mets have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 31 of their last 45 away games (+16.50 Units / 31% ROI)
• The New York Mets have hit the Game Total Under in 27 of their last 45 away games (+10.40 Units / 21% ROI)
• The New York Mets have covered the Run Line in their last 5 games (+5.75 Units / 91% ROI)
• The New York Mets have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 4 of their last 7 games (+0.60 Units / 7% ROI)

Blue Jays Best Bets Today:

• The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 31 of their last 50 games at home (+10.70 Units / 18% ROI)
• The Toronto Blue Jays have covered the Run Line in 24 of their last 45 games (+3.65 Units / 6% ROI)
• The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the Game Total Over in 22 of their last 40 games at home (+3.45 Units / 8% ROI)
• The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the Team Total Under in 13 of their last 22 games at home (+3.40 Units / 13% ROI)

Mets Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Mets are 36-48 against the Run Line (-10.95 Units / -10.71% ROI).

• 36-50 when betting on the Moneyline for -27.9 Units / -25.26% ROI
• 38-40 when betting on the total runs Over for -6.55 Units / -6.9% ROI
• 40-38 when betting on the total runs Under for -2.3 Units / -2.44% ROI

Blue Jays Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Blue Jays are 41-44 against the Run Line (-6.05 Units / -5.44% ROI).

• 40-46 when betting on the Moneyline for -15.4 Units / -14.05% ROI
• 42-41 when betting on the total runs Over for -2.9 Units / -3.07% ROI
• 41-42 when betting on the total runs Under for -4.9 Units / -5.18% ROI

Blue Jays vs Mets Home Run Prop Bets Today

Blue Jays vs Mets Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Blue Jays vs Mets Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Mets Keys to the Game vs. the Blue Jays

The Mets are just 32-44 (.421) when allowing 5 or more extra base hits this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .536.

The Mets are just 11-46 (.193) when scoring 4 or fewer runs this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .276.

The Mets are just 5-19 (.208) when allowing 2 or more home runs this season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .299.

The Mets are just 36-50 (.419) this season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.

Blue Jays Keys to the Game vs. the Mets

The Blue Jays are just 5-31 (.139) when allowing 5 or more runs this season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .208.

The Blue Jays are just 8-23 (.258) when their opponents score in the first inning this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .368.

The Blue Jays are 18-88 (.170) when trailing entering the 8th inning since the 2025 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .094.

The Blue Jays are 21-86 (.196) when trailing entering the 7th inning since the 2025 season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .130.

Mets Hitting Stats & Trends

Mets hitters have an OPS of just .601 (988 PA’s) in innings 7-9 this season — lowest in MLB.

Mets hitters have an OPS of just .673 (3,205 PA’s) this season — 2nd lowest in MLB.

The Mets have scored 0.90 runs per game (77/86) in late innings this season — lowest in MLB.

Mets hitters have an OBP of just .230 (1,691 PA’s) with two-strikes this season — 2nd lowest in MLB.

Blue Jays Hitting Stats & Trends

Blue Jays hitters have chased 42% of pitches out of the zone in lefty-lefty matchups this season — highest in MLB.

The Blue Jays are batting .188 with two-strikes this season — best in MLB.

Blue Jays hitters have an OBP of just .293 (881 PA’s) against LHP this season — lowest in MLB.

The Blue Jays are batting just .216 against LHP this season — 2nd lowest in MLB.

Mets Pitching Stats & Trends

Opponents have a groundball batting average of just .221 against Mets pitchers this season — 2nd best in MLB.

Mets pitchers have a strikeout rate of 24% this season — 5th best in MLB.

Mets pitchers have 149 three-pitch strikeouts this season — 2nd most in MLB.

Mets pitchers have a strikeout rate of 25% versus hitters not batting 3-4-5 in the order this season — 3rd best in MLB.

Blue Jays Pitching Stats & Trends

The Blue Jays pitchers have allowed an average Exit Velocity of just 87.9 MPH this season (2,096 balls in play) — 2nd best in MLB

Blue Jays pitchers have allowed an average Exit Velocity of 87.9 MPH (2,096 batted balls) this season — 2nd best in MLB.

Opponents have a groundball batting average of just .227 against Blue Jays pitchers with runners on base this season — 3rd best in MLB.

Blue Jays pitchers have a strikeout rate of 24% versus hitters not batting 3-4-5 in the order this season — 5th best in MLB.

More MLB Reading:

• Home Run Predictions Today
• Best NRFI Bets Today
• Strikeout Props Today
• MLB Starting Pitchers Today

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