• The Mets are -118 favorites vs the Marlins
• Mets vs Marlins Over / Under today: 8 Runs
• Mets / Marlins TV Channel: MATV | WPIX

The New York Mets (-118) visit loanDepot park to take on the Miami Marlins (-102) on May 22, 2026. First pitch is scheduled for 7:10 pm in Miami, FL.

This season, the Mets are 22-28 against the spread (ATS), while the Marlins are 21-30 ATS.

Mets vs Marlins Starting Pitchers Today:

• Mets starting pitcher: Tobias Myers 0-1, 3.42 ERA
• Marlins starting pitcher: Eury Perez 2-6, 5.34 ERA

Mets vs. Marlins Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

Mets vs Marlins Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Mets will win Friday‘s MLB game with 52.9% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.

Bet now on Mets vs Marlins and all games with BetMGM

We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Mets players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Mets Player Prop Bets Today:

• Bo Bichette has hit the Hits Under in 20 of his last 25 games (+12.95 Units / 27% ROI)
• Bo Bichette has hit the Total Bases Under in 19 of his last 25 games (+12.25 Units / 38% ROI)
• Bo Bichette has hit the Home Runs Over in 2 of his last 4 games (+9.40 Units / 235% ROI)
• Mark Vientos has hit the Singles Under in 12 of his last 15 away games (+8.85 Units / 46% ROI)
• Carson Benge has hit the Walks Under in 9 of his last 10 games (+7.15 Units / 32% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Marlins players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Marlins Player Prop Best Bets Today:

• Xavier Edwards has hit the Home Runs Over in 4 of his last 7 games at home (+42.00 Units / 600% ROI)
• Christopher Morel has hit the Runs Under in 18 of his last 20 games (+13.40 Units / 32% ROI)
• Javier Sanoja has hit the Singles Under in 16 of his last 20 games (+11.15 Units / 45% ROI)
• Otto Lopez has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 19 of his last 25 games at home (+10.75 Units / 32% ROI)
• Javier Sanoja has hit the Hits Under in 13 of his last 20 games (+10.25 Units / 51% ROI)

Mets Best Bets Today:

• The New York Mets have hit the Team Total Under in 28 of their last 40 games (+15.10 Units / 33% ROI)
• The New York Mets have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 27 of their last 40 away games (+13.30 Units / 27% ROI)
• The New York Mets have hit the Game Total Under in 19 of their last 30 away games (+8.00 Units / 25% ROI)
• The New York Mets have hit the Moneyline in 11 of their last 17 games (+3.75 Units / 17% ROI)
• The New York Mets have covered the Run Line in 9 of their last 17 games (+3.45 Units / 19% ROI)

Marlins Best Bets Today:

• The Miami Marlins have hit the Game Total Over in 32 of their last 50 games (+14.20 Units / 26% ROI)
• The Miami Marlins have hit the Team Total Under in 29 of their last 50 games (+5.95 Units / 10% ROI)
• The Miami Marlins have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 28 of their last 50 games (+4.60 Units / 8% ROI)

Mets Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Mets are 19-30 against the Run Line (-9.1 Units / -16.37% ROI).

• 22-28 when betting on the Moneyline for -18 Units / -26.05% ROI
• 21-25 when betting on the total runs Over for -6.75 Units / -12.26% ROI
• 25-21 when betting on the total runs Under for +1.6 Units / 2.91% ROI

Marlins Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Marlins are 21-30 against the Run Line (-12.45 Units / -19.12% ROI).

• 22-29 when betting on the Moneyline for -6.1 Units / -9.9% ROI
• 32-17 when betting on the total runs Over for +13.1 Units / 23.17% ROI
• 17-32 when betting on the total runs Under for -17.95 Units / -32.26% ROI

Marlins vs Mets Home Run Prop Bets Today

Marlins vs Mets Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Marlins vs Mets Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Mets Keys to the Game vs. the Marlins

The Mets are just 14-4 (.778) when leading entering the 7th inning this season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .863.

The Mets were 8-60 (.118) when trailing entering the 9th inning in the 2024 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .050.

The Mets are just 1-93 (.011) when trailing entering the 9th inning since the 2025 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .046.

The Mets were 8-2 (.800) when tied entering the 8th inning in the 2025 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .500.

Marlins Keys to the Game vs. the Mets

The Marlins were just 39-14 (.736) when leading entering the 7th inning in the 2024 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .856.

The Marlins were just 60-86 (.411) when allowing 5 or more extra base hits in the 2024 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .538.

The Marlins were just 45-10 (.818) when leading entering the 8th inning in the 2024 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .899.

The Marlins were just 11-52 (.175) when allowing 10 or more hits in the 2024 season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .250.

Mets Hitting Stats & Trends

Mets hitters have an OPS of just .541 (418 PA’s) on pitches 95 mph or greater this season — lowest in MLB.

Mets hitters have an OBP of just .270 (1,095 PA’s) with bases empty this season — 2nd lowest in MLB.

Mets hitters have 12 extra-base hits out of 53 total hits (just 23%) when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game this season — lowest in MLB.

Mets hitters have an OPS of just .657 (1,351 PA’s) against RHP this season — lowest in MLB.

Marlins Hitting Stats & Trends

The Marlins are batting just .202 on pitches 95 mph or greater this season — lowest in MLB.

Marlins hitters are slugging just .431 on the first pitch of at-bats this season — 2nd lowest in MLB.

Marlins hitters have an OPS of just .612 (427 PA’s) on pitches 95 mph or greater this season — 2nd lowest in MLB.

Marlins hitters have put 42% of their swings in play on the first pitch of at-bats this season — highest in MLB.

Mets Pitching Stats & Trends

Mets pitchers have walked 7% of batters when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — 5th best in MLB.

Mets pitchers have a strikeout rate of 26% with runners in scoring position this season — tied for 2nd best in MLB.

Opponents have a groundball batting average of just .211 against Mets pitchers this season — best in MLB.

Mets pitchers have a strikeout rate of 27% versus hitters not batting 3-4-5 in the order this season — 2nd best in MLB.

Marlins Pitching Stats & Trends

Marlins pitchers have walked 11% of batters when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — tied for 3rd highest in MLB.

The longest HR allowed by the Marlins pitchers this season traveled 441.8 feet — — 5th shortest in MLB

Marlins pitchers have allowed an exit velocity over 100 MPH 315 times this season — tied for 5th most in MLB.

Marlins pitchers have 88 three-pitch strikeouts this season — tied for 3rd most in MLB.

More MLB Reading:

• Home Run Predictions Today
• Best NRFI Bets Today
• Strikeout Props Today
• MLB Starting Pitchers Today

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