• The Marlins are -135 favorites vs the Mets
• Mets vs Marlins Over / Under today: 8 Runs
• Mets / Marlins TV Channel: MATV | SNY

The New York Mets (+110) visit loanDepot park to take on the Miami Marlins (-135) on September 8, 2026. First pitch is scheduled for 6:40 pm in Miami, FL.

This season, the Mets are 66-78 against the spread (ATS), while the Marlins are 73-70 ATS.

Mets vs Marlins Starting Pitchers Today:

• Mets starting pitcher: Sean Manaea 4-7, 4.72 ERA
• Marlins starting pitcher: Sandy Alcantara 13-9, 3.57 ERA

Mets vs. Marlins Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

Mets vs Marlins Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Marlins will win Tuesday‘s MLB game with 56.0% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.

Bet now on Mets vs Marlins and all games with BetMGM

We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Mets players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Mets Player Prop Bets Today:

• Bo Bichette has hit the Home Runs Over in 3 of his last 8 away games (+16.20 Units / 203% ROI)
• Carson Benge has hit the Hits Over in 22 of his last 25 away games (+16.10 Units / 33% ROI)
• Carson Benge has hit the Total Bases Over in 17 of his last 25 away games (+13.65 Units / 47% ROI)
• Bo Bichette has hit the Runs Over in 15 of his last 25 away games (+12.20 Units / 49% ROI)
• Carson Benge has hit the Singles Over in 16 of his last 20 away games (+11.95 Units / 55% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Marlins players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Marlins Player Prop Best Bets Today:

• Javier Sanoja has hit the Home Runs Over in 2 of his last 6 games (+17.00 Units / 283% ROI)
• Javier Sanoja has hit the Total Bases Over in 18 of his last 25 games (+13.55 Units / 42% ROI)
• Heriberto Hernandez has hit the Singles Under in 20 of his last 25 games at home (+12.50 Units / 34% ROI)
• Esteury Ruiz has hit the Hits Under in 17 of his last 25 games at home (+9.20 Units / 34% ROI)
• Sandy Alcantara has hit the Hits Allowed Under in 11 of his last 15 games at home (+7.40 Units / 45% ROI)

Mets Best Bets Today:

• The New York Mets have hit the Moneyline in 15 of their last 24 away games (+8.50 Units / 34% ROI)
• The New York Mets have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 30 of their last 50 games (+8.20 Units / 13% ROI)
• The New York Mets have hit the Game Total Over in 11 of their last 16 away games (+7.55 Units / 42% ROI)
• The New York Mets have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 11 of their last 18 away games (+7.35 Units / 38% ROI)
• The New York Mets have hit the Team Total Under in 29 of their last 50 games (+5.85 Units / 10% ROI)

Marlins Best Bets Today:

• The Miami Marlins have hit the Moneyline in 31 of their last 50 games at home (+10.80 Units / 18% ROI)
• The Miami Marlins have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 23 of their last 40 games at home (+10.00 Units / 19% ROI)
• The Miami Marlins have hit the Game Total Under in 27 of their last 45 games at home (+8.45 Units / 17% ROI)
• The Miami Marlins have covered the Run Line in 26 of their last 45 games at home (+8.25 Units / 15% ROI)
• The Miami Marlins have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 25 of their last 40 games at home (+7.55 Units / 16% ROI)

Mets Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Mets are 65-77 against the Run Line (-15.45 Units / -8.6% ROI).

• 66-78 when betting on the Moneyline for -25.65 Units / -14.42% ROI
• 64-67 when betting on the total runs Over for -10.65 Units / -6.67% ROI
• 67-64 when betting on the total runs Under for -3.6 Units / -2.29% ROI

Marlins Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Marlins are 73-70 against the Run Line (-6.6 Units / -3.45% ROI).

• 72-73 when betting on the Moneyline for -0.9 Units / -0.53% ROI
• 72-69 when betting on the total runs Over for -4.15 Units / -2.59% ROI
• 69-72 when betting on the total runs Under for -9.75 Units / -6.14% ROI

Mets Keys to the Game vs. the Marlins

The Mets are just 52-33 (.612) when allowing 4 or fewer runs this season — lowest in MLB.

The Mets are 32-10 (.762) when they’ve scored in the first inning this season — 2nd best in MLB.

The Mets are just 7-60 (.104) when trailing entering the 7th inning this season — 5th lowest in MLB.

The Mets are 17-1 (.944) when they’ve had 5 or more XBH this season — 2nd best in MLB.

Marlins Keys to the Game vs. the Mets

The Marlins are 31-10 (.756) when they’ve hit 2 or more home runs this season — 4th best in MLB.

The Marlins are 36-7 (.837) when they’ve had 10 or more hits this season — 5th best in MLB.

The Marlins are 84-21 (.800) when they’ve had 10 or more hits since the 2025 season — tied for 4th best in MLB.

The Marlins were just 45-10 (.818) when leading entering the 8th inning in the 2024 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .899.

Mets Hitting Stats & Trends

Mets hitters have an OBP of just .304 (1,552 PA’s) against LHP this season — 5th lowest in MLB.

Mets hitters have an OPS of just .488 (2,865 PA’s) with two-strikes this season — 3rd lowest in MLB.

Mets hitters have an OBP of just .307 (5,401 PA’s) this season — lowest in MLB.

Mets hitters have an OBP of just .308 (3,849 PA’s) against RHP this season — tied for 3rd lowest in MLB.

Marlins Hitting Stats & Trends

Marlins hitters have put 39% of their swings in play on the first pitch of at-bats this season — 3rd highest in MLB.

Marlins hitters have a groundball batting average of .295 with runners on base this season — tied for best in MLB.

The Marlins are batting just .232 against LHP this season — tied for 4th lowest in MLB.

Marlins hitters have a groundball batting average of .278 this season — best in MLB.

Mets Pitching Stats & Trends

The Mets pitchers have allowed their opponents to score first in 68% of their games at home this season — highest in MLB.

The Mets have won just 11% of road games in which their opponents scored first this season — 3rd lowest in MLB.

The Mets have won just 28% of games in which their opponents scored first this season — tied for 5th lowest in MLB.

Mets pitchers have 247 three-pitch strikeouts this season — 3rd most in MLB.

Marlins Pitching Stats & Trends

Marlins pitchers have allowed 144 home runs this season — tied for 5th fewest in MLB.

The Marlins have won just 10% of road games in which their opponents scored first this season — 2nd lowest in MLB.

The Marlins have allowed 3.75 runs per game (274/73) at home this season — 3rd best in MLB.

The Marlins pitchers have allowed an average Exit Velocity of 89.2 MPH this season (3,293 balls in play) — tied for 5th highest in MLB

More MLB Reading:

• Home Run Predictions Today
• Best NRFI Bets Today
• Strikeout Props Today
• MLB Starting Pitchers Today

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