• The Mets are -125 favorites vs the Padres
• Mets vs Padres Over / Under today: 7.5 Runs
• Mets / Padres TV Channel: PDTV | SNY

The New York Mets (-125) visit Petco Park to take on the San Diego Padres (+105) on June 6, 2026. First pitch is scheduled for 10:10 pm in San Diego, CA.

This season, the Mets are 28-35 against the spread (ATS), while the Padres are 32-28 ATS.

Mets vs Padres Starting Pitchers Today:

• Mets starting pitcher: Nolan McLean 3-4, 4.19 ERA
• Padres starting pitcher: Griffin Canning 0-4, 7.25 ERA

Mets vs. Padres Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

Mets vs Padres Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Mets will win Saturday‘s MLB game with 55.6% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.

Bet now on Mets vs Padres and all games with BetMGM

We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Mets players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Mets Player Prop Bets Today:

• Marcus Semien has hit the Total Bases Under in 18 of his last 20 away games (+16.70 Units / 59% ROI)
• Marcus Semien has hit the Home Runs Over in 3 of his last 10 games (+15.50 Units / 155% ROI)
• Bo Bichette has hit the Hits Under in 19 of his last 25 games (+11.95 Units / 24% ROI)
• Bo Bichette has hit the Runs Under in 15 of his last 20 away games (+8.75 Units / 32% ROI)
• Bo Bichette has hit the Singles Under in 10 of his last 15 away games (+8.70 Units / 58% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Padres players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Padres Player Prop Best Bets Today:

• Freddy Fermin has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 22 of his last 25 games (+20.15 Units / 63% ROI)
• Freddy Fermin has hit the Hits Under in 19 of his last 25 games (+16.15 Units / 61% ROI)
• Freddy Fermin has hit the Total Bases Under in 19 of his last 25 games (+14.30 Units / 52% ROI)
• Freddy Fermin has hit the Singles Under in 20 of his last 25 games (+13.55 Units / 39% ROI)
• Fernando Tatis Jr. has hit the Runs Under in 20 of his last 25 games at home (+13.05 Units / 38% ROI)

Mets Best Bets Today:

• The New York Mets have hit the Team Total Under in 32 of their last 45 away games (+17.50 Units / 34% ROI)
• The New York Mets have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 30 of their last 45 away games (+14.50 Units / 27% ROI)
• The New York Mets have hit the Game Total Under in 23 of their last 35 away games (+10.75 Units / 28% ROI)
• The New York Mets have covered the Run Line in 7 of their last 8 games (+6.75 Units / 56% ROI)
• The New York Mets have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 7 of their last 8 games (+6.20 Units / 65% ROI)

Padres Best Bets Today:

• The San Diego Padres have hit the Team Total Under in 16 of their last 19 games at home (+13.05 Units / 57% ROI)
• The San Diego Padres have hit the Game Total Under in 14 of their last 16 games at home (+11.80 Units / 68% ROI)
• The San Diego Padres have covered the Run Line in 22 of their last 40 games at home (+7.00 Units / 14% ROI)
• The San Diego Padres have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 26 of their last 45 games (+4.50 Units / 8% ROI)
• The San Diego Padres have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 22 of their last 45 games at home (+3.65 Units / 6% ROI)

Mets Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Mets are 26-36 against the Run Line (-8.95 Units / -12.05% ROI).

• 28-35 when betting on the Moneyline for -19.3 Units / -23.06% ROI
• 27-31 when betting on the total runs Over for -7.6 Units / -10.92% ROI
• 31-27 when betting on the total runs Under for +0.85 Units / 1.23% ROI

Padres Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Padres are 32-28 against the Run Line (+1.05 Units / 1.28% ROI).

• 32-30 when betting on the Moneyline for -1.1 Units / -1.46% ROI
• 25-35 when betting on the total runs Over for -13.55 Units / -19.78% ROI
• 35-25 when betting on the total runs Under for +7.6 Units / 11.17% ROI

Padres vs Mets Home Run Prop Bets Today

Padres vs Mets Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Padres vs Mets Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Mets Keys to the Game vs. the Padres

The Mets are 6-0 (1.000) when they’ve had 5 or more XBH this season — tied for best in MLB; League Avg: .781.

The Mets are just 3-10 (.231) vs the top 10 runs allowed teams this season Today, they face Padres (seventh in runs allowed).

The Mets are just 24-32 (.429) when allowing 5 or more extra base hits this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .533.

The Mets are just 19-5 (.792) when leading entering the 7th inning this season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .858.

Padres Keys to the Game vs. the Mets

The Padres are 4-28 (.125) when trailing entering the 9th inning this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .055.

The Padres are 19-1 (.950) when scoring 5 or more runs this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .791.

The Padres are 13-1 (.929) when they’ve had 10 or more hits this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .756.

The Padres are 99-6 (.943) when leading entering the 8th inning since the 2025 season — tied for 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .905.

Mets Hitting Stats & Trends

The Mets have scored 54 runs in late innings this season — fewest in MLB.

Mets hitters have an OPS of just .584 (705 PA’s) in innings 7-9 this season — lowest in MLB.

The Mets have scored 54 runs in innings 7-9 this season — fewest in MLB.

The Mets have scored 0.87 runs per game (54/62) in late innings this season — lowest in MLB.

Padres Hitting Stats & Trends

Padres hitters are slugging just .345 at home this season — lowest in MLB.

The Padres are batting just .216 this season — lowest in MLB.

The Padres are batting just .206 against starting pitchers this season — lowest in MLB.

The Padres are batting just .210 at home this season — lowest in MLB.

Mets Pitching Stats & Trends

Mets pitchers have induced opposing hitters to ground into just 33 double plays in 435 opportunities (8%) this season — tied for 2nd lowest in MLB.

Mets pitchers have a strikeout rate of 45% with two-strikes this season — 4th best in MLB.

Mets pitchers have walked 7% of batters when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — 5th best in MLB.

Mets pitchers have a strikeout rate of 26% with runners in scoring position this season — 2nd best in MLB.

Padres Pitching Stats & Trends

Padres pitchers have walked 11% of batters when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — 3rd highest in MLB.

Opponents have a miss rate of 27% against Padres pitchers this season — 5th best in MLB.

Opponents have a groundball rate of 46% against Padres pitchers this season — 2nd highest in MLB.

The longest HR allowed by the Padres pitchers this season traveled 433.8 feet — — shortest in MLB

More MLB Reading:

• Home Run Predictions Today
• Best NRFI Bets Today
• Strikeout Props Today
• MLB Starting Pitchers Today

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