MLB Home Run Props Today: Best Bets, Odds, & Predictions

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Toronto Blue Jays' Vladimir Guerrero Jr. runs the bases after hitting a solo home run against the New York Yankees during the seventh inning of a baseball game Saturday, April 6, 2024, in New York.
(AP Photo/John Munson)
Shane Jackson @Sjacksonmgm Apr 26, 2024, 11:13 AM
  • Friday’s MLB slate has 14 games on the schedule.
  • Vladimir Guerrero Jr. is +575 to hit a home run.

Here are the best MLB home run player props based on MLB odds for Friday’s schedule.

BetMGM’s MLB Grand Slam Jackpot promotion has returned for the weekend, and Vladimir Guerrero Jr. offers the most value for hitting a home run on Friday.

MLB Home Run Props Today: Friday, April 26

Vladimir Guerrero Jr.: +575 to Hit a Home Run

Dodgers vs. Blue Jays – 7:07 p.m. ET

Vladimir Guerrero Jr. watched in disbelief as Kansas City Royals centerfield Kyle Isbel got under his ball on Tuesday on the warning track of Kauffman Stadium.

According to Statcast, the ball left Guerrero’s bat at 109.7 mph and went 396 feet. It would have been a home run in four of the 30 parks with an expected batting average of .980.

It was that kind of series for Guerrero in Kansas City. He went 2-for-14 in four games, despite some loud contact.

Honestly, it’s been that kind of season for the Blue Jays slugger. He’s hitting .214 with three home runs and 16 RBIs through 98 at-bats. 

But he’s still making solid contact, ranking in the 90th percentile in hard-hit rate.

I think Guerrero will have better results soon. After a slow start to the season, the betting market is starting to provide value on him.

According to THE BAT X’s projections, Guerrero has a roughly 19% chance of hitting a homer against the Los Angeles Dodgers on Friday. 

Grab this discount in a game that could feature plenty of offense.

2024 MLB Home Run Leaders

PlayerHRsABs Per HR
Tyler O'Neill65.3
Mike Trout66.8
Mookie Betts510.0
Marcell Ozuna58.8
Yordan Alvarez412.3
Adolis García411.3
Teoscar Hernández413.3
Shea Langeliers48.0
Isaac Paredes410.5
Fernando Tatis Jr.413.3
Christian Yelich48.5
CJ Abrams310.7
Pete Alonso315.3
Jose Altuve316.0
Dominic Canzone39.7
Michael Conforto314.0
Maikel Garcia315.0
Nolan Gorman315.0
Riley Greene313.0
Lourdes Gurriel Jr.315.7
Bryce Harper312.7
Brandon Marsh310.7
Ketel Marte315.7
MJ Melendez311.0
Christopher Morel314.3
Shohei Ohtani320.0
Edward Olivares39.3
Matt Olson313.7
Giancarlo Stanton313.3
Spencer Steer313.3
Christian Walker316.0
Taylor Ward315.3

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About the Author

Shane Jackson

Read More @Sjacksonmgm

Shane Jackson is a Web Content Writer for BetMGM, covering MLB and NBA. After graduating from the University of Kansas, his previous stops include MLB.com, Lawrence Journal-World, Manhattan Mercury, Bet Chicago Sports, WynnBET, and Sportsbook Review.

Shane Jackson is a Web Content Writer for BetMGM, covering MLB and NBA. After graduating from the University of Kansas, his previous stops include MLB.com, Lawrence Journal-World, Manhattan Mercury, Bet Chicago Sports, WynnBET, and Sportsbook Review.