- The Red Sox are -170 favorites vs the Nationals
- Nationals vs Red Sox Over / Under today: 8.5 Runs
- Nationals / Red Sox TV Channel: NESN | NATV
The Washington Nationals (+140) visit Fenway Park to take on the Boston Red Sox (-170) on June 29, 2026. First pitch is scheduled for 7:10 pm in Boston, MA.
This season, the Nationals are 43-42 against the spread (ATS), while the Red Sox are 36-44 ATS.
Nationals vs Red Sox Starting Pitchers Today:
- Nationals starting pitcher: Miles Mikolas 2-6, 5.22 ERA
- Red Sox starting pitcher: Ranger Suarez 3-3, 2.88 ERA
Nationals vs. Red Sox Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Nationals | +1.5 -150 | O 8.5 -110 | +140 |
| Red Sox | -1.5 +125 | U 8.5 -110 | -170 |
Nationals vs Red Sox Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Red Sox will win Monday‘s MLB game with 59.7% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
Bet now on Nationals vs Red Sox and all games with BetMGM
We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Nationals players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Nationals Player Prop Bets Today:
- CJ Abrams has hit the Home Runs Over in 4 of his last 9 away games (+16.20 Units / 180% ROI)
- Nasim Nunez has hit the Total Bases Over in 20 of his last 25 games (+13.70 Units / 42% ROI)
- Nasim Nunez has hit the Hits Over in 20 of his last 25 games (+13.40 Units / 39% ROI)
- Nasim Nunez has hit the Singles Over in 17 of his last 25 games (+10.95 Units / 43% ROI)
- Nasim Nunez has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 17 of his last 25 games (+8.90 Units / 27% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Red Sox players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Red Sox Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Caleb Durbin has hit the Home Runs Over in 2 of his last 5 games at home (+16.00 Units / 320% ROI)
- Jarren Duran has hit the Total Bases Under in 17 of his last 20 games (+13.35 Units / 45% ROI)
- Masataka Yoshida has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 19 of his last 25 games (+12.65 Units / 43% ROI)
- Willson Contreras has hit the Hits Over in 16 of his last 20 games at home (+8.10 Units / 20% ROI)
- Willson Contreras has hit the Singles Over in 13 of his last 20 games at home (+7.45 Units / 36% ROI)
Nationals Best Bets Today:
- The Washington Nationals have hit the Moneyline in 29 of their last 50 away games (+21.55 Units / 43% ROI)
- The Washington Nationals have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 33 of their last 45 away games (+20.10 Units / 38% ROI)
- The Washington Nationals have covered the Run Line in 34 of their last 45 away games (+19.75 Units / 31% ROI)
- The Washington Nationals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 31 of their last 50 games (+18.75 Units / 33% ROI)
- The Washington Nationals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 34 of their last 50 away games (+15.95 Units / 26% ROI)
Red Sox Best Bets Today:
- The Boston Red Sox have hit the Game Total Under in 31 of their last 50 games at home (+13.40 Units / 25% ROI)
- The Boston Red Sox have hit the Team Total Under in 31 of their last 50 games at home (+10.45 Units / 18% ROI)
- The Boston Red Sox have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 8 of their last 10 games (+7.25 Units / 58% ROI)
- The Boston Red Sox have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in their last 6 games (+6.25 Units / 87% ROI)
- The Boston Red Sox have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in their last 6 games (+6.10 Units / 76% ROI)
Nationals Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Nationals are 52-31 against the Run Line (+13.25 Units / 11.19% ROI).
- 43-42 when betting on the Moneyline for +11.3 Units / 12.78% ROI
- 50-32 when betting on the total runs Over for +15.2 Units / 16.27% ROI
- 32-50 when betting on the total runs Under for -22.85 Units / -24.4% ROI
Red Sox Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Red Sox are 36-44 against the Run Line (-10 Units / -9.45% ROI).
- 36-46 when betting on the Moneyline for -19.55 Units / -19.54% ROI
- 36-43 when betting on the total runs Over for -11.85 Units / -13.07% ROI
- 43-36 when betting on the total runs Under for +3.2 Units / 3.56% ROI
Red Sox vs Nationals Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Yes | |
|---|---|
| Willson Contreras | +310 |
| Wilyer Abreu | +360 |
| Jarren Duran | +450 |
| Ceddanne Rafaela | +475 |
| James Wood | +475 |
Red Sox vs Nationals Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Jarren Duran | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +180 |
| Curtis Mead | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +185 |
| Caleb Durbin | 0.5 -235 | 0.5 +170 |
| James Wood | 0.5 -220 | 0.5 +160 |
| Dylan Crews | 0.5 -220 | 0.5 +160 |
Red Sox vs Nationals Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Nasim Nunez | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +165 |
| Dylan Crews | 0.5 -200 | 0.5 +145 |
| Andres Chaparro | 0.5 -190 | 0.5 +140 |
| Curtis Mead | 0.5 -190 | 0.5 +140 |
| Jarren Duran | 0.5 -185 | 0.5 +135 |
Nationals Keys to the Game vs. the Red Sox
The Nationals are just 34-11 (.756) when leading entering the 7th inning this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .858.
The Nationals are 37-8 (.822) when allowing 4 or fewer runs this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .721.
The Nationals are just 1-32 (.030) when trailing entering the 8th inning this season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .104.
The Nationals are 26-17 (.605) on the road this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .472.
Red Sox Keys to the Game vs. the Nationals
The Red Sox are just 2-24 (.077) when allowing 5 or more runs this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .211.
The Red Sox are just 1-7 (.125) when tied entering the 8th inning this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Red Sox are just 9-17 (.346) vs the bottom 10 runs allowed teams this season Today, they face the Nationals (27th runs allowed).
The Red Sox are just 16-25 (.390) at home this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .528.
Nationals Hitting Stats & Trends
The Nationals are hitting just .186 against pitchers who have thrown at least 80 pitches in the game this season — 2nd lowest in MLB.
Nationals hitters have an OBP of just .276 (398 PA’s) when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game this season — 2nd lowest in MLB.
Nationals hitters are slugging .429 against LHP this season — 5th best in MLB.
Nationals hitters have 196 extra-base hits out of 494 total hits (40%) against RHP this season — best in MLB.
Red Sox Hitting Stats & Trends
The Red Sox are batting .265 against LHP this season — 3rd best in MLB.
Red Sox hitters have an OPS of just .982 (580 PA’s) with the pitcher behind in the count this season — 2nd lowest in MLB.
Red Sox hitters are slugging .279 with two-strikes this season — 5th best in MLB.
Red Sox hitters have an OPS of just .673 (1,346 PA’s) with runners on base this season — lowest in MLB.
Nationals Pitching Stats & Trends
Nationals pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 38% with two-strikes this season — 2nd lowest in MLB.
Nationals pitchers have an ERA of 5.31 (385.0 IP) at home this season — 3rd highest in MLB.
The Nationals have allowed 6.02 runs per game (253/42) at home this season — 3rd highest in MLB.
Opponents have a miss rate of just 22% against Nationals pitchers this season — lowest in MLB.
Red Sox Pitching Stats & Trends
Red Sox pitchers have walked 6% of batters when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — 3rd best in MLB.
Red Sox pitchers have walked 8% of batters this season — 4th best in MLB.
The Red Sox have allowed 0.99 runs per game (81/82) in late innings this season — 2nd best in MLB.
The Red Sox have allowed 3.94 runs per game (323/82) this season — 5th best in MLB.
More MLB Reading:
Bet now on Nationals vs Red Sox and all games with BetMGM
Bet on MLB Odds at BetMGM
Sportsbook promos are always available at BetMGM. For new customers, check out the sportsbook welcome offer and BetMGM Refer a Friend. For existing customers, there are Odds Boosts, Parlay Boosts, contests and more.
The content provided in this blog is intended for entertainment purposes only. All views and opinions expressed are the authors and reflect their individual perspectives on sports, betting, and related topics. This content should not be considered professional betting advice or the official views of BetMGM LLC. Please gamble responsibly. If you or someone you know is experiencing issues related to gambling, seek help from a licensed health professional. This blog is not liable for any losses, damages, or consequences resulting from betting activities.
