Orioles vs Blue Jays Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Jun 7

Toronto Blue Jays Vladimir Guerrero Jr. gestures after hitting a home run during the first inning of a baseball game against the Boston Red Sox, Sunday, June 29, 2025, in Boston.
(AP Photo/Mark Stockwell)
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  • The Blue Jays are -145 favorites vs the Orioles
  • Orioles vs Blue Jays Over / Under today: 8 Runs
  • Orioles / Blue Jays TV Channel: MASN | RSN | TVA

The Baltimore Orioles (+120) visit Rogers Centre to take on the Toronto Blue Jays (-145) on June 7, 2026. First pitch is scheduled for 1:37 pm in Toronto, ON.

This season, the Orioles are 31-34 against the spread (ATS), while the Blue Jays are 32-32 ATS.

Orioles vs Blue Jays Starting Pitchers Today:

  • Orioles starting pitcher: Shane Baz 3-5, 4.21 ERA
  • Blue Jays starting pitcher: Kevin Gausman 4-4, 3.32 ERA

Orioles vs. Blue Jays Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Orioles+1.5 -190O 8 -105+120
Blue Jays -1.5 +154U 8 -115-145

Orioles vs Blue Jays Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Blue Jays will win Sunday‘s MLB game with 55.1% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.


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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Orioles players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Orioles Player Prop Bets Today:

  • Shane Baz has hit the Walks Allowed Over in 20 of his last 25 games (+14.95 Units / 41% ROI)
  • Pete Alonso has hit the Hits Over in 20 of his last 25 away games (+14.10 Units / 32% ROI)
  • Colton Cowser has hit the Home Runs Over in 3 of his last 10 games (+13.60 Units / 136% ROI)
  • Adley Rutschman has hit the Walks Over in 10 of his last 15 games (+10.70 Units / 71% ROI)
  • Pete Alonso has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 18 of his last 25 away games (+10.65 Units / 37% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Blue Jays players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Blue Jays Player Prop Best Bets Today:

  • Ernie Clement has hit the Home Runs Over in 3 of his last 5 games at home (+28.00 Units / 560% ROI)
  • Jesus Sanchez has hit the Total Bases Over in 20 of his last 25 games at home (+16.25 Units / 51% ROI)
  • Jesus Sanchez has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 19 of his last 25 games at home (+14.15 Units / 49% ROI)
  • Jesus Sanchez has hit the Hits Over in 21 of his last 25 games at home (+14.15 Units / 32% ROI)
  • Kazuma Okamoto has hit the RBIs Over in 9 of his last 15 games at home (+9.05 Units / 60% ROI)
  • The Baltimore Orioles have hit the Game Total Over in 30 of their last 50 away games (+9.35 Units / 17% ROI)
  • The Baltimore Orioles have hit the Team Total Over in 10 of their last 13 games (+6.70 Units / 42% ROI)
  • The Baltimore Orioles have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 29 of their last 50 games (+6.45 Units / 11% ROI)
  • The Baltimore Orioles have covered the Run Line in 10 of their last 15 games (+6.25 Units / 31% ROI)
  • The Baltimore Orioles have hit the Moneyline in 10 of their last 15 games (+4.65 Units / 27% ROI)
  • The Toronto Blue Jays have covered the Run Line in 27 of their last 45 games (+10.15 Units / 17% ROI)
  • The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 21 of their last 35 games at home (+6.45 Units / 16% ROI)
  • The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the Game Total Over in 7 of their last 8 games (+5.90 Units / 68% ROI)
  • The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the Team Total Over in 29 of their last 50 games at home (+5.35 Units / 9% ROI)
  • The Toronto Blue Jays have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 14 of their last 22 games (+4.80 Units / 19% ROI)

Orioles Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Orioles are 31-34 against the Run Line (-3.8 Units / -4.55% ROI).

  • 31-34 when betting on the Moneyline for -6.75 Units / -8.87% ROI
  • 37-26 when betting on the total runs Over for +8.2 Units / 11.43% ROI
  • 26-37 when betting on the total runs Under for -14.65 Units / -20.55% ROI

Blue Jays Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Blue Jays are 32-32 against the Run Line (-2.1 Units / -2.5% ROI).

  • 31-34 when betting on the Moneyline for -10.3 Units / -12.17% ROI
  • 32-30 when betting on the total runs Over for -0.85 Units / -1.19% ROI
  • 30-32 when betting on the total runs Under for -5.1 Units / -7.12% ROI

Blue Jays vs Orioles Home Run Prop Bets Today

Yes
Pete Alonso +310
George Springer +325
Kazuma Okamoto +375
Daulton Varsho +375
Gunnar Henderson +380

Blue Jays vs Orioles Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Over Under
George Springer 0.5 -275 0.5 +195
Nathan Lukes 0.5 -250 0.5 +185
Gunnar Henderson 0.5 -235 0.5 +175
Ernie Clement 0.5 -235 0.5 +175
Pete Alonso 0.5 -190 0.5 +140

Blue Jays vs Orioles Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Samuel Basallo 0.5 -275 0.5 +200
Pete Alonso 0.5 -275 0.5 +200
Brandon Valenzuela 0.5 -235 0.5 +175
Daulton Varsho 0.5 -220 0.5 +165
Leody Taveras 0.5 -220 0.5 +165

Orioles Keys to the Game vs. the Blue Jays

The Orioles are 10-2 (.833) when they’ve scored in the first inning this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .647.

The Orioles are just 6-28 (.176) when scoring 4 or fewer runs this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .276.

The Orioles are just 16-63 (.203) when allowing 2 or more home runs since the 2025 season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .298.

The Orioles are just 6-11 (.353) when tied entering the 8th inning since the 2025 season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.

Blue Jays Keys to the Game vs. the Orioles

The Blue Jays are just 3-23 (.115) when allowing 5 or more runs this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .206.

The Blue Jays are 5-27 (.156) when trailing entering the 8th inning this season — tied for 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .106.

The Blue Jays are 17-80 (.175) when trailing entering the 8th inning since the 2025 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .095.

The Blue Jays are 20-77 (.206) when trailing entering the 7th inning since the 2025 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .129.

Orioles hitters are slugging just .451 on the first pitch of at-bats this season — lowest in MLB.

Orioles hitters have chased 27% of pitches out of the zone against LHP this season — 3rd lowest in MLB.

Orioles hitters have an OPS of .744 (1,722 PA’s) against RHP this season — 5th best in MLB.

Orioles hitters have an OPS of just .469 (1,317 PA’s) with two-strikes this season — 4th lowest in MLB.

The Blue Jays are batting .191 with two-strikes this season — best in MLB.

Blue Jays hitters have struck out in just 19% of their PA’s against RHP this season — best in MLB.

Blue Jays hitters have a swing rate of 64% with two-strikes this season — highest in MLB.

Blue Jays hitters are slugging .263 on pitches out of the zone this season — 3rd best in MLB.

Orioles pitchers have an ERA of 5.62 (264.1 IP) on the road this season — highest in MLB.

Opponents are hitting .263 against Orioles pitchers this season — 2nd highest in MLB.

Orioles pitchers have allowed an exit velocity of 95 MPH or greater 660 times this season — 5th most in MLB.

Orioles pitchers have 75 three-pitch strikeouts this season — 4th fewest in MLB.

Blue Jays pitchers have 110 three-pitch strikeouts this season — 2nd most in MLB.

Opponents have a groundball batting average of just .227 against Blue Jays pitchers with runners on base this season — 2nd best in MLB.

Blue Jays pitchers have allowed an average Exit Velocity of 87.9 MPH (1,531 batted balls) this season — 2nd best in MLB.

Blue Jays pitchers have allowed 60 stolen bases this season — 4th most in MLB.

More MLB Reading:


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.