• The Braves are -145 favorites vs the Padres
• Padres vs Braves Over / Under today: 9 Runs
• Padres / Braves TV Channel: BRVN | GRAY | PDTV

The San Diego Padres (+118) visit Truist Park to take on the Atlanta Braves (-145) on July 20, 2026. First pitch is scheduled for 7:15 pm in Atlanta, GA.

This season, the Padres are 49-50 against the spread (ATS), while the Braves are 52-45 ATS.

Padres vs Braves Starting Pitchers Today:

• Padres starting pitcher: Walker Buehler 5-5, 5.43 ERA
• Braves starting pitcher: Reynaldo Lopez 4-2, 3.53 ERA

Padres vs. Braves Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

Padres vs Braves Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Braves will win Monday‘s MLB game with 56.6% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.

Bet now on Padres vs Braves and all games with BetMGM

We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Padres players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Padres Player Prop Bets Today:

• Ty France has hit the Home Runs Over in 3 of his last 5 games (+14.60 Units / 292% ROI)
• Manny Machado has hit the Singles Under in 20 of his last 25 away games (+13.95 Units / 44% ROI)
• Gavin Sheets has hit the Hits Under in his last 8 games (+11.55 Units / 144% ROI)
• Miguel Andujar has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 18 of his last 25 games (+11.25 Units / 38% ROI)
• Miguel Andujar has hit the Total Bases Under in 19 of his last 25 games (+10.15 Units / 25% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Braves players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Braves Player Prop Best Bets Today:

• Eli White has hit the Home Runs Over in 2 of his last 4 games (+13.50 Units / 338% ROI)
• Michael Harris II has hit the RBIs Over in 8 of his last 9 games at home (+11.25 Units / 125% ROI)
• Michael Harris II has hit the Hits Over in 12 of his last 15 games at home (+11.25 Units / 41% ROI)
• Dominic Smith has hit the Total Bases Under in 17 of his last 25 games (+10.90 Units / 31% ROI)
• Mauricio Dubon has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 15 of his last 20 games at home (+9.70 Units / 41% ROI)

Padres Best Bets Today:

• The San Diego Padres have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 9 of their last 13 games (+4.80 Units / 31% ROI)
• The San Diego Padres have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 26 of their last 45 away games (+4.15 Units / 8% ROI)
• The San Diego Padres have hit the Team Total Over in 9 of their last 14 away games (+3.90 Units / 24% ROI)
• The San Diego Padres have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 4 of their last 6 away games (+3.50 Units / 55% ROI)
• The San Diego Padres have hit the Game Total Over in 4 of their last 5 games (+2.95 Units / 54% ROI)

Braves Best Bets Today:

• The Atlanta Braves have hit the Team Total Over in 28 of their last 40 games at home (+14.55 Units / 31% ROI)
• The Atlanta Braves have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 12 of their last 15 games (+9.10 Units / 52% ROI)
• The Atlanta Braves have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in their last 8 games at home (+8.20 Units / 88% ROI)
• The Atlanta Braves have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 11 of their last 15 games (+8.15 Units / 42% ROI)
• The Atlanta Braves have hit the Game Total Over in 13 of their last 20 games at home (+7.50 Units / 34% ROI)

Padres Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Padres are 51-46 against the Run Line (-1.45 Units / -1.1% ROI).

• 49-50 when betting on the Moneyline for -3.85 Units / -3.32% ROI
• 44-53 when betting on the total runs Over for -14.15 Units / -12.96% ROI
• 53-44 when betting on the total runs Under for +4.9 Units / 4.51% ROI

Braves Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Braves are 52-45 against the Run Line (+12.25 Units / 10.87% ROI).

• 57-41 when betting on the Moneyline for +4.3 Units / 3.23% ROI
• 47-45 when betting on the total runs Over for -2.3 Units / -2.12% ROI
• 45-47 when betting on the total runs Under for -6.05 Units / -5.64% ROI

Braves vs Padres Home Run Prop Bets Today

Braves vs Padres Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Braves vs Padres Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Padres Keys to the Game vs. the Braves

The Padres are 33-5 (.868) when scoring 5 or more runs this season — tied for 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .794.

The Padres are 39-0 (1.000) when leading entering the 9th inning this season — tied for best in MLB; League Avg: .947.

The Padres are 16-12 (.571) vs the top 10 runs allowed teams this season Today, they face Braves (fifth in runs allowed).

The Padres are 37-1 (.974) when leading entering the 8th inning this season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .902.

Braves Keys to the Game vs. the Padres

The Braves are 8-1 (.889) when tied entering the 7th inning this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .500.

The Braves are 49-13 (.790) when allowing 4 or fewer runs this season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .726.

The Braves are 30-7 (.811) when they’ve hit 2 or more home runs this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .698.

The Braves are 57-41 (.582) this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .500.

Padres Hitting Stats & Trends

Padres hitters are slugging just .351 at home this season — 2nd lowest in MLB.

The Padres are batting just .228 this season — tied for lowest in MLB.

Padres hitters are slugging just .377 this season — tied for 2nd lowest in MLB.

Padres hitters have an OPS of just .680 (854 PA’s) against LHP this season — 5th lowest in MLB.

Braves Hitting Stats & Trends

Braves hitters are slugging .302 with two-strikes this season — best in MLB.

Braves hitters are slugging .250 on pitches out of the zone this season — 3rd best in MLB.

Braves hitters have an OPS of .558 (1,983 PA’s) with two-strikes this season — 2nd best in MLB.

Braves hitters have an OPS of .746 (1,171 PA’s) in innings 7-9 this season — 5th best in MLB.

Padres Pitching Stats & Trends

Padres pitchers have walked 10% of batters when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — tied for 4th highest in MLB.

Padres pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 20% in the first 5 innings this season — tied for 4th lowest in MLB.

The Padres pitchers have allowed their opponents to score first in 67% of their games at home this season — 2nd highest in MLB.

Padres pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 14% when going through the lineup the third time in a game this season — tied for lowest in MLB.

Braves Pitching Stats & Trends

The Braves have allowed 0.94 runs per game (92/98) in late innings this season — best in MLB.

Braves pitchers have a strikeout rate of 24% with runners in scoring position this season — 4th best in MLB.

The Braves pitchers have allowed their opponents to score first in just 46% of their games at home this season — 4th lowest in MLB.

The Braves have won 52% of road games in which their opponents scored first this season — highest in MLB.

More MLB Reading:

• Home Run Predictions Today
• Best NRFI Bets Today
• Strikeout Props Today
• MLB Starting Pitchers Today

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