Padres vs Brewers Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, May 13

Milwaukee Brewers' Christian Yelich hits an RBI single during the third inning of a baseball game against the St. Louis Cardinals in Milwaukee. (AP Photo/Aaron Gash)
(AP Photo/Aaron Gash)
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The San Diego Padres (+125) visit American Family Field to take on the Milwaukee Brewers (-150) on May 13, 2026. First pitch is scheduled for 7:40 pm in Milwaukee, WI.

This season, the Padres are against the spread (ATS), while the Brewers are ATS.

Padres vs Brewers Starting Pitchers Today:

  • Padres starting pitcher: Michael King 3-2, 2.74 ERA
  • Brewers starting pitcher: Jacob Misiorowski 3-2, 2.44 ERA

Padres vs. Brewers Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Padres+1.5 -190O 7 -105+125
Brewers -1.5 +155U 7 -115-150

Padres vs Brewers Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Brewers will win Wednesday‘s MLB game with 56.7% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.


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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Padres players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Padres Player Prop Bets Today:

  • Xander Bogaerts has hit the Home Runs Over in 2 of his last 6 away games (+13.90 Units / 232% ROI)
  • Ramon Laureano has hit the Total Bases Under in 17 of his last 20 games (+13.65 Units / 48% ROI)
  • Jackson Merrill has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 16 of his last 20 games (+12.50 Units / 55% ROI)
  • Manny Machado has hit the Hits Under in 13 of his last 20 games (+11.65 Units / 48% ROI)
  • Jackson Merrill has hit the Singles Under in 18 of his last 25 away games (+11.20 Units / 40% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Brewers players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Brewers Player Prop Best Bets Today:

  • Sal Frelick has hit the Home Runs Over in 2 of his last 5 games at home (+16.00 Units / 320% ROI)
  • Jake Bauers has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 13 of his last 15 games at home (+11.85 Units / 70% ROI)
  • Jake Bauers has hit the Runs Over in 11 of his last 15 games at home (+10.75 Units / 72% ROI)
  • Jake Bauers has hit the Hits Over in 13 of his last 15 games at home (+10.60 Units / 49% ROI)
  • Jake Bauers has hit the Total Bases Over in 12 of his last 15 games at home (+8.55 Units / 43% ROI)
  • The San Diego Padres have hit the Team Total Under in 16 of their last 22 games (+9.45 Units / 37% ROI)
  • The San Diego Padres have hit the Game Total Under in 16 of their last 25 away games (+7.10 Units / 26% ROI)
  • The San Diego Padres have hit the Moneyline in 30 of their last 50 games (+6.35 Units / 10% ROI)
  • The San Diego Padres have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 10 of their last 14 away games (+5.65 Units / 33% ROI)
  • The San Diego Padres have covered the Run Line in 27 of their last 50 games (+4.05 Units / 6% ROI)
  • The Milwaukee Brewers have covered the Run Line in 30 of their last 50 games (+14.75 Units / 25% ROI)
  • The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the Team Total Over in 32 of their last 50 games at home (+11.15 Units / 19% ROI)
  • The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 30 of their last 50 games at home (+9.15 Units / 16% ROI)
  • The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 29 of their last 50 games at home (+9.00 Units / 12% ROI)
  • The Milwaukee Brewers have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 30 of their last 50 games at home (+7.55 Units / 13% ROI)

Padres Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Padres are against the Run Line ( Units / ROI).

  • away moneyline record when betting on the Moneyline for ML units Units / ML ROI ROI
  • away total over record when betting on the total runs Over for over units Units / over ROI ROI
  • away total under record when betting on the total runs Under for under units Units / under ROI ROI

Brewers Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Brewers are against the Run Line ( Units / ROI).

  • home moneyline record when betting on the Moneyline for ML units Units / ML ROI ROI
  • home total over record when betting on the total runs Over for over units Units / over ROI ROI
  • home total under record when betting on the total runs Under for under units Units / under ROI ROI

Brewers vs Padres Home Run Prop Bets Today

Yes
Jackson Chourio +390
Jake Bauers +400
Manny Machado +425
William Contreras +425
Christian Yelich +450

Brewers vs Padres Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Jackson Chourio 0.5 -225 0.5 +165
William Contreras 0.5 -200 0.5 +145
Brice Turang 0.5 -190 0.5 +140
Christian Yelich 0.5 -185 0.5 +135
Miguel Andujar 0.5 -160 0.5 +120

Brewers vs Padres Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Jackson Chourio 0.5 -250 0.5 +180
Brice Turang 0.5 -235 0.5 +175
Xander Bogaerts 0.5 -225 0.5 +165
Freddy Fermin 0.5 -225 0.5 +165
Miguel Andujar 0.5 -210 0.5 +155

Padres Keys to the Game vs. the Brewers

The Padres are 3-17 (.150) when trailing entering the 9th inning this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .049.

The Padres are 10-6 (.625) after a loss this season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .468.

The Padres are 15-1 (.938) when scoring 5 or more runs this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .790.

The Padres are 11-7 (.611) on the road this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .463.

Brewers Keys to the Game vs. the Padres

The Brewers are 23-16 (.590) this season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .500.

The Brewers are just 0-11 (.000) when trailing entering the 9th inning this season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .049.

The Brewers are 3-10 (.231) when trailing entering the 8th inning this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .103.

The Brewers are 15-7 (.682) after a win this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .532.

Padres hitters have an OPS of just .628 (288 PA’s) against LHP this season — 5th lowest in MLB.

Padres hitters have an OPS of just .667 (1,470 PA’s) this season — 4th lowest in MLB.

Padres hitters have an OBP of just .276 (824 PA’s) against starting pitchers this season — lowest in MLB.

Padres hitters have put just 33% of balls in play to the right side of the field this season — lowest in MLB.

Brewers hitters are slugging just .298 against LHP this season — 2nd lowest in MLB.

Brewers hitters have come to the plate with runners in scoring position in 448 of their 1,479 plate appearances (30%) this season — 2nd highest in MLB.

Brewers hitters have a groundball rate of 52% this season — highest in MLB.

Brewers hitters have drawn walks in 13% of their PA’s against LHP this season — 2nd best in MLB.

Opponents have a groundball rate of 48% against Padres pitchers this season — 3rd highest in MLB.

Opponents have a miss rate of 28% against Padres pitchers this season — tied for 3rd best in MLB.

Opponents have a groundball batting average of .265 against Padres pitchers this season — tied for 5th highest in MLB.

Padres pitchers have a first-pitch strike rate of 63% this season — 5th highest in MLB.

Brewers pitchers have a strikeout rate of 46% with two-strikes this season — 2nd best in MLB.

Brewers pitchers have a strikeout rate of 26% this season — best in MLB.

Opponents have a miss rate of 28% against Brewers pitchers this season — 5th best in MLB.

Brewers pitchers have an ERA of 3.09 (192.0 IP) at home this season — 4th best in MLB.

More MLB Reading:


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.