• The Diamondbacks are -140 favorites vs the Padres
• Padres vs Diamondbacks Over / Under today: 8.5 Runs
• Padres / Diamondbacks TV Channel: DBTV | PDTV

The San Diego Padres (+115) visit Chase Field to take on the Arizona Diamondbacks (-140) on August 4, 2026. First pitch is scheduled for 9:40 pm in Phoenix, AZ.

This season, the Padres are 58-55 against the spread (ATS), while the Diamondbacks are 60-49 ATS.

Padres vs Diamondbacks Starting Pitchers Today:

• Padres starting pitcher: Randy Vasquez 6-6, 4.47 ERA
• Diamondbacks starting pitcher: Eduardo Rodriguez 10-3, 2.48 ERA

Padres vs. Diamondbacks Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

Padres vs Diamondbacks Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Diamondbacks will win Tuesday‘s MLB game with 57.1% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.

Bet now on Padres vs Diamondbacks and all games with BetMGM

We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Padres players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Padres Player Prop Bets Today:

• Jackson Merrill has hit the Home Runs Over in 4 of his last 8 away games (+17.50 Units / 219% ROI)
• Ty France has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 17 of his last 20 games (+13.95 Units / 58% ROI)
• Ty France has hit the Total Bases Over in 15 of his last 20 games (+13.50 Units / 59% ROI)
• Ty France has hit the Hits Over in 17 of his last 20 games (+12.55 Units / 31% ROI)
• Manny Machado has hit the Singles Under in 19 of his last 25 away games (+11.30 Units / 35% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Diamondbacks players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Diamondbacks Player Prop Best Bets Today:

• Gabriel Moreno has hit the Hits Over in 19 of his last 25 games (+13.65 Units / 29% ROI)
• Tim Tawa has hit the Home Runs Over in 2 of his last 6 games at home (+13.00 Units / 217% ROI)
• Eduardo Rodriguez has hit the Earned Runs Under in 19 of his last 25 games (+12.75 Units / 45% ROI)
• Gabriel Moreno has hit the RBIs Over in 8 of his last 10 games (+11.50 Units / 115% ROI)
• Gabriel Moreno has hit the Walks Over in 10 of his last 15 games at home (+11.35 Units / 76% ROI)

Padres Best Bets Today:

• The San Diego Padres have hit the Team Total Over in 27 of their last 45 games (+8.10 Units / 15% ROI)
• The San Diego Padres have hit the Moneyline in 8 of their last 10 games (+5.50 Units / 38% ROI)
• The San Diego Padres have covered the Run Line in 7 of their last 9 away games (+5.10 Units / 40% ROI)
• The San Diego Padres have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 29 of their last 50 away games (+4.00 Units / 6% ROI)
• The San Diego Padres have hit the Game Total Over in 11 of their last 19 games (+2.05 Units / 10% ROI)

Diamondbacks Best Bets Today:

• The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the Moneyline in 15 of their last 21 games (+12.50 Units / 53% ROI)
• The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the Game Total Under in 30 of their last 50 games (+11.70 Units / 21% ROI)
• The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 32 of their last 50 games at home (+10.25 Units / 17% ROI)
• The Arizona Diamondbacks have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 12 of their last 17 games at home (+7.05 Units / 36% ROI)
• The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the Team Total Over in 19 of their last 30 games (+6.10 Units / 17% ROI)

Padres Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Padres are 59-52 against the Run Line (+1.1 Units / 0.74% ROI).

• 58-55 when betting on the Moneyline for -0.2 Units / -0.15% ROI
• 51-60 when betting on the total runs Over for -15.05 Units / -12.05% ROI
• 60-51 when betting on the total runs Under for +4.3 Units / 3.47% ROI

Diamondbacks Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Diamondbacks are 60-49 against the Run Line (+1.95 Units / 1.28% ROI).

• 60-53 when betting on the Moneyline for +8.6 Units / 6.56% ROI
• 47-60 when betting on the total runs Over for -18.9 Units / -15.13% ROI
• 60-47 when betting on the total runs Under for +8.9 Units / 7.19% ROI

Diamondbacks vs Padres Home Run Prop Bets Today

Diamondbacks vs Padres Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Diamondbacks vs Padres Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Padres Keys to the Game vs. the Diamondbacks

The Padres are 12-5 (.706) when tied entering the 7th inning this season — 4th best in MLB.

The Padres are 46-0 (1.000) when leading entering the 9th inning this season — tied for best in MLB.

The Padres are 43-1 (.977) when leading entering the 8th inning this season — 4th best in MLB.

The Padres are 46-0 (1.000) when leading entering the 9th inning since the 2025 season — tied for best in MLB.

Diamondbacks Keys to the Game vs. the Padres

The Diamondbacks are 53-0 (1.000) when leading entering the 9th inning this season — tied for best in MLB.

The Diamondbacks are 26-14 (.650) vs bottom 10 scoring offenses this season Today, they face the Padres (21st in runs scored).

The Diamondbacks were just 67-7 (.905) when leading entering the 9th inning in the 2025 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .956.

The Diamondbacks are 26-14 (.650) vs bottom 10 scoring offenses since the 2025 season Today, they face the Padres (21st in runs scored).

Padres Hitting Stats & Trends

The Padres are batting .378 on the first pitch of at-bats this season — 2nd best in MLB.

Padres hitters are slugging just .355 at home this season — 2nd lowest in MLB.

Padres hitters have grounded into 86 double plays in 724 opportunities (12%) this season — highest in MLB.

Padres hitters have an OPS of just .666 (2,059 PA’s) at home this season — 3rd lowest in MLB.

Diamondbacks Hitting Stats & Trends

Diamondbacks hitters have struck out in just 17% of their PA’s against LHP this season — best in MLB.

The Diamondbacks are batting .279 against LHP this season — best in MLB.

Diamondbacks hitters have a swing rate of just 25% on the first pitch of at-bats this season — lowest in MLB.

Diamondbacks hitters are slugging .446 against LHP this season — best in MLB.

Padres Pitching Stats & Trends

The Padres pitchers have allowed their opponents to score first in 61% of their games at home this season — 4th highest in MLB.

The Padres have allowed 1.12 runs per game (126/113) in late innings this season — 3rd best in MLB.

Padres pitchers have allowed an exit velocity over 105 MPH 209 times this season — 3rd fewest in MLB.

Padres pitchers have allowed an exit velocity over 100 MPH 594 times this season — 4th fewest in MLB.

Diamondbacks Pitching Stats & Trends

Diamondbacks pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 18% this season — 2nd lowest in MLB.

Diamondbacks pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 38% with two-strikes this season — 3rd lowest in MLB.

Diamondbacks pitchers have walked 8% of batters this season — tied for 4th best in MLB.

Diamondbacks pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 17% when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — lowest in MLB.

More MLB Reading:

• Home Run Predictions Today
• Best NRFI Bets Today
• Strikeout Props Today
• MLB Starting Pitchers Today

Bet now on Padres vs Diamondbacks and all games with BetMGM

Bet on MLB Odds at BetMGM

Sportsbook promos are always available at BetMGM. For new customers, check out the sportsbook welcome offer and BetMGM Refer a Friend. For existing customers, there are Odds Boosts, Parlay Boosts, contests and more.