Padres vs Dodgers Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Jul 2

Los Angeles Dodgers' Freddie Freeman reacts after hitting a home run during the first inning of the team's baseball game against the San Diego Padres, Friday, Sept. 9, 2022, in San Diego.
(AP Photo/Gregory Bull)
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  • The Dodgers are -200 favorites vs the Padres
  • Padres vs Dodgers Over / Under today: 8.5 Runs
  • Padres / Dodgers TV Channel: MLBN | SNLA | PDTV

The San Diego Padres (+165) visit Dodger Stadium to take on the Los Angeles Dodgers (-200) on July 2, 2026. First pitch is scheduled for 10:10 pm in Los Angeles, CA.

This season, the Padres are 43-42 against the spread (ATS), while the Dodgers are 42-45 ATS.

Padres vs Dodgers Starting Pitchers Today:

  • Padres starting pitcher: Randy Vasquez 6-6, 4.45 ERA
  • Dodgers starting pitcher: Roki Sasaki 3-5, 4.93 ERA

Padres vs. Dodgers Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Padres+1.5 -125O 8.5 +100+165
Dodgers -1.5 +105U 8.5 -120-200

Padres vs Dodgers Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Dodgers will win Thursday‘s MLB game with 59.9% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.


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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Padres players for Thursday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Padres Player Prop Bets Today:

  • Freddy Fermin has hit the Home Runs Over in 3 of his last 10 games (+26.00 Units / 260% ROI)
  • Freddy Fermin has hit the Singles Under in 18 of his last 20 games (+15.15 Units / 49% ROI)
  • Freddy Fermin has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 19 of his last 25 games (+13.65 Units / 45% ROI)
  • Freddy Fermin has hit the Total Bases Under in 16 of his last 20 games (+13.20 Units / 59% ROI)
  • Freddy Fermin has hit the Hits Under in 15 of his last 20 games (+11.15 Units / 52% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Dodgers players for Thursday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Dodgers Player Prop Best Bets Today:

  • Shohei Ohtani has hit the Hits Over in 16 of his last 25 games (+12.20 Units / 34% ROI)
  • Max Muncy has hit the Walks Under in 19 of his last 25 games at home (+11.55 Units / 32% ROI)
  • Andy Pages has hit the RBIs Under in 17 of his last 20 games (+11.10 Units / 26% ROI)
  • Alex Freeland has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 17 of his last 25 games at home (+9.30 Units / 30% ROI)
  • Tommy Edman has hit the Runs Under in his last 9 games at home (+9.00 Units / 57% ROI)
  • The San Diego Padres have hit the Team Total Under in 29 of their last 50 away games (+4.45 Units / 8% ROI)
  • The San Diego Padres have hit the Game Total Under in 25 of their last 45 away games (+4.10 Units / 8% ROI)
  • The San Diego Padres have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 4 of their last 5 games (+3.15 Units / 56% ROI)
  • The San Diego Padres have covered the Run Line in 7 of their last 11 games (+1.30 Units / 8% ROI)
  • The San Diego Padres have hit the Moneyline in 20 of their last 40 away games (+0.90 Units / 2% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the Team Total Under in 31 of their last 50 games at home (+9.25 Units / 16% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the Moneyline in 32 of their last 45 games (+9.10 Units / 11% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the Game Total Under in 26 of their last 45 games at home (+6.45 Units / 13% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Dodgers have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 27 of their last 45 games (+5.80 Units / 10% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 15 of their last 25 games at home (+4.85 Units / 18% ROI)

Padres Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Padres are 44-39 against the Run Line (-2.1 Units / -1.81% ROI).

  • 43-42 when betting on the Moneyline for -1.65 Units / -1.65% ROI
  • 38-45 when betting on the total runs Over for -11.4 Units / -12.15% ROI
  • 45-38 when betting on the total runs Under for +3.5 Units / 3.75% ROI

Dodgers Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Dodgers are 42-45 against the Run Line (-4.25 Units / -4.19% ROI).

  • 56-31 when betting on the Moneyline for -3.4 Units / -2.02% ROI
  • 41-46 when betting on the total runs Over for -9.8 Units / -10.21% ROI
  • 46-41 when betting on the total runs Under for +0.95 Units / 1% ROI

Dodgers vs Padres Home Run Prop Bets Today

Yes
Shohei Ohtani +195
Max Muncy +275
Manny Machado +333
Andy Pages +333
Gavin Sheets +360

Dodgers vs Padres Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Freddie Freeman 0.5 -275 0.5 +195
Andy Pages 0.5 -235 0.5 +175
Fernando Tatis Jr. 0.5 -235 0.5 +175
Mookie Betts 0.5 -225 0.5 +165
Tommy Edman 0.5 -190 0.5 +140

Dodgers vs Padres Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Manny Machado 0.5 -235 0.5 +175
Fernando Tatis Jr. 0.5 -235 0.5 +175
Gavin Sheets 0.5 -225 0.5 +165
Teoscar Hernandez 0.5 -210 0.5 +155
Ty France 0.5 -210 0.5 +155

Padres Keys to the Game vs. the Dodgers

The Padres are 33-0 (1.000) when leading entering the 9th inning this season — tied for best in MLB; League Avg: .945.

The Padres are 4-39 (.093) when trailing entering the 9th inning this season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .055.

The Padres are 28-3 (.903) when scoring 5 or more runs this season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .793.

The Padres are 32-1 (.970) when leading entering the 8th inning this season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .899.

Dodgers Keys to the Game vs. the Padres

The Dodgers are 23-5 (.821) when they’ve scored in the first inning this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .633.

The Dodgers are 21-9 (.700) after a loss this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .484.

The Dodgers are 56-31 (.644) this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .500.

The Dodgers are 26-14 (.650) at home this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .527.

The Padres are batting just .216 at home this season — 2nd lowest in MLB.

Padres hitters are slugging just .372 this season — 2nd lowest in MLB.

The Padres are batting just .224 this season — lowest in MLB.

The Padres are batting just .213 against starting pitchers this season — lowest in MLB.

Dodgers hitters have an OBP of .365 (1,930 PA’s) on the road this season — best in MLB.

The Dodgers are batting .278 on the road this season — best in MLB.

Dodgers hitters have an OPS of .817 (1,930 PA’s) on the road this season — best in MLB.

Dodgers hitters are slugging .452 on the road this season — best in MLB.

Padres pitchers have walked 10% of batters when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — 4th highest in MLB.

The Padres pitchers have allowed their opponents to score first in 68% of their games at home this season — 2nd highest in MLB.

Opponents have a groundball batting average of .282 against Padres pitchers with runners on base this season — tied for 5th highest in MLB.

Opponents have a groundball batting average of .266 against Padres pitchers this season — 5th highest in MLB.

The Dodgers have allowed 3.52 runs per game (306/87) this season — best in MLB.

Dodgers pitchers have allowed opponents to score in three different innings in 29% of their games this season — lowest in MLB.

Opponents have a miss rate of 27% against Dodgers pitchers this season — tied for 4th best in MLB.

Dodgers pitchers have a strikeout rate of 24% this season — 4th best in MLB.

More MLB Reading:


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.