• The Dodgers are -250 favorites vs the Padres
• Padres vs Dodgers Over / Under today: 8.5 Runs
• Padres / Dodgers TV Channel: SNLA | PDTV | KFMB

The San Diego Padres (+200) visit Dodger Stadium to take on the Los Angeles Dodgers (-250) on July 4, 2026. First pitch is scheduled for 10:10 pm in Los Angeles, CA.

This season, the Padres are 43-44 against the spread (ATS), while the Dodgers are 43-46 ATS.

Padres vs Dodgers Starting Pitchers Today:

• Padres starting pitcher: Griffin Canning 1-5, 7.14 ERA
• Dodgers starting pitcher: Yoshinobu Yamamoto 8-5, 2.69 ERA

Padres vs. Dodgers Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

Padres vs Dodgers Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Dodgers will win Saturday‘s MLB game with 69.4% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.

Bet now on Padres vs Dodgers and all games with BetMGM

We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Padres players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Padres Player Prop Bets Today:

• Freddy Fermin has hit the Singles Under in 18 of his last 20 games (+15.15 Units / 48% ROI)
• Freddy Fermin has hit the Home Runs Over in 2 of his last 10 games (+13.00 Units / 130% ROI)
• Freddy Fermin has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 16 of his last 20 away games (+12.15 Units / 48% ROI)
• Freddy Fermin has hit the Total Bases Under in 15 of his last 20 games (+11.10 Units / 50% ROI)
• Freddy Fermin has hit the Hits Under in 14 of his last 20 games (+9.05 Units / 43% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Dodgers players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Dodgers Player Prop Best Bets Today:

• Teoscar Hernandez has hit the Runs Over in 14 of his last 20 games (+12.10 Units / 60% ROI)
• Alex Freeland has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 18 of his last 25 games at home (+11.85 Units / 38% ROI)
• Mookie Betts has hit the Home Runs Over in 3 of his last 8 games (+11.40 Units / 142% ROI)
• Max Muncy has hit the Walks Under in 19 of his last 25 games at home (+11.40 Units / 31% ROI)
• Max Muncy has hit the Singles Over in 8 of his last 9 games at home (+10.40 Units / 116% ROI)

Padres Best Bets Today:

• The San Diego Padres have hit the Game Total Under in 28 of their last 50 away games (+4.85 Units / 9% ROI)
• The San Diego Padres have hit the Team Total Over in 10 of their last 15 games (+4.65 Units / 26% ROI)
• The San Diego Padres have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 13 of their last 22 away games (+2.70 Units / 11% ROI)
• The San Diego Padres have covered the Run Line in 8 of their last 13 games (+1.25 Units / 7% ROI)
• The San Diego Padres have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 8 of their last 19 games (+0.40 Units / 2% ROI)

Dodgers Best Bets Today:

• The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the Team Total Under in 26 of their last 40 games at home (+9.50 Units / 20% ROI)
• The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the Moneyline in 32 of their last 45 games (+9.10 Units / 11% ROI)
• The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the Game Total Under in 24 of their last 40 games at home (+6.50 Units / 15% ROI)
• The Los Angeles Dodgers have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 27 of their last 45 games (+5.90 Units / 11% ROI)
• The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 23 of their last 40 games at home (+4.60 Units / 10% ROI)

Padres Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Padres are 45-40 against the Run Line (-2.15 Units / -1.82% ROI).

• 43-44 when betting on the Moneyline for -3.65 Units / -3.58% ROI
• 39-46 when betting on the total runs Over for -11.5 Units / -11.98% ROI
• 46-39 when betting on the total runs Under for +3.35 Units / 3.51% ROI

Dodgers Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Dodgers are 43-46 against the Run Line (-4.5 Units / -4.33% ROI).

• 58-31 when betting on the Moneyline for -1.4 Units / -0.81% ROI
• 42-47 when betting on the total runs Over for -9.9 Units / -10.09% ROI
• 47-42 when betting on the total runs Under for +0.8 Units / 0.82% ROI

Dodgers vs Padres Home Run Prop Bets Today

Dodgers vs Padres Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Dodgers vs Padres Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Padres Keys to the Game vs. the Dodgers

The Padres are 32-1 (.970) when leading entering the 8th inning this season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .900.

The Padres are 9-4 (.692) when tied entering the 7th inning this season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .500.

The Padres are 33-0 (1.000) when leading entering the 9th inning this season — tied for best in MLB; League Avg: .945.

The Padres are 4-41 (.089) when trailing entering the 9th inning this season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .055.

Dodgers Keys to the Game vs. the Padres

The Dodgers are 39-3 (.929) when scoring 5 or more runs this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .793.

The Dodgers are 58-31 (.652) this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .500.

The Dodgers are 23-5 (.821) when they’ve scored in the first inning this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .632.

The Dodgers are 28-14 (.667) at home this season — tied for 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .526.

Padres Hitting Stats & Trends

Padres hitters have an OPS of just .651 (1,581 PA’s) at home this season — lowest in MLB.

Padres hitters are slugging just .352 at home this season — lowest in MLB.

Padres hitters have an OBP of just .301 (3,202 PA’s) this season — 2nd lowest in MLB.

The Padres are batting just .216 at home this season — 2nd lowest in MLB.

Dodgers Hitting Stats & Trends

The Dodgers are batting .278 on the road this season — best in MLB.

Dodgers hitters have an OBP of .365 (1,930 PA’s) on the road this season — best in MLB.

Dodgers hitters have a 48% QAB rate this season — best in MLB.

Dodgers hitters have an OBP of .349 (3,452 PA’s) this season — best in MLB.

Padres Pitching Stats & Trends

Padres pitchers have walked 10% of batters when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — 5th highest in MLB.

Padres pitchers have allowed an exit velocity over 105 MPH 172 times this season — 5th fewest in MLB.

Opponents have a groundball batting average of .269 against Padres pitchers this season — 3rd highest in MLB.

The Padres pitchers have allowed their opponents to score first in 68% of their games at home this season — 2nd highest in MLB.

Dodgers Pitching Stats & Trends

Opponents have a miss rate of 27% against Dodgers pitchers this season — 5th best in MLB.

Dodgers pitchers have won 41% of games in which they have allowed their opponent to score in three different innings this season — highest in MLB.

Dodgers pitchers have a strikeout rate of 24% this season — 3rd best in MLB.

Dodgers pitchers have allowed opponents to score in three different innings in 30% of their games this season — lowest in MLB.

More MLB Reading:

• Home Run Predictions Today
• Best NRFI Bets Today
• Strikeout Props Today
• MLB Starting Pitchers Today

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