Padres vs Dodgers Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Sep 24

Los Angeles Dodgers' Max Muncy celebrates his solo home run off Tampa Bay Rays pitcher Tyler Glasnow during the second inning of a baseball game Saturday, May 27, 2023, in St. Petersburg, Fla.
(AP Photo/Chris O'Meara)
Postseason Betting Promos
  • The Dodgers are -175 favorites vs the Padres
  • Padres vs Dodgers Over / Under today: 7.5 Runs
  • Padres / Dodgers TV Channel: SNLA | PDTV | MLBN

The San Diego Padres (+145) visit Dodger Stadium to take on the Los Angeles Dodgers (-175) on September 24, 2026. First pitch is scheduled for 10:10 pm in Los Angeles, CA.

This season, the Padres are 88-70 against the spread (ATS), while the Dodgers are 69-88 ATS.

Padres vs Dodgers Starting Pitchers Today:

  • Padres starting pitcher: Nick Pivetta 3-2, 3.30 ERA
  • Dodgers starting pitcher: Tyler Glasnow 5-1, 3.46 ERA

Padres vs. Dodgers Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Padres+1.5 -150O 7.5 -115+145
Dodgers -1.5 +125U 7.5 -105-175

Padres vs Dodgers Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Dodgers will win Thursday‘s MLB game with 57.0% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.


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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Padres players for Thursday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Padres Player Prop Bets Today:

  • Luis Campusano has hit the Runs Under in 18 of his last 20 away games (+15.10 Units / 40% ROI)
  • Samad Taylor has hit the Singles Over in 17 of his last 20 away games (+14.05 Units / 61% ROI)
  • Manny Machado has hit the Hits Under in 15 of his last 25 away games (+12.80 Units / 45% ROI)
  • Dustin Harris has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 15 of his last 20 away games (+10.75 Units / 46% ROI)
  • Samad Taylor has hit the Total Bases Over in 14 of his last 20 away games (+9.55 Units / 37% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Dodgers players for Thursday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Dodgers Player Prop Best Bets Today:

  • Teoscar Hernรกndez has hit the Singles Over in 20 of his last 25 games at home (+18.45 Units / 73% ROI)
  • Tommy Edman has hit the Home Runs Over in 3 of his last 9 games at home (+14.70 Units / 163% ROI)
  • Teoscar Hernรกndez has hit the Hits Over in 18 of his last 20 games at home (+14.60 Units / 38% ROI)
  • Teoscar Hernรกndez has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 19 of his last 25 games (+12.90 Units / 44% ROI)
  • Kyle Tucker has hit the Walks Over in 15 of his last 25 games at home (+11.60 Units / 46% ROI)
  • The San Diego Padres have covered the Run Line in 25 of their last 40 games (+12.80 Units / 25% ROI)
  • The San Diego Padres have hit the Moneyline in 33 of their last 50 games (+12.65 Units / 19% ROI)
  • The San Diego Padres have hit the Team Total Over in 32 of their last 50 away games (+12.30 Units / 21% ROI)
  • The San Diego Padres have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 13 of their last 16 games (+11.15 Units / 47% ROI)
  • The San Diego Padres have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 13 of their last 16 games (+10.25 Units / 56% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the Moneyline in 11 of their last 12 games at home (+8.75 Units / 29% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 19 of their last 30 games at home (+6.80 Units / 19% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Dodgers have covered the Run Line in 11 of their last 16 games (+6.00 Units / 31% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the Team Total Under in 26 of their last 45 games at home (+5.45 Units / 10% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the Game Total Over in 14 of their last 25 games at home (+3.10 Units / 11% ROI)

Padres Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Padres are 86-69 against the Run Line (+12.6 Units / 6.11% ROI).

  • 88-70 when betting on the Moneyline for +12.2 Units / 6.24% ROI
  • 74-79 when betting on the total runs Over for -12.9 Units / -7.39% ROI
  • 79-74 when betting on the total runs Under for -1.8 Units / -1.04% ROI

Dodgers Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Dodgers are 69-88 against the Run Line (-25.05 Units / -13.41% ROI).

  • 97-61 when betting on the Moneyline for -16.1 Units / -5.17% ROI
  • 72-82 when betting on the total runs Over for -18.4 Units / -10.56% ROI
  • 82-72 when betting on the total runs Under for +2.9 Units / 1.67% ROI

Padres Keys to the Game vs. the Dodgers

The Padres are 13-8 (.619) when tied entering the 7th inning this season — tied for 4th best in MLB.

The Padres are 63-8 (.887) when scoring 5 or more runs this season — 2nd best in MLB.

The Padres are 63-5 (.926) when leading entering the 7th inning this season — tied for 3rd best in MLB.

The Padres are 25-21 (.543) vs the top 10 runs allowed teams this season Today, they face Dodgers (second fewest runs allowed).

Dodgers Keys to the Game vs. the Padres

The Dodgers are 26-19 (.578) when their opponents score in the first inning this season — best in MLB.

The Dodgers are 16-36 (.308) when allowing 5 or more runs this season — best in MLB.

The Dodgers are 37-51 (.420) when scoring 4 or fewer runs this season — 2nd best in MLB.

The Dodgers are 39-12 (.765) when they’ve hit 2 or more home runs this season — 5th best in MLB.

The Padres have answered-back in 36% of innings after an opponent scores in late innings this season — highest in MLB.

The Padres have won 94% of home games in which they have scored three or more runs in an inning this season — 2nd highest in MLB.

Padres hitters are slugging .624 on the first pitch of at-bats this season — 2nd best in MLB.

Padres hitters are slugging .415 on the road this season — 3rd best in MLB.

Dodgers hitters have an OBP of .349 (3,126 PA’s) on the road this season — best in MLB.

Dodgers hitters have an OPS of .779 (3,126 PA’s) on the road this season — best in MLB.

The Dodgers are batting .265 on the road this season — best in MLB.

Dodgers hitters have an OBP of .340 (6,062 PA’s) this season — best in MLB.

The Padres have won 47% of home games in which their opponents scored first this season — 2nd highest in MLB.

Padres pitchers have a strikeout rate of 29% in close and late situations this season — 2nd best in MLB.

Padres pitchers have an ERA of 3.37 (716.0 IP) at home this season — 3rd best in MLB.

The Padres pitchers have allowed their opponents to score first in 60% of their games at home this season — 5th highest in MLB.

Opponents have a miss rate of 28% against Dodgers pitchers this season — tied for 2nd best in MLB.

Dodgers pitchers have won 36% of games in which they have allowed their opponent to score in three different innings this season — highest in MLB.

The Dodgers pitchers have allowed division opponents to score first in just 38% of their games this season — 2nd lowest in MLB.

Dodgers pitchers have a strikeout rate of 46% with two-strikes this season — tied for 2nd best in MLB.

More MLB Reading:


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.