• The Phillies are -140 favorites vs the Padres
• Padres vs Phillies Over / Under today: 8 Runs
• Padres / Phillies TV Channel: TBS | NSPA | PDTV

The San Diego Padres (+115) visit Citizens Bank Park to take on the Philadelphia Phillies (-140) on June 2, 2026. First pitch is scheduled for 6:40 pm in Philadelphia, PA.

This season, the Padres are 32-26 against the spread (ATS), while the Phillies are 19-39 ATS.

Padres vs Phillies Starting Pitchers Today:

• Padres starting pitcher: Randy Vasquez 5-3, 3.28 ERA
• Phillies starting pitcher: Aaron Nola 3-4, 5.76 ERA

Padres vs. Phillies Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

Padres vs Phillies Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Phillies will win Tuesday‘s MLB game with 54.3% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.

Bet now on Padres vs Phillies and all games with BetMGM

We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Padres players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Padres Player Prop Bets Today:

• Gavin Sheets has hit the Home Runs Over in 4 of his last 10 away games (+19.90 Units / 199% ROI)
• Manny Machado has hit the Singles Under in 22 of his last 25 games (+18.25 Units / 56% ROI)
• Freddy Fermin has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 18 of his last 20 games (+17.30 Units / 68% ROI)
• Freddy Fermin has hit the Hits Under in 19 of his last 25 games (+16.70 Units / 63% ROI)
• Freddy Fermin has hit the Total Bases Under in 19 of his last 25 games (+14.70 Units / 54% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Phillies players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Phillies Player Prop Best Bets Today:

• Adolis Garcia has hit the Hits Under in 18 of his last 25 games (+16.35 Units / 65% ROI)
• Alec Bohm has hit the Home Runs Over in 3 of his last 8 games at home (+15.40 Units / 192% ROI)
• Adolis Garcia has hit the Total Bases Under in 17 of his last 20 games (+14.05 Units / 54% ROI)
• Adolis Garcia has hit the Runs Under in 21 of his last 25 games (+13.65 Units / 29% ROI)
• Adolis Garcia has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 19 of his last 25 games (+13.25 Units / 44% ROI)

Padres Best Bets Today:

• The San Diego Padres have hit the Team Total Under in 26 of their last 40 games (+10.35 Units / 22% ROI)
• The San Diego Padres have hit the Moneyline in 16 of their last 25 away games (+7.65 Units / 27% ROI)
• The San Diego Padres have hit the Game Total Under in 24 of their last 40 games (+7.60 Units / 17% ROI)
• The San Diego Padres have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 14 of their last 22 away games (+4.65 Units / 17% ROI)
• The San Diego Padres have covered the Run Line in 27 of their last 50 games (+3.80 Units / 6% ROI)

Phillies Best Bets Today:

• The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the Game Total Under in 16 of their last 19 games (+12.70 Units / 60% ROI)
• The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 29 of their last 45 games (+11.80 Units / 22% ROI)
• The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the Team Total Under in 23 of their last 35 games at home (+8.65 Units / 20% ROI)
• The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the Moneyline in 20 of their last 30 games (+7.00 Units / 17% ROI)
• The Philadelphia Phillies have covered the Run Line in 3 of their last 6 games (+1.15 Units / 15% ROI)

Padres Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Padres are 30-26 against the Run Line (+1.15 Units / 1.49% ROI).

• 32-26 when betting on the Moneyline for +3.2 Units / 4.49% ROI
• 24-32 when betting on the total runs Over for -11.1 Units / -17.36% ROI
• 32-24 when betting on the total runs Under for +5.7 Units / 8.93% ROI

Phillies Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Phillies are 19-39 against the Run Line (-23.35 Units / -33.26% ROI).

• 30-29 when betting on the Moneyline for -7.45 Units / -8.87% ROI
• 25-32 when betting on the total runs Over for -9.95 Units / -15.32% ROI
• 32-25 when betting on the total runs Under for +4.8 Units / 7.4% ROI

Phillies vs Padres Home Run Prop Bets Today

Phillies vs Padres Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Phillies vs Padres Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Padres Keys to the Game vs. the Phillies

The Padres are 4-25 (.138) when trailing entering the 9th inning this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .054.

The Padres are 19-1 (.950) when scoring 5 or more runs this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .789.

The Padres are 16-10 (.615) on the road this season — tied for 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .470.

The Padres are 13-1 (.929) when they’ve had 10 or more hits this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .751.

Phillies Keys to the Game vs. the Padres

The Phillies are 21-1 (.955) when leading entering the 7th inning this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .858.

The Phillies are just 2-14 (.125) when allowing 2 or more home runs this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .291.

The Phillies are 6-0 (1.000) when they’ve had 5 or more XBH this season — tied for best in MLB; League Avg: .791.

The Phillies are 6-27 (.182) when trailing entering the 8th inning this season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .105.

Padres Hitting Stats & Trends

The Padres are batting just .218 this season — lowest in MLB.

Padres hitters have an OBP of just .286 (493 PA’s) against LHP this season — 3rd lowest in MLB.

Padres hitters have an OBP of just .277 (1,194 PA’s) against starting pitchers this season — lowest in MLB.

Padres hitters are slugging just .350 against LHP this season — tied for 5th lowest in MLB.

Phillies Hitting Stats & Trends

Phillies hitters have an OBP of just .273 (1,085 PA’s) on the road this season — lowest in MLB.

Phillies hitters have an OBP of just .215 (1,166 PA’s) with two-strikes this season — lowest in MLB.

Phillies hitters have an OPS of just .620 (1,085 PA’s) on the road this season — lowest in MLB.

Phillies hitters have a 42% QAB rate this season — lowest in MLB.

Padres Pitching Stats & Trends

Opponents have a groundball rate of 46% against Padres pitchers this season — tied for 2nd highest in MLB.

Opponents have a miss rate of 27% against Padres pitchers this season — 5th best in MLB.

Padres pitchers have walked 11% of batters when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — 3rd highest in MLB.

Padres pitchers have allowed an exit velocity of 95 MPH or greater 519 times this season — 2nd fewest in MLB.

Phillies Pitching Stats & Trends

Phillies pitchers have walked 7% of batters this season — 2nd best in MLB.

The Phillies pitchers have allowed an average Exit Velocity of just 87.5 MPH this season (1,465 balls in play) — best in MLB

Phillies pitchers have a strikeout rate of 25% this season — 4th best in MLB.

Opponents have a groundball rate of 46% against Phillies pitchers this season — tied for 4th highest in MLB.

More MLB Reading:

• Home Run Predictions Today
• Best NRFI Bets Today
• Strikeout Props Today
• MLB Starting Pitchers Today

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