Padres vs Phillies Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Jun 3

FILE - Philadelphia Phillies' Brandon Marsh hits a home run during the eighth inning of Game 3 of a baseball NL Division Series against the Atlanta Braves Wednesday, Oct. 11, 2023, in Philadelphia. Brandon Marsh underwent successful left knee arthroscopic debridement surgery with Dr. Steven Cohen in Philadelphia, Friday morning Feb. 9, 2024. It is anticipated he will return to playing in three to four weeks and be ready to play opening day.(AP Photo/Matt Rourke, File)
(AP Photo/Matt Rourke)
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  • The Phillies are -220 favorites vs the Padres
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The San Diego Padres (+180) visit Citizens Bank Park to take on the Philadelphia Phillies (-220) on June 3, 2026. First pitch is scheduled for 6:40 pm in Philadelphia, PA.

This season, the Padres are 32-27 against the spread (ATS), while the Phillies are 19-40 ATS.

Padres vs Phillies Starting Pitchers Today:

  • Padres starting pitcher: Walker Buehler 3-3, 4.88 ERA
  • Phillies starting pitcher: Cristopher Sanchez 6-2, 1.47 ERA

Padres vs. Phillies Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Padres+1.5 -118O 7.5 -105+180
Phillies -1.5 -102U 7.5 -115-220

Padres vs Phillies Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Phillies will win Wednesday‘s MLB game with 61.4% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.


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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Padres players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Padres Player Prop Bets Today:

  • Freddy Fermin has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 22 of his last 25 games (+20.10 Units / 62% ROI)
  • Manny Machado has hit the Singles Under in 22 of his last 25 games (+18.25 Units / 56% ROI)
  • Gavin Sheets has hit the Home Runs Over in 4 of his last 9 away games (+17.30 Units / 192% ROI)
  • Freddy Fermin has hit the Hits Under in 19 of his last 25 games (+16.50 Units / 62% ROI)
  • Freddy Fermin has hit the Total Bases Under in 19 of his last 25 games (+14.55 Units / 53% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Phillies players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Phillies Player Prop Best Bets Today:

  • Adolis Garcia has hit the Hits Under in 18 of his last 25 games (+16.35 Units / 65% ROI)
  • Alec Bohm has hit the Home Runs Over in 3 of his last 9 games at home (+14.40 Units / 160% ROI)
  • Adolis Garcia has hit the Total Bases Under in 17 of his last 20 games (+14.05 Units / 54% ROI)
  • Adolis Garcia has hit the Runs Under in 21 of his last 25 games (+13.65 Units / 29% ROI)
  • Adolis Garcia has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 19 of his last 25 games (+13.25 Units / 43% ROI)
  • The San Diego Padres have hit the Team Total Under in 27 of their last 40 games (+12.35 Units / 26% ROI)
  • The San Diego Padres have hit the Game Total Under in 24 of their last 40 games (+7.60 Units / 17% ROI)
  • The San Diego Padres have hit the Moneyline in 15 of their last 25 away games (+5.40 Units / 19% ROI)
  • The San Diego Padres have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 5 of their last 6 away games (+4.10 Units / 60% ROI)
  • The San Diego Padres have covered the Run Line in 27 of their last 50 games (+3.80 Units / 6% ROI)
  • The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the Game Total Under in 17 of their last 20 games (+13.70 Units / 62% ROI)
  • The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 32 of their last 50 games (+12.30 Units / 20% ROI)
  • The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the Team Total Under in 31 of their last 50 games (+9.45 Units / 16% ROI)
  • The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the Moneyline in 23 of their last 35 games (+8.15 Units / 17% ROI)
  • The Philadelphia Phillies have covered the Run Line in 3 of their last 7 games (+0.15 Units / 2% ROI)

Padres Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Padres are 31-26 against the Run Line (+2.15 Units / 2.73% ROI).

  • 32-27 when betting on the Moneyline for +2.2 Units / 3.04% ROI
  • 24-33 when betting on the total runs Over for -12.25 Units / -18.82% ROI
  • 33-24 when betting on the total runs Under for +6.7 Units / 10.33% ROI

Phillies Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Phillies are 19-40 against the Run Line (-24.35 Units / -34.2% ROI).

  • 31-29 when betting on the Moneyline for -6.45 Units / -7.54% ROI
  • 25-33 when betting on the total runs Over for -11.1 Units / -16.79% ROI
  • 33-25 when betting on the total runs Under for +5.8 Units / 8.79% ROI

Phillies vs Padres Home Run Prop Bets Today

Yes
Kyle Schwarber +180
Bryce Harper +300
Manny Machado +425
Adolis Garcia +450
Trea Turner +475

Phillies vs Padres Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Trea Turner 0.5 -275 0.5 +190
Alec Bohm 0.5 -220 0.5 +165
Miguel Andujar 0.5 -210 0.5 +155
Fernando Tatis Jr. 0.5 -200 0.5 +150
J.T. Realmuto 0.5 -190 0.5 +140

Phillies vs Padres Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Ty France 0.5 -235 0.5 +175
Walker Buehler 3.5 -165 3.5 +125
Bryce Harper 0.5 -160 0.5 +120
J.T. Realmuto 0.5 -155 0.5 +115
Alec Bohm 0.5 +105 0.5 -145

Padres Keys to the Game vs. the Phillies

The Padres are 4-26 (.133) when trailing entering the 9th inning this season — tied for 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .055.

The Padres are 19-1 (.950) when scoring 5 or more runs this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .790.

The Padres are 13-1 (.929) when they’ve had 10 or more hits this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .751.

The Padres are 16-11 (.593) on the road this season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .472.

Phillies Keys to the Game vs. the Padres

The Phillies are 22-1 (.957) when leading entering the 7th inning this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .859.

The Phillies are just 3-10 (.231) when their opponents score in the first inning this season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .353.

The Phillies are just 2-14 (.125) when allowing 2 or more home runs this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .288.

The Phillies are 15-4 (.789) when they’ve scored in the first inning this season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .647.

The Padres are batting just .218 this season — lowest in MLB.

Padres hitters have an OBP of just .295 (1,650 PA’s) against RHP this season — 3rd lowest in MLB.

The Padres are batting just .209 against starting pitchers this season — lowest in MLB.

Padres hitters have an OPS of just .635 (1,136 PA’s) at home this season — 2nd lowest in MLB.

Phillies hitters have an OBP of just .273 (1,085 PA’s) on the road this season — lowest in MLB.

Phillies hitters have an OBP of just .215 (1,178 PA’s) with two-strikes this season — lowest in MLB.

The Phillies are batting just .207 on the road this season — lowest in MLB.

The Phillies are batting just .211 against LHP this season — tied for 2nd lowest in MLB.

Opponents have a miss rate of 27% against Padres pitchers this season — 5th best in MLB.

Opponents have a groundball rate of 46% against Padres pitchers this season — tied for 2nd highest in MLB.

Opponents have a groundball batting average of .297 against Padres pitchers with runners on base this season — highest in MLB.

Padres pitchers have walked 11% of batters when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — 3rd highest in MLB.

Opponents have a groundball batting average of .287 against Phillies pitchers this season — highest in MLB.

Phillies pitchers have walked 7% of batters this season — 2nd best in MLB.

Opponents have a groundball rate of 46% against Phillies pitchers this season — 5th highest in MLB.

The Phillies pitchers have allowed an average Exit Velocity of just 87.5 MPH this season (1,486 balls in play) — best in MLB

More MLB Reading:


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.