• The Phillies are -210 favorites vs the Padres
• Padres vs Phillies Over / Under today: 8.5 Runs
• Padres / Phillies TV Channel: WCAU | PDTV

The San Diego Padres (+170) visit Citizens Bank Park to take on the Philadelphia Phillies (-210) on June 4, 2026. First pitch is scheduled for 1:05 pm in Philadelphia, PA.

This season, the Padres are 32-28 against the spread (ATS), while the Phillies are 19-41 ATS.

Padres vs Phillies Starting Pitchers Today:

• Padres starting pitcher: Lucas Giolito 2-0, 5.11 ERA
• Phillies starting pitcher: Zack Wheeler 4-1, 2.27 ERA

Padres vs. Phillies Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

Padres vs Phillies Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Phillies will win Thursday‘s MLB game with 60.0% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.

Bet now on Padres vs Phillies and all games with BetMGM

We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Padres players for Thursday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Padres Player Prop Bets Today:

• Fernando Tatis Jr. has hit the Hits Over in 13 of his last 15 games (+11.65 Units / 42% ROI)
• Jackson Merrill has hit the Singles Under in 18 of his last 25 away games (+11.15 Units / 38% ROI)
• Jackson Merrill has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 17 of his last 25 games (+7.85 Units / 25% ROI)
• Fernando Tatis Jr. has hit the Walks Under in his last 7 games (+7.00 Units / 55% ROI)
• Fernando Tatis Jr. has hit the Total Bases Under in 17 of his last 25 away games (+6.65 Units / 18% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Phillies players for Thursday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Phillies Player Prop Best Bets Today:

• Alec Bohm has hit the Home Runs Over in 3 of his last 10 games at home (+13.40 Units / 134% ROI)
• Alec Bohm has hit the Total Bases Under in 20 of his last 25 games at home (+13.05 Units / 31% ROI)
• Alec Bohm has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 18 of his last 25 games at home (+10.70 Units / 37% ROI)
• Alec Bohm has hit the Hits Under in 15 of his last 25 games at home (+9.90 Units / 31% ROI)
• Alec Bohm has hit the Singles Under in 17 of his last 25 games at home (+9.50 Units / 35% ROI)

Padres Best Bets Today:

• The San Diego Padres have hit the Team Total Under in 27 of their last 40 games (+12.50 Units / 27% ROI)
• The San Diego Padres have hit the Game Total Under in 20 of their last 30 games (+9.00 Units / 27% ROI)
• The San Diego Padres have covered the Run Line in 11 of their last 17 away games (+4.70 Units / 21% ROI)
• The San Diego Padres have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 15 of their last 24 away games (+4.65 Units / 16% ROI)
• The San Diego Padres have hit the Moneyline in 17 of their last 30 away games (+4.60 Units / 14% ROI)

Phillies Best Bets Today:

• The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the Game Total Under in 18 of their last 21 games (+14.70 Units / 63% ROI)
• The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 30 of their last 45 games (+13.95 Units / 26% ROI)
• The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the Moneyline in 24 of their last 35 games (+10.15 Units / 21% ROI)
• The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the Team Total Under in 31 of their last 50 games (+9.35 Units / 16% ROI)
• The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 2 of their last 5 games at home (+0.80 Units / 8% ROI)

Padres Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Padres are 32-26 against the Run Line (+3.15 Units / 3.94% ROI).

• 32-28 when betting on the Moneyline for +1.2 Units / 1.64% ROI
• 24-34 when betting on the total runs Over for -13.35 Units / -20.17% ROI
• 34-24 when betting on the total runs Under for +7.7 Units / 11.68% ROI

Phillies Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Phillies are 19-41 against the Run Line (-25.45 Units / -35.2% ROI).

• 32-29 when betting on the Moneyline for -5.45 Units / -6.21% ROI
• 25-34 when betting on the total runs Over for -12.2 Units / -18.15% ROI
• 34-25 when betting on the total runs Under for +6.8 Units / 10.14% ROI

Phillies vs Padres Home Run Prop Bets Today

Phillies vs Padres Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Phillies vs Padres Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Padres Keys to the Game vs. the Phillies

The Padres are 4-27 (.129) when trailing entering the 9th inning this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .054.

The Padres are 13-1 (.929) when they’ve had 10 or more hits this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .754.

The Padres are 19-1 (.950) when scoring 5 or more runs this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .792.

The Padres are 6-2 (.750) when tied entering the 7th inning this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .500.

Phillies Keys to the Game vs. the Padres

The Phillies are 23-1 (.958) when leading entering the 7th inning this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .859.

The Phillies are just 3-10 (.231) when their opponents score in the first inning this season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .352.

The Phillies are 14-5 (.737) vs bottom 10 scoring offenses this season Today, they face the Padres (29th in runs scored).

The Phillies are 6-0 (1.000) when they’ve had 5 or more XBH this season — tied for best in MLB; League Avg: .788.

Padres Hitting Stats & Trends

Padres hitters have an OBP of just .292 (2,182 PA’s) this season — lowest in MLB.

The Padres are batting just .218 this season — lowest in MLB.

Padres hitters have an OBP of just .280 (522 PA’s) against LHP this season — lowest in MLB.

The Padres are batting just .217 against LHP this season — tied for 5th lowest in MLB.

Phillies Hitting Stats & Trends

Phillies hitters have an OBP of just .215 (1,195 PA’s) with two-strikes this season — lowest in MLB.

Phillies hitters have an OBP of just .273 (1,085 PA’s) on the road this season — lowest in MLB.

The Phillies are batting just .211 against LHP this season — 2nd lowest in MLB.

The Phillies are batting just .207 on the road this season — lowest in MLB.

Padres Pitching Stats & Trends

Padres pitchers have walked 11% of batters when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — 3rd highest in MLB.

Opponents have a groundball rate of 46% against Padres pitchers this season — tied for 2nd highest in MLB.

Opponents have a groundball batting average of .294 against Padres pitchers with runners on base this season — highest in MLB.

The longest HR allowed by the Padres pitchers this season traveled 433.8 feet — — shortest in MLB

Phillies Pitching Stats & Trends

Phillies pitchers have walked 7% of batters this season — 2nd best in MLB.

Phillies pitchers have a strikeout rate of 47% with two-strikes this season — best in MLB.

The Phillies pitchers have allowed an average Exit Velocity of just 87.5 MPH this season (1,507 balls in play) — best in MLB

Opponents have a groundball batting average of .287 against Phillies pitchers this season — highest in MLB.

More MLB Reading:

• Home Run Predictions Today
• Best NRFI Bets Today
• Strikeout Props Today
• MLB Starting Pitchers Today

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