• The Phillies are -145 favorites vs the Red Sox
• Phillies vs Red Sox Over / Under today: 8.5 Runs
• Phillies / Red Sox TV Channel: NESN | NSPA

The Philadelphia Phillies (-145) visit Fenway Park to take on the Boston Red Sox (+120) on May 12, 2026. First pitch is scheduled for 6:45 pm in Boston, MA.

This season, the Phillies are 19-22 against the spread (ATS), while the Red Sox are 14-25 ATS.

Phillies vs Red Sox Starting Pitchers Today:

• Phillies starting pitcher: Zack Wheeler 1-0, 3.12 ERA
• Red Sox starting pitcher: Jovani Moran 0-0, 2.96 ERA

Phillies vs. Red Sox Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

Phillies vs Red Sox Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Phillies will win Tuesday‘s MLB game with 58.1% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.

Bet now on Phillies vs Red Sox and all games with BetMGM

We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Phillies players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Phillies Player Prop Bets Today:

• Bryson Stott has hit the Home Runs Over in 3 of his last 9 games (+18.50 Units / 206% ROI)
• Brandon Marsh has hit the Hits Over in his last 15 games (+15.00 Units / 48% ROI)
• Brandon Marsh has hit the Singles Over in 14 of his last 15 games (+13.70 Units / 81% ROI)
• Bryce Harper has hit the Walks Over in 15 of his last 25 away games (+10.65 Units / 42% ROI)
• Adolis Garcia has hit the Runs Under in 13 of his last 15 away games (+10.30 Units / 41% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Red Sox players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Red Sox Player Prop Best Bets Today:

• Jarren Duran has hit the Home Runs Over in 3 of his last 9 games (+13.70 Units / 152% ROI)
• Marcelo Mayer has hit the Runs Under in 21 of his last 25 games (+12.40 Units / 24% ROI)
• Wilyer Abreu has hit the Walks Over in 12 of his last 20 games (+11.55 Units / 58% ROI)
• Marcelo Mayer has hit the Singles Under in 16 of his last 20 games at home (+10.50 Units / 32% ROI)
• Trevor Story has hit the Total Bases Under in 16 of his last 20 games at home (+10.35 Units / 33% ROI)

Phillies Best Bets Today:

• The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the Team Total Under in 28 of their last 45 away games (+9.55 Units / 18% ROI)
• The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 30 of their last 50 games (+7.35 Units / 12% ROI)
• The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the Moneyline in 11 of their last 15 games (+5.60 Units / 24% ROI)
• The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the Game Total Over in 12 of their last 19 games (+5.30 Units / 25% ROI)
• The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 5 of their last 7 away games (+3.20 Units / 40% ROI)

Red Sox Best Bets Today:

• The Boston Red Sox have hit the Team Total Under in 34 of their last 50 games at home (+16.75 Units / 29% ROI)
• The Boston Red Sox have hit the Game Total Under in 32 of their last 50 games at home (+14.25 Units / 26% ROI)
• The Boston Red Sox have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 26 of their last 40 games at home (+8.95 Units / 17% ROI)
• The Boston Red Sox have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 9 of their last 16 games (+3.70 Units / 19% ROI)
• The Boston Red Sox have hit the Moneyline in 4 of their last 6 games (+1.70 Units / 23% ROI)

Phillies Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Phillies are 11-30 against the Run Line (-21.6 Units / -45.86% ROI).

• 19-22 when betting on the Moneyline for -10 Units / -16.26% ROI
• 22-17 when betting on the total runs Over for +3.35 Units / 7.39% ROI
• 17-22 when betting on the total runs Under for -6.9 Units / -15.38% ROI

Red Sox Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Red Sox are 14-25 against the Run Line (-10.9 Units / -23.09% ROI).

• 17-23 when betting on the Moneyline for -11.8 Units / -23.32% ROI
• 19-20 when betting on the total runs Over for -3.2 Units / -7.24% ROI
• 20-19 when betting on the total runs Under for -0.85 Units / -1.94% ROI

Red Sox vs Phillies Home Run Prop Bets Today

Red Sox vs Phillies Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Red Sox vs Phillies Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Phillies Keys to the Game vs. the Red Sox

The Phillies are just 0-11 (.000) when allowing 2 or more home runs this season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .300.

The Phillies are just 3-9 (.250) when their opponents score in the first inning this season — tied for 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .374.

The Phillies are just 5-20 (.200) when scoring 4 or fewer runs this season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .279.

The Phillies are 20-66 (.233) when trailing entering the 7th inning since the 2025 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .127.

Red Sox Keys to the Game vs. the Phillies

The Red Sox are just 2-12 (.143) when their opponents score in the first inning this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .374.

The Red Sox are just 7-12 (.368) at home this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .537.

The Red Sox are just 0-21 (.000) when trailing entering the 9th inning this season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .051.

The Red Sox are just 3-6 (.333) vs bottom 10 scoring offenses this season Today, they face the Phillies (21st in runs scored).

Phillies Hitting Stats & Trends

The Phillies are batting just .213 on the road this season — 2nd lowest in MLB.

Phillies hitters have drawn walks in 8% of their PA’s against RHP this season — 3rd lowest in MLB.

16% of Phillies’ plate appearances have been three-ball counts (177/1,076 PA’s) against RHP this season — 2nd lowest in MLB.

Phillies hitters are slugging just .222 against pitchers who have thrown at least 80 pitches in a game this season — lowest in MLB.

Red Sox Hitting Stats & Trends

The Red Sox are batting just .276 on the first pitch of at-bats this season — 2nd lowest in MLB.

Red Sox hitters are slugging just .323 at home this season — 2nd lowest in MLB.

The Red Sox are batting .272 against LHP this season — tied for best in MLB.

Red Sox hitters are slugging just .334 against RHP this season — lowest in MLB.

Phillies Pitching Stats & Trends

Phillies pitchers have a strikeout rate of 46% with two-strikes this season — best in MLB.

Phillies pitchers have induced opposing hitters to ground into just 19 double plays in 348 opportunities (6%) this season — lowest in MLB.

Phillies pitchers have walked 8% of batters this season — 2nd best in MLB.

Opponents have a groundball batting average of .292 against Phillies pitchers this season — highest in MLB.

Red Sox Pitching Stats & Trends

Red Sox pitchers have walked 5% of batters when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — best in MLB.

Opponents have a miss rate of just 23% against Red Sox pitchers this season — 5th lowest in MLB.

The Red Sox have allowed 0.90 runs per game (36/40) in late innings this season — best in MLB.

Red Sox pitchers have 42 three-pitch strikeouts this season — 4th fewest in MLB.

More MLB Reading:

• Home Run Predictions Today
• Best NRFI Bets Today
• Strikeout Props Today
• MLB Starting Pitchers Today

Bet now on Phillies vs Red Sox and all games with BetMGM

Bet on MLB Odds at BetMGM

Sportsbook promos are always available at BetMGM. For new customers, check out the sportsbook welcome offer and BetMGM Refer a Friend. For existing customers, there are Odds Boosts, Parlay Boosts, contests and more.