Phillies vs Red Sox Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, May 13

Boston Red Sox's Masataka Yoshida bats during the first inning of a baseball game against the Minnesota Twins, Tuesday, June 20, 2023, in Minneapolis.
(AP Photo/Abbie Parr)
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  • The Red Sox are -135 favorites vs the Phillies
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The Philadelphia Phillies (+110) visit Fenway Park to take on the Boston Red Sox (-135) on May 13, 2026. First pitch is scheduled for 6:45 pm in Boston, MA.

This season, the Phillies are against the spread (ATS), while the Red Sox are ATS.

Phillies vs Red Sox Starting Pitchers Today:

  • Phillies starting pitcher: Andrew Painter 1-4, 6.89 ERA
  • Red Sox starting pitcher: Sonny Gray 3-1, 3.58 ERA

Phillies vs. Red Sox Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Phillies+1.5 -185O 9 -118+110
Red Sox -1.5 +150U 9 -102-135

Phillies vs Red Sox Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Red Sox will win Wednesday‘s MLB game with 53.0% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.


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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Phillies players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Phillies Player Prop Bets Today:

  • Bryson Stott has hit the Home Runs Over in 3 of his last 10 games (+17.50 Units / 175% ROI)
  • Brandon Marsh has hit the Hits Over in his last 15 games (+15.00 Units / 46% ROI)
  • Brandon Marsh has hit the Singles Over in 19 of his last 25 games (+13.70 Units / 50% ROI)
  • Brandon Marsh has hit the Runs Over in 11 of his last 15 games (+10.55 Units / 70% ROI)
  • Alec Bohm has hit the Total Bases Under in 19 of his last 25 games (+9.40 Units / 21% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Red Sox players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Red Sox Player Prop Best Bets Today:

  • Jarren Duran has hit the Home Runs Over in 3 of his last 10 games (+12.70 Units / 127% ROI)
  • Marcelo Mayer has hit the Runs Under in 21 of his last 25 games (+12.40 Units / 24% ROI)
  • Marcelo Mayer has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 13 of his last 15 games at home (+10.15 Units / 47% ROI)
  • Marcelo Mayer has hit the Singles Under in 16 of his last 20 games at home (+9.95 Units / 30% ROI)
  • Wilyer Abreu has hit the Total Bases Under in 18 of his last 25 games at home (+8.95 Units / 24% ROI)
  • The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the Team Total Under in 31 of their last 50 away games (+10.15 Units / 17% ROI)
  • The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 31 of their last 50 games (+9.85 Units / 16% ROI)
  • The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the Moneyline in 12 of their last 16 games (+6.60 Units / 27% ROI)
  • The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 6 of their last 8 away games (+4.20 Units / 44% ROI)
  • The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the Game Total Over in 12 of their last 20 games (+4.20 Units / 19% ROI)
  • The Boston Red Sox have hit the Team Total Under in 34 of their last 50 games at home (+16.75 Units / 29% ROI)
  • The Boston Red Sox have hit the Game Total Under in 32 of their last 50 games at home (+14.25 Units / 26% ROI)
  • The Boston Red Sox have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 21 of their last 30 games at home (+10.00 Units / 26% ROI)
  • The Boston Red Sox have covered the Run Line in 8 of their last 15 games (+2.70 Units / 14% ROI)
  • The Boston Red Sox have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 9 of their last 17 games (+2.70 Units / 13% ROI)

Phillies Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Phillies are against the Run Line ( Units / ROI).

  • away moneyline record when betting on the Moneyline for ML units Units / ML ROI ROI
  • away total over record when betting on the total runs Over for over units Units / over ROI ROI
  • away total under record when betting on the total runs Under for under units Units / under ROI ROI

Red Sox Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Red Sox are against the Run Line ( Units / ROI).

  • home moneyline record when betting on the Moneyline for ML units Units / ML ROI ROI
  • home total over record when betting on the total runs Over for over units Units / over ROI ROI
  • home total under record when betting on the total runs Under for under units Units / under ROI ROI

Red Sox vs Phillies Home Run Prop Bets Today

Yes
Kyle Schwarber +270
Bryce Harper +400
Willson Contreras +400
Wilyer Abreu +425
Adolis Garcia +450

Red Sox vs Phillies Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Bryce Harper 0.5 -275 0.5 +195
Brandon Marsh 0.5 -250 0.5 +180
Wilyer Abreu 0.5 -250 0.5 +185
Willson Contreras 0.5 -250 0.5 +180
Ceddanne Rafaela 0.5 -235 0.5 +175

Red Sox vs Phillies Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Willson Contreras 0.5 -275 0.5 +190
Brandon Marsh 0.5 -275 0.5 +190
Jarren Duran 0.5 -275 0.5 +195
Trevor Story 0.5 -250 0.5 +180
Wilyer Abreu 0.5 -210 0.5 +155

Phillies Keys to the Game vs. the Red Sox

The Phillies are just 0-11 (.000) when allowing 2 or more home runs this season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .296.

The Phillies are just 3-9 (.250) when their opponents score in the first inning this season — tied for 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .371.

The Phillies are 14-1 (.933) when leading entering the 7th inning this season — tied for 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .864.

The Phillies are 11-3 (.786) when they’ve scored in the first inning this season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .629.

Red Sox Keys to the Game vs. the Phillies

The Red Sox are just 2-13 (.133) when their opponents score in the first inning this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .371.

The Red Sox are just 6-9 (.400) vs the bottom 10 runs allowed teams this season Today, they face the Phillies (25th runs allowed).

The Red Sox are just 0-22 (.000) when trailing entering the 9th inning this season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .049.

The Red Sox are just 3-7 (.300) vs bottom 10 scoring offenses this season Today, they face the Phillies (21st in runs scored).

The Phillies are batting just .213 on the road this season — 2nd lowest in MLB.

Phillies hitters have an OPS of just .617 (647 PA’s) on the road this season — 2nd lowest in MLB.

Phillies hitters have an OBP of just .303 (1,551 PA’s) this season — 5th lowest in MLB.

Phillies hitters are slugging just .222 against pitchers who have thrown at least 80 pitches in a game this season — lowest in MLB.

Red Sox hitters are slugging just .334 against RHP this season — lowest in MLB.

Red Sox hitters are slugging just .435 in non-two strike counts this season — lowest in MLB.

Red Sox hitters are slugging just .323 at home this season — 2nd lowest in MLB.

Red Sox hitters are slugging just .353 this season — tied for 2nd lowest in MLB.

Phillies pitchers have a strikeout rate of 46% with two-strikes this season — best in MLB.

Phillies pitchers have induced opposing hitters to ground into just 19 double plays in 348 opportunities (6%) this season — lowest in MLB.

Phillies pitchers have a strikeout rate of 24% this season — tied for 4th best in MLB.

Phillies pitchers have walked 8% of batters this season — 2nd best in MLB.

Red Sox pitchers have walked 5% of batters when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — best in MLB.

Opponents have a miss rate of just 23% against Red Sox pitchers this season — 5th lowest in MLB.

Red Sox pitchers have 42 three-pitch strikeouts this season — 4th fewest in MLB.

Red Sox pitchers have a strikeout rate of 24% with runners in scoring position this season — 5th best in MLB.

More MLB Reading:


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.