• The Pirates are -110 favorites vs the Padres
• Pirates vs Padres Over / Under today: 7.5 Runs
• Pirates / Padres TV Channel: PDTV | SNPT

The Pittsburgh Pirates (-110) visit Petco Park to take on the San Diego Padres (-110) on August 24, 2026. First pitch is scheduled for 9:40 pm in San Diego, CA.

This season, the Pirates are against the spread (ATS), while the Padres are ATS.

Pirates vs Padres Starting Pitchers Today:

• Pirates starting pitcher: Braxton Ashcraft 13-5, 3.66 ERA
• Padres starting pitcher: Robbie Ray 11-7, 3.22 ERA

Pirates vs. Padres Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

Pirates vs Padres Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Padres will win Monday‘s MLB game with 52.4% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.

Bet now on Pirates vs Padres and all games with BetMGM

We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Pirates players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Pirates Player Prop Bets Today:

• Esmerlyn Valdez has hit the Walks Over in 10 of his last 15 away games (+10.45 Units / 70% ROI)
• Rafael Flores has hit the Home Runs Over in 2 of his last 9 games (+10.00 Units / 111% ROI)
• Rafael Flores has hit the Singles Under in his last 10 away games (+10.00 Units / 51% ROI)
• Nick Gonzales has hit the Total Bases Over in 16 of his last 25 away games (+9.60 Units / 33% ROI)
• Nick Gonzales has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 17 of his last 25 away games (+9.45 Units / 33% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Padres players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Padres Player Prop Best Bets Today:

• Jackson Merrill has hit the Home Runs Over in 6 of his last 10 games at home (+25.50 Units / 255% ROI)
• Freddy Fermin has hit the Hits Over in 17 of his last 20 games (+12.85 Units / 46% ROI)
• Jackson Merrill has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 19 of his last 25 games at home (+12.45 Units / 43% ROI)
• Fernando Tatis Jr. has hit the RBIs Over in 8 of his last 10 games (+12.10 Units / 121% ROI)
• Freddy Fermin has hit the Total Bases Over in 16 of his last 20 games (+11.65 Units / 44% ROI)

Pirates Best Bets Today:

• The Pittsburgh Pirates have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 15 of their last 22 away games (+7.85 Units / 29% ROI)
• The Pittsburgh Pirates have hit the Game Total Under in 11 of their last 16 away games (+5.55 Units / 31% ROI)
• The Pittsburgh Pirates have hit the Team Total Under in 15 of their last 24 games (+5.25 Units / 19% ROI)
• The Pittsburgh Pirates have covered the Run Line in 3 of their last 5 games (+1.45 Units / 29% ROI)

Padres Best Bets Today:

• The San Diego Padres have covered the Run Line in 28 of their last 45 games (+14.75 Units / 27% ROI)
• The San Diego Padres have hit the Moneyline in 22 of their last 30 games at home (+12.95 Units / 34% ROI)
• The San Diego Padres have hit the Team Total Over in 25 of their last 40 games (+9.25 Units / 21% ROI)
• The San Diego Padres have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 14 of their last 21 games at home (+7.05 Units / 30% ROI)
• The San Diego Padres have hit the Game Total Under in 28 of their last 50 games at home (+6.20 Units / 11% ROI)

Pirates Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Pirates are against the Run Line ( Units / ROI).

• away moneyline record when betting on the Moneyline for ML units Units / ML ROI ROI
• away total over record when betting on the total runs Over for over units Units / over ROI ROI
• away total under record when betting on the total runs Under for under units Units / under ROI ROI

Padres Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Padres are against the Run Line ( Units / ROI).

• home moneyline record when betting on the Moneyline for ML units Units / ML ROI ROI
• home total over record when betting on the total runs Over for over units Units / over ROI ROI
• home total under record when betting on the total runs Under for under units Units / under ROI ROI

Padres vs Pirates Home Run Prop Bets Today

Padres vs Pirates Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Padres vs Pirates Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Pirates Keys to the Game vs. the Padres

The Pirates are just 5-34 (.128) when allowing 10 or more hits this season — 2nd lowest in MLB.

The Pirates are just 26-37 (.413) after a win this season — 5th lowest in MLB.

The Pirates are just 12-77 (.135) when allowing 10 or more hits since the 2025 season — lowest in MLB.

The Pirates are just 19-121 (.136) when allowing 10 or more hits since the 2024 season — 2nd lowest in MLB.

Padres Keys to the Game vs. the Pirates

The Padres are 22-16 (.579) vs the top 10 runs allowed teams this season Today, they face Pirates (23rd fewest runs allowed).

The Padres are 55-1 (.982) when leading entering the 8th inning this season — best in MLB.

The Padres are 8-54 (.129) when trailing entering the 8th inning this season — 5th best in MLB.

The Padres are 58-0 (1.000) when leading entering the 9th inning this season — tied for best in MLB.

Pirates Hitting Stats & Trends

Pirates hitters have an OPS of .763 (3,547 PA’s) against RHP this season — 2nd best in MLB.

The Pirates are batting .270 at home this season — best in MLB.

Pirates hitters have struck out in 24% of their PA’s against RHP this season — tied for 4th highest in MLB.

Pirates hitters have an OBP of .341 (3,547 PA’s) against RHP this season — 2nd best in MLB.

Padres Hitting Stats & Trends

The Padres are batting .366 on the first pitch of at-bats this season — 2nd best in MLB.

Padres hitters have an OPS of .756 (1,566 PA’s) in innings 7-9 this season — 3rd best in MLB.

The Padres are batting .249 with two outs this season — 3rd best in MLB.

Padres hitters have grounded into 105 double plays in 869 opportunities (12%) this season — highest in MLB.

Pirates Pitching Stats & Trends

Pirates pitchers have a strikeout rate of 24% this season — tied for 5th best in MLB.

Pirates pitchers have walked 10% of batters when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — 2nd highest in MLB.

Pirates pitchers have an ERA of 4.45 (605.0 IP) at home this season — 5th highest in MLB.

Opponents have a groundball batting average of .282 against Pirates pitchers with runners on base this season — 5th highest in MLB.

Padres Pitching Stats & Trends

Opponents have a groundball batting average of .265 against Padres pitchers this season — tied for 4th highest in MLB.

The Padres have won 45% of home games in which their opponents scored first this season — 5th highest in MLB.

Padres pitchers have allowed innings of 3+ runs in 4% of innings played this season — tied for 2nd lowest in MLB.

Padres pitchers have allowed an exit velocity over 105 MPH 237 times this season — 3rd fewest in MLB.

More MLB Reading:

• Home Run Predictions Today
• Best NRFI Bets Today
• Strikeout Props Today
• MLB Starting Pitchers Today

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