• The Rays are -145 favorites vs the Marlins
• Rays vs Marlins Over / Under today: 7.5 Runs
• Rays / Marlins TV Channel: MATV | RATV | WMOR

The Tampa Bay Rays (-145) visit loanDepot park to take on the Miami Marlins (+118) on June 5, 2026. First pitch is scheduled for 7:10 pm in Miami, FL.

This season, the Rays are 36-23 against the spread (ATS), while the Marlins are 29-34 ATS.

Rays vs Marlins Starting Pitchers Today:

• Rays starting pitcher: Drew Rasmussen 4-2, 3.34 ERA
• Marlins starting pitcher: Ryan Gusto 0-0, 9.01 ERA

Rays vs. Marlins Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

Rays vs Marlins Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Rays will win Friday‘s MLB game with 59.9% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.

Bet now on Rays vs Marlins and all games with BetMGM

We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Rays players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Rays Player Prop Bets Today:

• Junior Caminero has hit the Hits Over in 18 of his last 20 games (+16.25 Units / 38% ROI)
• Xavier Edwards has hit the Walks Over in 12 of his last 20 away games (+10.95 Units / 55% ROI)
• Yandy Diaz has hit the Runs Under in his last 10 away games (+10.00 Units / 63% ROI)
• Jonathan Aranda has hit the Home Runs Over in 3 of his last 9 games (+9.50 Units / 106% ROI)
• Drew Rasmussen has hit the Hits Allowed Under in 18 of his last 25 games (+9.40 Units / 29% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Marlins players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Marlins Player Prop Best Bets Today:

• Heriberto Hernandez has hit the Runs Under in 17 of his last 20 games (+11.75 Units / 30% ROI)
• Liam Hicks has hit the Home Runs Over in 2 of his last 9 games at home (+9.50 Units / 106% ROI)
• Liam Hicks has hit the Walks Over in 7 of his last 9 games (+9.20 Units / 102% ROI)
• Liam Hicks has hit the Hits Under in 11 of his last 20 games (+7.65 Units / 36% ROI)
• Joe Mack has hit the Singles Over in 9 of his last 15 games (+7.55 Units / 50% ROI)

Rays Best Bets Today:

• The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the Moneyline in 32 of their last 50 games (+12.05 Units / 20% ROI)
• The Tampa Bay Rays have covered the Run Line in 29 of their last 50 games (+10.70 Units / 17% ROI)
• The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 11 of their last 13 games (+9.05 Units / 56% ROI)
• The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the Team Total Over in 14 of their last 21 games (+6.70 Units / 27% ROI)
• The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the Game Total Over in 13 of their last 20 games (+6.45 Units / 30% ROI)

Marlins Best Bets Today:

• The Miami Marlins have hit the Game Total Over in 15 of their last 21 games (+9.40 Units / 41% ROI)
• The Miami Marlins have hit the Team Total Under in 24 of their last 40 games (+6.05 Units / 13% ROI)
• The Miami Marlins have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 23 of their last 40 games at home (+5.40 Units / 11% ROI)
• The Miami Marlins have hit the Moneyline in 23 of their last 40 games at home (+4.10 Units / 8% ROI)
• The Miami Marlins have covered the Run Line in 8 of their last 12 games (+2.45 Units / 13% ROI)

Rays Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Rays are 33-26 against the Run Line (+9.05 Units / 12.16% ROI).

• 36-23 when betting on the Moneyline for +10.8 Units / 15.14% ROI
• 30-25 when betting on the total runs Over for +2.45 Units / 3.8% ROI
• 25-30 when betting on the total runs Under for -8.5 Units / -13.01% ROI

Marlins Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Marlins are 29-34 against the Run Line (-10 Units / -12.01% ROI).

• 29-34 when betting on the Moneyline for -3.7 Units / -4.97% ROI
• 38-22 when betting on the total runs Over for +13.5 Units / 19.34% ROI
• 22-38 when betting on the total runs Under for -19.65 Units / -28.56% ROI

Marlins vs Rays Home Run Prop Bets Today

Marlins vs Rays Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Marlins vs Rays Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Rays Keys to the Game vs. the Marlins

The Rays are 8-17 (.320) when trailing entering the 7th inning this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .142.

The Rays are 29-3 (.906) when allowing 4 or fewer runs this season — tied for best in MLB; League Avg: .722.

The Rays are 27-2 (.931) when leading entering the 7th inning this season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .858.

The Rays are 27-1 (.964) when leading entering the 8th inning this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .893.

Marlins Keys to the Game vs. the Rays

The Marlins are just 2-13 (.133) when allowing 2 or more home runs this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .294.

The Marlins are just 4-28 (.125) when allowing 5 or more runs this season — tied for 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .209.

The Marlins were just 45-10 (.818) when leading entering the 8th inning in the 2024 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .899.

The Marlins were just 7-42 (.143) when allowing 2 or more home runs in the 2024 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .289.

Rays Hitting Stats & Trends

Rays hitters have missed on just 20% of swings this season — best in MLB.

Rays hitters have struck out in just 18% of their PA’s against LHP this season — 3rd best in MLB.

Rays hitters have a Hard-Hit Rate of just 35% this season — lowest in MLB.

Rays hitters have 103 extra-base hits out of 354 total hits (just 29%) against RHP this season — lowest in MLB.

Marlins Hitting Stats & Trends

Marlins hitters have an OBP of .266 (1,208 PA’s) with two-strikes this season — 2nd best in MLB.

Marlins hitters are slugging just .450 on the first pitch of at-bats this season — lowest in MLB.

Marlins hitters have a Hard-Hit Rate of just 34% on the first pitch of at-bats this season — lowest in MLB.

Marlins hitters have put 41% of their swings in play on the first pitch of at-bats this season — highest in MLB.

Rays Pitching Stats & Trends

Rays pitchers have walked 7% of batters when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — 4th best in MLB.

Rays pitchers have a first-pitch strike rate of 64% this season — 2nd highest in MLB.

Rays pitchers have allowed an average Exit Velocity of 88.2 MPH (1,547 batted balls) this season — 3rd best in MLB.

Rays pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 19% versus hitters not batting 3-4-5 in the order this season — lowest in MLB.

Marlins Pitching Stats & Trends

Marlins pitchers have 103 three-pitch strikeouts this season — 5th most in MLB.

Marlins pitchers have had second base stolen on them 57 times this season — tied for 2nd most in MLB.

Opponents are hitting just .228 against Marlins pitchers this season — 5th best in MLB.

The Marlins have allowed 5.27 runs per game (158/30) on the road this season — 4th highest in MLB.

More MLB Reading:

• Home Run Predictions Today
• Best NRFI Bets Today
• Strikeout Props Today
• MLB Starting Pitchers Today

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