- The Rays are -110 favorites vs the Marlins
- Rays vs Marlins Over / Under today: 8 Runs
- Rays / Marlins TV Channel: MATV | RATV
The Tampa Bay Rays (-110) visit loanDepot park to take on the Miami Marlins (-110) on June 7, 2026. First pitch is scheduled for 1:40 pm in Miami, FL.
This season, the Rays are 37-24 against the spread (ATS), while the Marlins are 30-35 ATS.
Rays vs Marlins Starting Pitchers Today:
- Rays starting pitcher: Griffin Jax 1-4, 4.68 ERA
- Marlins starting pitcher: Sandy Alcantara 4-4, 4.69 ERA
Rays vs. Marlins Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Rays | -1.5 +145 | O 8 -115 | -110 |
| Marlins | +1.5 -180 | U 8 -105 | -110 |
Rays vs Marlins Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Marlins will win Sunday‘s MLB game with 52.0% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Rays players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Rays Player Prop Bets Today:
- Junior Caminero has hit the Hits Over in 21 of his last 25 games (+16.70 Units / 32% ROI)
- Jonathan Aranda has hit the Walks Over in 15 of his last 25 games (+11.20 Units / 45% ROI)
- Junior Caminero has hit the RBIs Under in his last 10 away games (+10.00 Units / 52% ROI)
- Cedric Mullins has hit the Home Runs Over in 2 of his last 4 games (+9.20 Units / 230% ROI)
- Yandy Diaz has hit the Runs Under in 13 of his last 15 away games (+9.15 Units / 38% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Marlins players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Marlins Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Javier Sanoja has hit the Home Runs Over in 2 of his last 7 games at home (+19.00 Units / 271% ROI)
- Javier Sanoja has hit the Singles Under in 19 of his last 25 games (+11.95 Units / 39% ROI)
- Javier Sanoja has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 18 of his last 25 games (+8.45 Units / 24% ROI)
- Liam Hicks has hit the Walks Over in 7 of his last 10 games (+8.20 Units / 82% ROI)
- Kyle Stowers has hit the Total Bases Under in 14 of his last 20 games at home (+7.90 Units / 28% ROI)
Rays Best Bets Today:
- The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the Moneyline in 32 of their last 50 games (+11.90 Units / 19% ROI)
- The Tampa Bay Rays have covered the Run Line in 29 of their last 50 games (+10.85 Units / 17% ROI)
- The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 12 of their last 15 games (+8.65 Units / 46% ROI)
- The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the Team Total Over in 30 of their last 50 games (+6.50 Units / 11% ROI)
- The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the Game Total Over in 13 of their last 22 games (+4.15 Units / 17% ROI)
Marlins Best Bets Today:
- The Miami Marlins have hit the Game Total Over in 29 of their last 50 games (+7.70 Units / 14% ROI)
- The Miami Marlins have hit the Team Total Under in 26 of their last 45 games (+4.40 Units / 8% ROI)
- The Miami Marlins have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 7 of their last 10 games (+3.55 Units / 32% ROI)
- The Miami Marlins have hit the Moneyline in 4 of their last 5 games (+3.30 Units / 63% ROI)
- The Miami Marlins have covered the Run Line in 4 of their last 5 games at home (+3.15 Units / 45% ROI)
Rays Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Rays are 34-27 against the Run Line (+9.35 Units / 12.24% ROI).
- 37-24 when betting on the Moneyline for +10.5 Units / 14.2% ROI
- 30-27 when betting on the total runs Over for +0.15 Units / 0.22% ROI
- 27-30 when betting on the total runs Under for -6.5 Units / -9.64% ROI
Marlins Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Marlins are 30-35 against the Run Line (-10.5 Units / -12.17% ROI).
- 30-35 when betting on the Moneyline for -3.6 Units / -4.71% ROI
- 38-24 when betting on the total runs Over for +11.2 Units / 15.53% ROI
- 24-38 when betting on the total runs Under for -17.65 Units / -24.89% ROI
Marlins vs Rays Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Yes | |
|---|---|
| Junior Caminero | +360 |
| Kyle Stowers | +425 |
| Jonathan Aranda | +475 |
| Yandy Diaz | +650 |
| Cedric Mullins | +675 |
Marlins vs Rays Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Otto Lopez | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +185 |
| Jonathan Aranda | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +180 |
| Xavier Edwards | 0.5 -235 | 0.5 +170 |
| Liam Hicks | 0.5 -210 | 0.5 +150 |
| Javier Sanoja | 0.5 -190 | 0.5 +140 |
Marlins vs Rays Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Connor Norby | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +165 |
| Griffin Jax | 3.5 -200 | 3.5 +145 |
| Jonathan Aranda | 0.5 -200 | 0.5 +145 |
| Joe Mack | 0.5 -190 | 0.5 +140 |
| Victor Mesa Jr. | 0.5 -190 | 0.5 +140 |
Rays Keys to the Game vs. the Marlins
The Rays are 8-18 (.308) when trailing entering the 7th inning this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .140.
The Rays are 28-1 (.966) when leading entering the 8th inning this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .894.
The Rays are 37-24 (.607) this season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Rays are 30-4 (.882) when allowing 4 or fewer runs this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .724.
Marlins Keys to the Game vs. the Rays
The Marlins are just 2-13 (.133) when allowing 2 or more home runs this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .291.
The Marlins are just 4-29 (.121) when allowing 5 or more runs this season — tied for 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .206.
The Marlins were just 7-42 (.143) when allowing 2 or more home runs in the 2024 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .289.
The Marlins were just 45-10 (.818) when leading entering the 8th inning in the 2024 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .899.
Rays Hitting Stats & Trends
Rays hitters have missed on just 20% of swings this season — best in MLB.
Rays hitters have struck out in just 19% of their PA’s this season — best in MLB.
Rays hitters have struck out in just 18% of their PA’s against LHP this season — 3rd best in MLB.
The Rays are batting .199 on pitches out of the zone this season — best in MLB.
Marlins Hitting Stats & Trends
Marlins hitters are slugging just .462 on the first pitch of at-bats this season — 2nd lowest in MLB.
Marlins hitters have put 41% of their swings in play on the first pitch of at-bats this season — highest in MLB.
Marlins hitters have a Hard-Hit Rate of just 33% on the first pitch of at-bats this season — lowest in MLB.
Marlins hitters have chased 14% of pitches out of the zone on the first pitch of at-bats this season — 3rd lowest in MLB.
Rays Pitching Stats & Trends
Rays pitchers have walked 6% of batters when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — 3rd best in MLB.
Rays pitchers have walked 8% of batters this season — tied for 5th best in MLB.
Rays pitchers have a first-pitch strike rate of 65% this season — 2nd highest in MLB.
Rays pitchers have allowed an average Exit Velocity of 88.2 MPH (1,561 batted balls) this season — 3rd best in MLB.
Marlins Pitching Stats & Trends
Marlins pitchers have 108 three-pitch strikeouts this season — tied for 3rd most in MLB.
Marlins pitchers have an ERA of 5.14 (254.0 IP) on the road this season — 5th highest in MLB.
Marlins pitchers have a first-pitch strike rate of 63% this season — 4th highest in MLB.
Opponents are hitting just .229 against Marlins pitchers this season — tied for 5th best in MLB.
More MLB Reading:
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