• The Red Sox are -125 favorites vs the Rays
• Rays vs Red Sox Over / Under today: 8 Runs
• Rays / Red Sox TV Channel: NESN | RATV

The Tampa Bay Rays (+105) visit Fenway Park to take on the Boston Red Sox (-125) on July 19, 2026. First pitch is scheduled for 1:35 pm in Boston, MA.

This season, the Rays are 56-41 against the spread (ATS), while the Red Sox are 46-47 ATS.

Rays vs Red Sox Starting Pitchers Today:

• Rays starting pitcher: Shane McClanahan 8-5, 2.85 ERA
• Red Sox starting pitcher: Sonny Gray 11-1, 2.56 ERA

Rays vs. Red Sox Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

Rays vs Red Sox Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Red Sox will win Sunday‘s MLB game with 55.4% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.

Bet now on Rays vs Red Sox and all games with BetMGM

We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Rays players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Rays Player Prop Bets Today:

• Yandy Diaz has hit the Runs Under in 22 of his last 25 away games (+18.30 Units / 55% ROI)
• Jonny Deluca has hit the Home Runs Over in 2 of his last 4 away games (+14.00 Units / 350% ROI)
• Yandy Diaz has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 19 of his last 25 away games (+13.95 Units / 48% ROI)
• Yandy Diaz has hit the Hits Under in 20 of his last 25 away games (+13.10 Units / 28% ROI)
• Yandy Diaz has hit the Total Bases Under in 14 of his last 15 away games (+12.35 Units / 68% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Red Sox players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Red Sox Player Prop Best Bets Today:

• Jahmai Jones has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 16 of his last 20 games (+12.75 Units / 53% ROI)
• Andruw Monasterio has hit the Home Runs Over in 3 of his last 9 games (+12.30 Units / 137% ROI)
• Jahmai Jones has hit the Total Bases Under in 16 of his last 20 games (+10.90 Units / 41% ROI)
• Andruw Monasterio has hit the Singles Under in 16 of his last 20 games at home (+9.75 Units / 33% ROI)
• Jahmai Jones has hit the Hits Under in 15 of his last 20 games (+8.95 Units / 38% ROI)

Rays Best Bets Today:

• The Tampa Bay Rays have covered the Run Line in 21 of their last 35 games (+12.85 Units / 32% ROI)
• The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 23 of their last 35 games (+10.45 Units / 26% ROI)
• The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the Team Total Under in 14 of their last 20 away games (+7.25 Units / 31% ROI)
• The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the Game Total Under in 23 of their last 40 games (+6.75 Units / 15% ROI)
• The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 14 of their last 21 games (+6.60 Units / 23% ROI)

Red Sox Best Bets Today:

• The Boston Red Sox have hit the Moneyline in 17 of their last 19 games (+14.80 Units / 63% ROI)
• The Boston Red Sox have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 19 of their last 25 games (+14.75 Units / 46% ROI)
• The Boston Red Sox have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 17 of their last 21 games (+13.45 Units / 54% ROI)
• The Boston Red Sox have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 17 of their last 21 games (+13.25 Units / 53% ROI)
• The Boston Red Sox have covered the Run Line in 14 of their last 19 games (+13.05 Units / 55% ROI)

Rays Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Rays are 55-41 against the Run Line (+21.2 Units / 17.97% ROI).

• 56-41 when betting on the Moneyline for +8.65 Units / 7.2% ROI
• 44-48 when betting on the total runs Over for -8.55 Units / -8.04% ROI
• 48-44 when betting on the total runs Under for -0.65 Units / -0.61% ROI

Red Sox Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Red Sox are 46-47 against the Run Line (-0.95 Units / -0.77% ROI).

• 49-48 when betting on the Moneyline for -9 Units / -7.54% ROI
• 44-49 when betting on the total runs Over for -10.55 Units / -9.84% ROI
• 49-44 when betting on the total runs Under for +0.4 Units / 0.38% ROI

Red Sox vs Rays Home Run Prop Bets Today

Red Sox vs Rays Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Red Sox vs Rays Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Rays Keys to the Game vs. the Red Sox

The Rays are 37-19 (.661) after a win this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .516.

The Rays are 46-1 (.979) when leading entering the 8th inning this season — tied for best in MLB; League Avg: .902.

The Rays are 23-14 (.622) vs bottom 10 scoring offenses this season Today, they face the Red Sox (23rd in runs scored).

The Rays are 48-11 (.814) when allowing 4 or fewer runs this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .726.

Red Sox Keys to the Game vs. the Rays

The Red Sox are just 1-7 (.125) when tied entering the 8th inning this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.

The Red Sox are 46-1 (.979) when leading entering the 8th inning this season — tied for best in MLB; League Avg: .902.

The Red Sox are just 1-43 (.023) when trailing entering the 9th inning this season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .053.

The Red Sox are just 20-27 (.426) at home this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .522.

Rays Hitting Stats & Trends

Rays hitters have struck out in just 18% of their PA’s against LHP this season — 3rd best in MLB.

The Rays are batting .202 on pitches out of the zone this season — best in MLB.

Rays hitters have missed on just 20% of swings this season — best in MLB.

Rays hitters have struck out in just 19% of their PA’s this season — best in MLB.

Red Sox Hitting Stats & Trends

Red Sox hitters have an OPS of just .686 (2,661 PA’s) against RHP this season — 4th lowest in MLB.

Red Sox hitters are slugging .279 with two-strikes this season — 5th best in MLB.

The Red Sox have a winning percentage of 58% on the road this season — 5th best in MLB.

Red Sox hitters are slugging .253 on pitches out of the zone this season — tied for 2nd best in MLB.

Rays Pitching Stats & Trends

Rays pitchers have walked 7% of batters this season — 2nd best in MLB.

Rays pitchers have walked 6% of batters when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — 2nd best in MLB.

Rays pitchers have a first-pitch strike rate of 65% this season — 2nd highest in MLB.

The Rays have won 50% of home games in which their opponents scored first this season — 3rd highest in MLB.

Red Sox Pitching Stats & Trends

Red Sox pitchers have a strikeout rate of 45% with two-strikes this season — 4th best in MLB.

Red Sox pitchers have an ERA of 3.41 (433.1 IP) on the road this season — 3rd best in MLB.

In games when their opponents have scored three or more runs in an inning, the Red Sox won just 9% of the time this season — lowest in MLB.

Red Sox pitchers have won only 20% of games in which they have allowed their opponent to score in three different innings this season — 3rd lowest in MLB.

More MLB Reading:

• Home Run Predictions Today
• Best NRFI Bets Today
• Strikeout Props Today
• MLB Starting Pitchers Today

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