• The Rays are -135 favorites vs the Royals
• Rays vs Royals Over / Under today: 10.5 Runs
• Rays / Royals TV Channel: RYTV | RATV

The Tampa Bay Rays (-135) visit Kauffman Stadium to take on the Kansas City Royals (+110) on July 1, 2026. First pitch is scheduled for 7:40 pm in Kansas City, MO.

This season, the Rays are 49-33 against the spread (ATS), while the Royals are 37-46 ATS.

Rays vs Royals Starting Pitchers Today:

• Rays starting pitcher: Shane McClanahan 6-5, 3.32 ERA
• Royals starting pitcher: Seth Lugo 3-5, 4.20 ERA

Rays vs. Royals Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

Rays vs Royals Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Rays will win Wednesday‘s MLB game with 60.1% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.

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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Rays players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Rays Player Prop Bets Today:

• Junior Caminero has hit the Home Runs Over in 6 of his last 7 games (+15.30 Units / 219% ROI)
• Yandy Diaz has hit the Walks Over in 13 of his last 20 games (+13.50 Units / 68% ROI)
• Chandler Simpson has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 19 of his last 25 games (+13.05 Units / 46% ROI)
• Yandy Diaz has hit the Runs Under in 17 of his last 20 away games (+12.90 Units / 46% ROI)
• Jonathan Aranda has hit the Hits Over in 16 of his last 20 games (+10.85 Units / 28% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Royals players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Royals Player Prop Best Bets Today:

• Carter Jensen has hit the Hits Over in his last 20 games (+20.00 Units / 52% ROI)
• Nick Loftin has hit the Home Runs Over in 2 of his last 8 games (+15.50 Units / 194% ROI)
• Carter Jensen has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 17 of his last 20 games (+14.15 Units / 60% ROI)
• Salvador Perez has hit the RBIs Under in 21 of his last 25 games (+12.90 Units / 23% ROI)
• Starling Marte has hit the Total Bases Over in 12 of his last 15 games at home (+11.25 Units / 58% ROI)

Rays Best Bets Today:

• The Tampa Bay Rays have covered the Run Line in 14 of their last 20 games (+11.50 Units / 50% ROI)
• The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the Game Total Under in 16 of their last 23 games (+8.35 Units / 33% ROI)
• The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 14 of their last 20 games (+7.65 Units / 33% ROI)
• The Tampa Bay Rays have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 29 of their last 50 games (+6.70 Units / 12% ROI)
• The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the Moneyline in their last 6 games (+6.00 Units / 69% ROI)

Royals Best Bets Today:

• The Kansas City Royals have hit the Game Total Over in 13 of their last 17 games (+8.55 Units / 45% ROI)
• The Kansas City Royals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 13 of their last 17 games (+8.25 Units / 42% ROI)
• The Kansas City Royals have hit the Team Total Under in 29 of their last 50 games (+5.40 Units / 9% ROI)
• The Kansas City Royals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 16 of their last 35 games at home (+2.40 Units / 5% ROI)
• The Kansas City Royals have hit the Moneyline in 6 of their last 12 games (+1.45 Units / 12% ROI)

Rays Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Rays are 48-34 against the Run Line (+19.85 Units / 19.74% ROI).

• 49-33 when betting on the Moneyline for +10.7 Units / 10.46% ROI
• 37-41 when betting on the total runs Over for -8.05 Units / -8.97% ROI
• 41-37 when betting on the total runs Under for -0.15 Units / -0.17% ROI

Royals Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Royals are 37-46 against the Run Line (-20.9 Units / -17.36% ROI).

• 35-51 when betting on the Moneyline for -19.2 Units / -19.69% ROI
• 43-42 when betting on the total runs Over for -2.95 Units / -3.12% ROI
• 42-43 when betting on the total runs Under for -5 Units / -5.29% ROI

Royals vs Rays Home Run Prop Bets Today

Royals vs Rays Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Royals vs Rays Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Rays Keys to the Game vs. the Royals

The Rays are 32-16 (.667) after a win this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .517.

The Rays are 9-26 (.257) when trailing entering the 7th inning this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .140.

The Rays are 26-9 (.743) vs bottom 10 scoring offenses this season Today, they face the Royals (21st in runs scored).

The Rays are 41-10 (.804) when allowing 4 or fewer runs this season — tied for 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .724.

Royals Keys to the Game vs. the Rays

The Royals are just 27-6 (.818) when leading entering the 9th inning this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .944.

The Royals are just 35-51 (.407) this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.

The Royals are just 4-19 (.174) when allowing 2 or more home runs this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .299.

The Royals are just 17-33 (.340) after a loss this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .483.

Rays Hitting Stats & Trends

Rays hitters have missed on just 20% of swings this season — best in MLB.

Rays hitters have 206 extra-base hits out of 711 total hits (just 29%) this season — lowest in MLB.

The Rays are batting .208 on pitches out of the zone this season — best in MLB.

Rays hitters have struck out in just 18% of their PA’s against LHP this season — 3rd best in MLB.

Royals Hitting Stats & Trends

Royals hitters are slugging just .220 with two-strikes this season — lowest in MLB.

Royals hitters are slugging just .357 on the road this season — 2nd lowest in MLB.

Royals hitters have an OBP of just .235 (1,663 PA’s) with two-strikes this season — 5th lowest in MLB.

Royals hitters have an OPS of just .455 (1,663 PA’s) with two-strikes this season — lowest in MLB.

Rays Pitching Stats & Trends

Rays pitchers have walked 6% of batters when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — tied for best in MLB.

Opponents have a groundball rate of just 40% against Rays pitchers this season — tied for 5th lowest in MLB.

Rays pitchers have walked 7% of batters this season — 3rd best in MLB.

Rays pitchers have 104 three-pitch strikeouts this season — 5th fewest in MLB.

Royals Pitching Stats & Trends

Royals pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 18% in close and late situations this season — tied for lowest in MLB.

Royals pitchers have picked-off 14 runners from first base this season — 2nd most in MLB.

Royals pitchers have walked 10% of batters this season — 4th highest in MLB.

Royals pitchers have an ERA of 4.61 (383.0 IP) at home this season — 5th highest in MLB.

More MLB Reading:

• Home Run Predictions Today
• Best NRFI Bets Today
• Strikeout Props Today
• MLB Starting Pitchers Today

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