• The Braves are -165 favorites vs the Red Sox
• Red Sox vs Braves Over / Under today: 8.5 Runs
• Red Sox / Braves TV Channel: NESN | BRVN | GRAY

The Boston Red Sox (+135) visit Truist Park to take on the Atlanta Braves (-165) on May 17, 2026. First pitch is scheduled for 1:35 pm in Atlanta, GA.

This season, the Red Sox are 19-26 against the spread (ATS), while the Braves are 30-16 ATS.

Red Sox vs Braves Starting Pitchers Today:

• Red Sox starting pitcher: Brayan Bello 2-4, 6.52 ERA
• Braves starting pitcher: Grant Holmes 2-1, 4.36 ERA

Red Sox vs. Braves Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

Red Sox vs Braves Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Braves will win Sunday‘s MLB game with 57.3% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.

Bet now on Red Sox vs Braves and all games with BetMGM

We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Red Sox players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Red Sox Player Prop Bets Today:

• Willson Contreras has hit the Home Runs Over in 5 of his last 10 away games (+19.00 Units / 190% ROI)
• Jarren Duran has hit the Hits Under in 12 of his last 20 away games (+10.65 Units / 53% ROI)
• Jarren Duran has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 18 of his last 25 games (+10.20 Units / 35% ROI)
• Wilyer Abreu has hit the Walks Over in 9 of his last 15 away games (+9.50 Units / 63% ROI)
• Wilyer Abreu has hit the Total Bases Over in 16 of his last 25 away games (+9.20 Units / 32% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Braves players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Braves Player Prop Best Bets Today:

• Drake Baldwin has hit the Home Runs Over in 4 of his last 6 games (+18.10 Units / 302% ROI)
• Drake Baldwin has hit the Runs Over in 19 of his last 25 games at home (+14.45 Units / 56% ROI)
• Mike Yastrzemski has hit the Singles Over in 13 of his last 20 games (+12.25 Units / 61% ROI)
• Dominic Smith has hit the Hits Over in 17 of his last 20 games (+11.85 Units / 34% ROI)
• Dominic Smith has hit the Total Bases Over in 16 of his last 20 games (+11.55 Units / 37% ROI)

Red Sox Best Bets Today:

• The Boston Red Sox have hit the Team Total Under in 33 of their last 50 games (+13.10 Units / 21% ROI)
• The Boston Red Sox have hit the Game Total Under in 30 of their last 50 games (+9.15 Units / 17% ROI)
• The Boston Red Sox have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 12 of their last 16 games (+7.40 Units / 38% ROI)
• The Boston Red Sox have covered the Run Line in 10 of their last 16 away games (+5.35 Units / 24% ROI)
• The Boston Red Sox have hit the Moneyline in 7 of their last 10 away games (+4.45 Units / 42% ROI)

Braves Best Bets Today:

• The Atlanta Braves have covered the Run Line in 29 of their last 45 games (+17.25 Units / 33% ROI)
• The Atlanta Braves have hit the Game Total Under in 24 of their last 35 games at home (+14.30 Units / 37% ROI)
• The Atlanta Braves have hit the Moneyline in 25 of their last 35 games (+13.10 Units / 27% ROI)
• The Atlanta Braves have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 30 of their last 45 games at home (+12.00 Units / 22% ROI)
• The Atlanta Braves have hit the Team Total Over in 24 of their last 35 games (+11.15 Units / 27% ROI)

Red Sox Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Red Sox are 18-26 against the Run Line (-7.85 Units / -14.31% ROI).

• 19-26 when betting on the Moneyline for -12.95 Units / -23.1% ROI
• 19-25 when betting on the total runs Over for -8.7 Units / -17.51% ROI
• 25-19 when betting on the total runs Under for +4.15 Units / 8.4% ROI

Braves Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Braves are 30-16 against the Run Line (+18.8 Units / 35.74% ROI).

• 31-15 when betting on the Moneyline for +12.1 Units / 19% ROI
• 18-25 when betting on the total runs Over for -9.2 Units / -18.07% ROI
• 25-18 when betting on the total runs Under for +5.8 Units / 11.53% ROI

Braves vs Red Sox Home Run Prop Bets Today

Braves vs Red Sox Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Braves vs Red Sox Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Red Sox Keys to the Game vs. the Braves

The Red Sox are 17-0 (1.000) when leading entering the 8th inning this season — tied for best in MLB; League Avg: .895.

The Red Sox are just 7-11 (.389) after a win this season — tied for 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .520.

The Red Sox are just 0-23 (.000) when trailing entering the 9th inning this season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .050.

The Red Sox are just 2-15 (.118) when allowing 10 or more hits this season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .243.

Braves Keys to the Game vs. the Red Sox

The Braves are 31-15 (.674) this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .500.

The Braves are 11-3 (.786) after a loss this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .480.

The Braves are 16-1 (.941) when they’ve had 10 or more hits this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .757.

The Braves are 4-12 (.250) when trailing entering the 8th inning this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .105.

Red Sox Hitting Stats & Trends

Red Sox hitters are slugging just .340 against RHP this season — lowest in MLB.

Red Sox hitters are slugging just .436 in non-two strike counts this season — lowest in MLB.

Red Sox hitters have an OPS of just .628 (788 PA’s) at home this season — 3rd lowest in MLB.

Red Sox hitters have a 41% QAB rate with runners in scoring position this season — lowest in MLB.

Braves Hitting Stats & Trends

The Braves are batting .265 this season — best in MLB.

Braves hitters are slugging .316 with two-strikes this season — best in MLB.

Braves hitters are slugging .276 on pitches out of the zone this season — 2nd best in MLB.

Braves hitters are slugging .455 against RHP this season — best in MLB.

Red Sox Pitching Stats & Trends

Red Sox pitchers have walked 4% of batters when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — best in MLB.

The Red Sox have allowed 0.87 runs per game (39/45) in late innings this season — best in MLB.

Opponents have a groundball batting average of just .197 against Red Sox pitchers with runners on base this season — 2nd best in MLB.

Red Sox pitchers have 51 three-pitch strikeouts this season — 4th fewest in MLB.

Braves Pitching Stats & Trends

Braves pitchers have a strikeout rate of 46% with two-strikes this season — 4th best in MLB.

Opponents have a groundball batting average of just .209 against Braves pitchers this season — best in MLB.

Braves pitchers have an ERA of 3.04 (201.0 IP) on the road this season — 2nd best in MLB.

Opponents are hitting just .205 against Braves pitchers this season — best in MLB.

More MLB Reading:

• Home Run Predictions Today
• Best NRFI Bets Today
• Strikeout Props Today
• MLB Starting Pitchers Today

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