• The Red Sox are -105 favorites vs the Guardians
• Red Sox vs Guardians Over / Under today: 7 Runs
• Red Sox / Guardians TV Channel: GDTV | NESN

The Boston Red Sox (-105) visit Progressive Field to take on the Cleveland Guardians (-115) on May 31, 2026. First pitch is scheduled for 1:40 pm in Cleveland, OH.

This season, the Red Sox are 24-33 against the spread (ATS), while the Guardians are 29-31 ATS.

Red Sox vs Guardians Starting Pitchers Today:

• Red Sox starting pitcher: Ranger Suarez 2-3, 3.10 ERA
• Guardians starting pitcher: Tanner Bibee 0-7, 4.58 ERA

Red Sox vs. Guardians Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

Red Sox vs Guardians Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Guardians will win Sunday‘s MLB game with 53.8% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.

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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Red Sox players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Red Sox Player Prop Bets Today:

• Jarren Duran has hit the Home Runs Over in 5 of his last 10 games (+25.00 Units / 250% ROI)
• Willson Contreras has hit the Hits Over in 13 of his last 15 games (+9.85 Units / 34% ROI)
• Marcelo Mayer has hit the Singles Over in 11 of his last 15 away games (+9.05 Units / 59% ROI)
• Masataka Yoshida has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 12 of his last 15 games (+8.90 Units / 53% ROI)
• Willson Contreras has hit the Total Bases Over in 11 of his last 15 games (+8.50 Units / 48% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Guardians players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Guardians Player Prop Best Bets Today:

• Angel Martinez has hit the Home Runs Over in 4 of his last 10 games at home (+22.90 Units / 229% ROI)
• Travis Bazzana has hit the Hits Over in 20 of his last 25 games (+12.60 Units / 30% ROI)
• Patrick Bailey has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 17 of his last 25 games (+9.95 Units / 34% ROI)
• Travis Bazzana has hit the Total Bases Over in 17 of his last 25 games (+9.75 Units / 31% ROI)
• Patrick Bailey has hit the Runs Under in his last 9 games at home (+9.00 Units / 43% ROI)

Red Sox Best Bets Today:

• The Boston Red Sox have covered the Run Line in 14 of their last 22 away games (+8.55 Units / 28% ROI)
• The Boston Red Sox have hit the Team Total Under in 25 of their last 40 games (+8.45 Units / 18% ROI)
• The Boston Red Sox have hit the Moneyline in 11 of their last 16 away games (+6.55 Units / 38% ROI)
• The Boston Red Sox have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 8 of their last 10 games (+6.05 Units / 47% ROI)
• The Boston Red Sox have hit the Game Total Over in 15 of their last 25 away games (+4.05 Units / 15% ROI)

Guardians Best Bets Today:

• The Cleveland Guardians have hit the Team Total Under in 10 of their last 11 games (+9.10 Units / 72% ROI)
• The Cleveland Guardians have hit the Moneyline in 16 of their last 23 games (+7.75 Units / 25% ROI)
• The Cleveland Guardians have covered the Run Line in 26 of their last 50 games at home (+7.30 Units / 13% ROI)
• The Cleveland Guardians have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 24 of their last 50 games (+6.10 Units / 9% ROI)
• The Cleveland Guardians have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 28 of their last 50 games (+5.55 Units / 10% ROI)

Red Sox Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Red Sox are 24-31 against the Run Line (-7.25 Units / -10.09% ROI).

• 24-33 when betting on the Moneyline for -16.45 Units / -23.42% ROI
• 26-29 when betting on the total runs Over for -6.05 Units / -9.64% ROI
• 29-26 when betting on the total runs Under for +0.15 Units / 0.24% ROI

Guardians Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Guardians are 29-31 against the Run Line (-0.85 Units / -1.15% ROI).

• 34-26 when betting on the Moneyline for +7.1 Units / 9.7% ROI
• 29-31 when betting on the total runs Over for -4.7 Units / -7.16% ROI
• 31-29 when betting on the total runs Under for -1.1 Units / -1.65% ROI

Guardians vs Red Sox Home Run Prop Bets Today

Guardians vs Red Sox Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Guardians vs Red Sox Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Red Sox Keys to the Game vs. the Guardians

The Red Sox are 22-0 (1.000) when leading entering the 8th inning this season — tied for best in MLB; League Avg: .893.

The Red Sox are just 9-14 (.391) after a win this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .532.

The Red Sox are just 2-18 (.100) when allowing 5 or more runs this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .209.

The Red Sox are just 2-20 (.091) when allowing 10 or more hits this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .248.

Guardians Keys to the Game vs. the Red Sox

The Guardians are 24-1 (.960) when leading entering the 7th inning this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .859.

The Guardians are 9-2 (.818) when they’ve hit 2 or more home runs this season — tied for 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .711.

The Guardians are 12-1 (.923) when they’ve had 10 or more hits this season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .752.

The Guardians are just 1-21 (.045) when trailing entering the 7th inning this season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .141.

Red Sox Hitting Stats & Trends

The Red Sox are batting .274 against LHP this season — 2nd best in MLB.

Red Sox hitters have an OBP of .343 (538 PA’s) against LHP this season — 3rd best in MLB.

Red Sox hitters are slugging .250 on pitches out of the zone this season — 4th best in MLB.

Red Sox hitters have an OPS of .546 (1,123 PA’s) with two-strikes this season — 3rd best in MLB.

Guardians Hitting Stats & Trends

Guardians hitters have chased 22% of pitches out of the zone in righty-righty matchups this season — lowest in MLB.

Guardians hitters have a groundball batting average of just .197 this season — lowest in MLB.

Guardians hitters have a Hard-Hit Rate of just 36% this season — 2nd lowest in MLB.

Guardians hitters are slugging just .357 against RHP this season — 2nd lowest in MLB.

Red Sox Pitching Stats & Trends

Red Sox pitchers have walked 5% of batters when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — best in MLB.

Red Sox pitchers have a strikeout rate of 28% in close and late situations this season — 2nd best in MLB.

Opponents have a groundball batting average of just .219 against Red Sox pitchers this season — 3rd best in MLB.

The Red Sox have allowed 0.89 runs per game (51/57) in late innings this season — 2nd best in MLB.

Guardians Pitching Stats & Trends

Guardians pitchers have a strikeout rate of 34% in close and late situations this season — best in MLB.

Guardians pitchers have a strikeout rate of 25% this season — 3rd best in MLB.

Opponents have a miss rate of 28% against Guardians pitchers this season — 4th best in MLB.

Guardians pitchers have struck out 27% of left-handed batters they faced this season — best in MLB.

More MLB Reading:

• Home Run Predictions Today
• Best NRFI Bets Today
• Strikeout Props Today
• MLB Starting Pitchers Today

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