• The Red Sox are -125 favorites vs the Orioles
• Red Sox vs Orioles Over / Under today: 8.5 Runs
• Red Sox / Orioles TV Channel: FOX

The Boston Red Sox (-125) visit Oriole Park at Camden Yards to take on the Baltimore Orioles (+105) on September 3, 2026. First pitch is scheduled for 7:15 pm in Baltimore, MD.

This season, the Red Sox are against the spread (ATS), while the Orioles are ATS.

Red Sox vs Orioles Starting Pitchers Today:

• Red Sox starting pitcher: Jake Bennett 9-6, 3.28 ERA
• Orioles starting pitcher: Brandon Young 9-3, 3.42 ERA

Red Sox vs. Orioles Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

Red Sox vs Orioles Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Red Sox will win Thursday‘s MLB game with 55.0% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.

Bet now on Red Sox vs Orioles and all games with BetMGM

We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Red Sox players for Thursday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Red Sox Player Prop Bets Today:

• Mickey Gasper has hit the Home Runs Over in 4 of his last 10 games (+24.20 Units / 242% ROI)
• Jake Bennett has hit the Pitching Outs Over in 13 of his last 15 games (+10.70 Units / 56% ROI)
• Ceddanne Rafaela has hit the Runs Under in 16 of his last 20 games (+10.45 Units / 33% ROI)
• Adley Rutschman has hit the Hits Under in 8 of his last 10 away games (+9.70 Units / 97% ROI)
• Adley Rutschman has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 15 of his last 20 away games (+9.15 Units / 37% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Orioles players for Thursday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Orioles Player Prop Best Bets Today:

• Dylan Beavers has hit the Home Runs Over in 3 of his last 4 games at home (+18.70 Units / 468% ROI)
• Leody Taveras has hit the Total Bases Under in 15 of his last 20 games at home (+12.85 Units / 59% ROI)
• Leody Taveras has hit the Hits Under in 14 of his last 20 games at home (+11.60 Units / 58% ROI)
• Coby Mayo has hit the Singles Under in 17 of his last 20 games at home (+10.70 Units / 28% ROI)
• Leody Taveras has hit the Runs Under in 20 of his last 25 games at home (+10.45 Units / 21% ROI)

Red Sox Best Bets Today:

• The Boston Red Sox have hit the Moneyline in 33 of their last 50 games (+10.35 Units / 14% ROI)
• The Boston Red Sox have covered the Run Line in 29 of their last 50 away games (+9.20 Units / 14% ROI)
• The Boston Red Sox have hit the Game Total Over in 20 of their last 30 games (+8.90 Units / 27% ROI)
• The Boston Red Sox have hit the Team Total Over in 30 of their last 50 games (+8.75 Units / 15% ROI)
• The Boston Red Sox have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 15 of their last 22 away games (+7.00 Units / 26% ROI)

Orioles Best Bets Today:

• The Baltimore Orioles have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 35 of their last 50 games at home (+18.30 Units / 31% ROI)
• The Baltimore Orioles have hit the Team Total Under in 21 of their last 30 games at home (+10.85 Units / 30% ROI)
• The Baltimore Orioles have hit the Game Total Under in 16 of their last 22 games at home (+10.75 Units / 45% ROI)
• The Baltimore Orioles have covered the Run Line in 24 of their last 45 games at home (+5.10 Units / 9% ROI)
• The Baltimore Orioles have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 9 of their last 18 games (+3.60 Units / 16% ROI)

Red Sox Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Red Sox are against the Run Line ( Units / ROI).

• away moneyline record when betting on the Moneyline for ML units Units / ML ROI ROI
• away total over record when betting on the total runs Over for over units Units / over ROI ROI
• away total under record when betting on the total runs Under for under units Units / under ROI ROI

Orioles Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Orioles are against the Run Line ( Units / ROI).

• home moneyline record when betting on the Moneyline for ML units Units / ML ROI ROI
• home total over record when betting on the total runs Over for over units Units / over ROI ROI
• home total under record when betting on the total runs Under for under units Units / under ROI ROI

Red Sox Keys to the Game vs. the Orioles

The Red Sox are 55-5 (.917) when leading entering the 7th inning this season — 5th best in MLB.

The Red Sox are 11-53 (.172) when trailing entering the 7th inning this season — 4th best in MLB.

The Red Sox are 44-31 (.587) after a win this season — 3rd best in MLB.

The Red Sox are 40-31 (.563) on the road this season — 5th best in MLB.

Orioles Keys to the Game vs. the Red Sox

The Orioles are just 20-77 (.206) when allowing 2 or more home runs since the 2025 season — 2nd lowest in MLB.

The Orioles are just 73-76 (.490) at home since the 2025 season — 5th lowest in MLB.

The Orioles are just 4-139 (.028) when trailing entering the 9th inning since the 2025 season — tied for 3rd lowest in MLB.

The Orioles are just 9-14 (.391) when tied entering the 8th inning since the 2025 season — 4th lowest in MLB.

Red Sox Hitting Stats & Trends

The Red Sox are batting .287 in lefty-lefty matchups this season — best in MLB.

Red Sox hitters are slugging .434 against LHP this season — 4th best in MLB.

Red Sox hitters are slugging .283 with two-strikes this season — tied for 3rd best in MLB.

Red Sox hitters have an OPS of .769 (1,368 PA’s) against LHP this season — 4th best in MLB.

Orioles Hitting Stats & Trends

Orioles hitters are slugging just .189 on pitches out of the zone this season — 3rd lowest in MLB.

Orioles hitters have a Hard-Hit Rate of 43% this season — best in MLB.

Orioles hitters have struck out in 26% of their PA’s against LHP this season — 2nd highest in MLB.

Orioles hitters are slugging just .500 on the first pitch of at-bats this season — 3rd lowest in MLB.

Red Sox Pitching Stats & Trends

Red Sox pitchers have an ERA of 3.55 (615.1 IP) on the road this season — 2nd best in MLB.

Red Sox pitchers have allowed a run just 24% of the time after their offense scores this season — lowest in MLB.

The Red Sox have allowed 1.01 runs per game (142/140) in late innings this season — best in MLB.

Red Sox pitchers have walked 8% of batters this season — 3rd best in MLB.

Orioles Pitching Stats & Trends

Orioles pitchers have allowed a run 36% of the time after their offense scores this season — 2nd highest in MLB.

Orioles pitchers have struck out just 20% of left-handed batters they faced this season — tied for 5th lowest in MLB.

Opponents are hitting .255 against Orioles pitchers this season — tied for 4th highest in MLB.

Orioles pitchers has induced two-strike counts to 50% of batters they faced (2,693/5,348 PA’s) this season — 4th lowest in MLB.

More MLB Reading:

• Home Run Predictions Today
• Best NRFI Bets Today
• Strikeout Props Today
• MLB Starting Pitchers Today

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