Red Sox vs Rangers Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Sep 16

Texas Rangers' Corey Seager hits a two-run home run against the Arizona Diamondbacks during the second inning in Game 4 of the baseball World Series Tuesday, Oct. 31, 2023, in Phoenix.
(AP Photo/Godofredo A. Vásquez)
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  • The Red Sox are -110 favorites vs the Rangers
  • Red Sox vs Rangers Over / Under today: 8 Runs
  • Red Sox / Rangers TV Channel: NESN | RASN

The Boston Red Sox (-110) visit Globe Life Field to take on the Texas Rangers (-110) on September 16, 2026. First pitch is scheduled for 8:05 pm in Arlington, TX.

This season, the Red Sox are 82-69 against the spread (ATS), while the Rangers are 68-79 ATS.

Red Sox vs Rangers Starting Pitchers Today:

  • Red Sox starting pitcher: Jake Bennett 9-7, 3.72 ERA
  • Rangers starting pitcher: MacKenzie Gore 8-11, 4.62 ERA

Red Sox vs. Rangers Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Red Sox-1.5 +155O 8 -110-110
Rangers +1.5 -190U 8 -110-110

Red Sox vs Rangers Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Rangers will win Wednesday‘s MLB game with 51.0% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.


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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Red Sox players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Red Sox Player Prop Bets Today:

  • Nick Sogard has hit the Home Runs Over in 3 of his last 7 away games (+22.50 Units / 321% ROI)
  • Adley Rutschman has hit the Singles Under in 17 of his last 20 away games (+13.00 Units / 51% ROI)
  • Trevor Story has hit the Hits Over in 21 of his last 25 games (+12.95 Units / 26% ROI)
  • Trevor Story has hit the Total Bases Over in 15 of his last 20 games (+11.75 Units / 46% ROI)
  • Jahmai Jones has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 18 of his last 25 games (+11.30 Units / 37% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Rangers players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Rangers Player Prop Best Bets Today:

  • Josh Jung has hit the Hits Over in 21 of his last 25 games at home (+15.10 Units / 28% ROI)
  • Ezequiel Duran has hit the Home Runs Over in 3 of his last 9 games at home (+14.80 Units / 164% ROI)
  • Ezequiel Duran has hit the Runs Over in 15 of his last 25 games at home (+11.90 Units / 48% ROI)
  • Wyatt Langford has hit the Singles Under in 19 of his last 25 games at home (+11.05 Units / 32% ROI)
  • Josh Jung has hit the Total Bases Over in 15 of his last 25 games at home (+9.90 Units / 40% ROI)
  • The Boston Red Sox have hit the Moneyline in 24 of their last 35 away games (+12.05 Units / 27% ROI)
  • The Boston Red Sox have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 16 of their last 21 games (+10.90 Units / 44% ROI)
  • The Boston Red Sox have hit the Game Total Under in 28 of their last 45 away games (+9.45 Units / 19% ROI)
  • The Boston Red Sox have covered the Run Line in 20 of their last 35 away games (+6.70 Units / 16% ROI)
  • The Boston Red Sox have hit the Team Total Under in 5 of their last 6 games (+4.05 Units / 58% ROI)
  • The Texas Rangers have hit the Game Total Over in 30 of their last 50 games at home (+10.20 Units / 18% ROI)
  • The Texas Rangers have hit the Team Total Over in 16 of their last 24 games at home (+6.75 Units / 24% ROI)
  • The Texas Rangers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 14 of their last 21 games (+6.65 Units / 27% ROI)
  • The Texas Rangers have covered the Run Line in 10 of their last 15 games (+5.70 Units / 27% ROI)
  • The Texas Rangers have hit the Moneyline in 16 of their last 24 games at home (+5.50 Units / 16% ROI)

Red Sox Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Red Sox are 72-75 against the Run Line (-0.9 Units / -0.49% ROI).

  • 82-69 when betting on the Moneyline for -5.7 Units / -2.83% ROI
  • 69-78 when betting on the total runs Over for -17.5 Units / -10.47% ROI
  • 78-69 when betting on the total runs Under for +2.25 Units / 1.36% ROI

Rangers Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Rangers are 68-79 against the Run Line (-18.75 Units / -9.56% ROI).

  • 75-76 when betting on the Moneyline for -9.8 Units / -5.4% ROI
  • 76-66 when betting on the total runs Over for +3.85 Units / 2.31% ROI
  • 66-76 when betting on the total runs Under for -16.7 Units / -10.09% ROI

Red Sox Keys to the Game vs. the Rangers

The Red Sox are 61-5 (.924) when leading entering the 7th inning this season — 4th best in MLB.

The Red Sox are 44-32 (.579) on the road this season — 3rd best in MLB.

The Red Sox are 49-33 (.598) after a win this season — 4th best in MLB.

The Red Sox are 69-2 (.972) when leading entering the 8th inning this season — 3rd best in MLB.

Rangers Keys to the Game vs. the Red Sox

The Rangers are just 2-68 (.029) when trailing entering the 7th inning this season — tied for lowest in MLB.

The Rangers are just 13-38 (.255) when their opponents score in the first inning this season — tied for lowest in MLB.

The Rangers are 62-1 (.984) when leading entering the 8th inning this season — best in MLB.

The Rangers are 34-9 (.791) when they’ve scored in the first inning this season — best in MLB.

29% of Red Sox hitters strikeouts have come on 95+ MPH fastballs this season — 3rd highest in MLB.

The Red Sox are batting .176 on pitches out of the zone this season — tied for 2nd best in MLB.

The Red Sox are batting just .225 against division opponents this season — tied for 2nd lowest in MLB.

Red Sox hitters are slugging .277 with two-strikes this season — 5th best in MLB.

Rangers hitters have an OPS of just .697 (3,992 PA’s) against RHP this season — 5th lowest in MLB.

Rangers hitters are slugging just .385 against RHP this season — 4th lowest in MLB.

The Rangers are just 2-68 (.029) when trailing entering the 7th inning this season — tied for lowest in MLB.

Rangers hitters are slugging .431 against LHP this season — 4th best in MLB.

Red Sox pitchers have walked 7% of batters when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — 3rd best in MLB.

The Red Sox have allowed 3.61 runs per game (274/76) on the road this season — 3rd best in MLB.

Red Sox pitchers have walked 8% of batters this season — 3rd best in MLB.

Red Sox pitchers have allowed a run just 23% of the time after their offense scores this season — lowest in MLB.

Rangers pitchers have walked 6% of batters when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — 2nd best in MLB.

The Rangers have won just 27% of games in which their opponents scored first this season — 4th lowest in MLB.

The Rangers have won just 30% of home games in which their opponents scored first this season — 5th lowest in MLB.

Rangers pitchers have an ERA of 4.93 (662.2 IP) on the road this season — 5th highest in MLB.

More MLB Reading:


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.