• The Red Sox are -145 favorites vs the Rangers
• Red Sox vs Rangers Over / Under today: 7.5 Runs
• Red Sox / Rangers TV Channel: NESN | RASN

The Boston Red Sox (-145) visit Globe Life Field to take on the Texas Rangers (+118) on September 17, 2026. First pitch is scheduled for 8:05 pm in Arlington, TX.

This season, the Red Sox are 82-70 against the spread (ATS), while the Rangers are 69-79 ATS.

Red Sox vs Rangers Starting Pitchers Today:

• Red Sox starting pitcher: Sonny Gray 17-5, 2.79 ERA
• Rangers starting pitcher: Tyler Alexander 5-2, 3.36 ERA

Red Sox vs. Rangers Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

Red Sox vs Rangers Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Red Sox will win Thursday‘s MLB game with 60.7% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.

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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Red Sox players for Thursday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Red Sox Player Prop Bets Today:

• Trevor Story has hit the Total Bases Over in 16 of his last 20 games (+13.75 Units / 52% ROI)
• Adley Rutschman has hit the Singles Under in 17 of his last 20 away games (+13.00 Units / 51% ROI)
• Trevor Story has hit the Hits Over in 21 of his last 25 games (+12.95 Units / 27% ROI)
• Adley Rutschman has hit the Walks Under in 14 of his last 15 games (+12.30 Units / 44% ROI)
• Adley Rutschman has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 19 of his last 25 away games (+12.05 Units / 39% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Rangers players for Thursday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Rangers Player Prop Best Bets Today:

• Josh Jung has hit the Hits Over in 21 of his last 25 games at home (+15.10 Units / 28% ROI)
• Ezequiel Duran has hit the Home Runs Over in 3 of his last 10 games at home (+13.80 Units / 138% ROI)
• Joc Pederson has hit the Singles Under in 17 of his last 20 games (+12.40 Units / 35% ROI)
• Corey Seager has hit the Walks Under in 20 of his last 25 games at home (+12.15 Units / 27% ROI)
• Ezequiel Duran has hit the Runs Over in 15 of his last 25 games at home (+11.90 Units / 48% ROI)

Red Sox Best Bets Today:

• The Boston Red Sox have hit the Moneyline in 23 of their last 35 away games (+9.95 Units / 22% ROI)
• The Boston Red Sox have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 16 of their last 22 games (+9.90 Units / 38% ROI)
• The Boston Red Sox have hit the Game Total Under in 27 of their last 45 away games (+7.35 Units / 15% ROI)
• The Boston Red Sox have hit the Team Total Under in 6 of their last 7 games (+5.15 Units / 65% ROI)
• The Boston Red Sox have covered the Run Line in 19 of their last 35 away games (+4.35 Units / 10% ROI)

Rangers Best Bets Today:

• The Texas Rangers have hit the Game Total Over in 31 of their last 50 games at home (+11.20 Units / 20% ROI)
• The Texas Rangers have hit the Team Total Over in 25 of their last 40 games at home (+7.85 Units / 17% ROI)
• The Texas Rangers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 15 of their last 22 games (+7.65 Units / 29% ROI)
• The Texas Rangers have covered the Run Line in 11 of their last 16 games (+6.70 Units / 29% ROI)
• The Texas Rangers have hit the Moneyline in 17 of their last 25 games at home (+6.50 Units / 18% ROI)

Red Sox Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Red Sox are 72-76 against the Run Line (-1.9 Units / -1.03% ROI).

• 82-70 when betting on the Moneyline for -6.8 Units / -3.35% ROI
• 70-78 when betting on the total runs Over for -16.5 Units / -9.81% ROI
• 78-70 when betting on the total runs Under for +1.15 Units / 0.69% ROI

Rangers Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Rangers are 69-79 against the Run Line (-17.75 Units / -8.97% ROI).

• 76-76 when betting on the Moneyline for -8.8 Units / -4.82% ROI
• 77-66 when betting on the total runs Over for +4.85 Units / 2.89% ROI
• 66-77 when betting on the total runs Under for -17.8 Units / -10.68% ROI

Red Sox Keys to the Game vs. the Rangers

The Red Sox are 69-2 (.972) when leading entering the 8th inning this season — 3rd best in MLB.

The Red Sox are 44-33 (.571) on the road this season — 4th best in MLB.

The Red Sox are just 8-41 (.163) when allowing 5 or more runs this season — 4th lowest in MLB.

The Red Sox are 61-5 (.924) when leading entering the 7th inning this season — 4th best in MLB.

Rangers Keys to the Game vs. the Red Sox

The Rangers are just 2-68 (.029) when trailing entering the 7th inning this season — tied for lowest in MLB.

The Rangers are just 14-38 (.269) when their opponents score in the first inning this season — lowest in MLB.

The Rangers are just 9-43 (.173) when allowing 2 or more home runs this season — lowest in MLB.

The Rangers are 10-5 (.667) when tied entering the 8th inning this season — 2nd best in MLB.

Red Sox Hitting Stats & Trends

The Red Sox are batting .178 with two-strikes this season — tied for 5th best in MLB.

The Red Sox are batting .177 on pitches out of the zone this season — tied for 2nd best in MLB.

29% of Red Sox hitters strikeouts have come on 95+ MPH fastballs this season — 3rd highest in MLB.

The Red Sox are batting just .225 against division opponents this season — tied for 2nd lowest in MLB.

Rangers Hitting Stats & Trends

Rangers hitters have an OPS of .768 (1,689 PA’s) against LHP this season — 4th best in MLB.

Rangers hitters are slugging .434 against LHP this season — 4th best in MLB.

The Rangers are batting .263 against LHP this season — 2nd best in MLB.

Rangers hitters are slugging .608 on the first pitch of at-bats this season — 2nd best in MLB.

Red Sox Pitching Stats & Trends

Red Sox pitchers have walked 8% of batters this season — 3rd best in MLB.

Red Sox pitchers have walked 7% of batters when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — tied for 3rd best in MLB.

Red Sox pitchers have allowed a run just 24% of the time after their offense scores this season — lowest in MLB.

Red Sox pitchers have an ERA of 3.49 (667.1 IP) on the road this season — 2nd best in MLB.

Rangers Pitching Stats & Trends

Rangers pitchers have walked 7% of batters when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — 2nd best in MLB.

Rangers pitchers have an ERA of 4.93 (662.2 IP) on the road this season — 4th highest in MLB.

The Rangers have won just 28% of games in which their opponents scored first this season — 5th lowest in MLB.

Rangers pitchers have allowed a run just 26% of the time after their offense scores this season — 3rd lowest in MLB.

More MLB Reading:

• Home Run Predictions Today
• Best NRFI Bets Today
• Strikeout Props Today
• MLB Starting Pitchers Today

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